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  2. Wed, Nov 11
  3. COR @ SBU
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 11

Cornell Big Red at St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Reilly Center · at St Bonaventure
#179CORCornell
@
#142SBUSt Bonaventure
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CORThis seasonSBU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SBU 82–76 · win probability SBU 69%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 157.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SBU has more of the edges

COR 1, SBU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SBUBig
SBU offense vs COR defense
Offense 169th of 366 against a defense 319th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: COR plays 72.0 a game (36th fastest), SBU 68.0 (228th). Faster games mean more points
SBUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: COR 30.2%, SBU 34.5%. Defensive: COR 69.4%, SBU 70.2%
CORSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: COR 53%, SBU 18%. Transfers in: COR 0, SBU 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
SBUSmall
Home court
SBU at home. This season: SBU 0-0 at home, COR 0-0 away
SBUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: COR 16.1%, SBU 16.8%. Forced: COR 15.0%, SBU 17.1%
SBUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: COR 30.2, SBU 30.0. Allowed: COR 37.2, SBU 33.9
Context
Schedule so far
COR has played the 144th-hardest schedule, SBU the 109th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: COR 58.5 and allows 55.9; SBU 52.4 and allows 53.3
Even
Three-pointers
COR hits 38.3% and allows 37.5%; SBU hits 37.4% and allows 36.0%. Threes are 51.6% and 31.3% of their shots
Even
COR offense vs SBU defense
Offense 111th of 366 against a defense 131st, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SBU -5.7—
Total—157.8—
Projected score—COR 76 · SBU 81.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSBU -3.3—
1H total73.7—
1H projected scoreCOR 35.2 · SBU 38.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

St Bonaventure has the better starters

Position by position: Cornell 0, St Bonaventure 1, even 4
CornellBetterSt Bonaventure
G J. Beccles7.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.2 ast Score 37
SBUSmall
G A. Fulton TR10.7 pts · 6.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 62
G A. Nimani5.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 30
No call
G I. Ermakov2.6 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.9 ast Not ranked
G M. Rafiq4.2 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.9 ast Not ranked
No call
F R. Kalambay TR4.4 pts · 5.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 40
F K. Sepp4.8 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.6 ast Score 28
Even
F J. Grahovac4.2 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 33
F G. Panzini2.5 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 9
Even
F M. Blackwood TR2.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.2 ast Score 22
CornellBetterSt Bonaventure
COR offense111th of 366 · -1.8
Even
SBU defense131st of 366 · -2.4
COR defense319th of 366 · -8.3
SBUBig
SBU offense169th of 366 · -5.2
Backcourt-2.1 · 3 players
SBUSmall
Backcourt-0.4 · 2 players
Frontcourt-2.3 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-2.4 · 3 players
Bench-1.3 · 5 players
Even
Bench-0.6 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestCOR betterSBU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Cornell
Guards
J. Beccles24 minA. Nimani18 minM. Rafiq8 minD. Fishburn8 minR. Burbach8 minE. GriffinNew
Forwards
K. Sepp19 minG. Panzini10 minI. Imegwu5 minJ. Abalos5 minT. Iwanonkiw3 minB. LecklitnerNew
St Bonaventure
Guards
A. Fulton29 min · TRI. Ermakov10 minA. Lonati8 minJ. DeRose1 minR. HeathNewZ. PhilipkoskiNew
Forwards
R. Kalambay21 min · TRJ. Grahovac18 minM. Blackwood12 min · TRJ. IkpotokinNewC. BlankenbergNew
Centers
B. BillNewC. DialloNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CORSBU
Scoring
85.8 #13Points per game76.2 #138
1.20 #17Points per possession1.12 #104
72.0 #36Pace (possessions)68.0 #228
Shooting
58.5 #7Effective FG%52.4 #129
38.3 #143-point %37.4 #22
51.6 #83-point attempt rate31.3 #335
30.2 #304Free throw rate30.0 #310
Possessions
16.1 #144Turnover rate16.8 #189
30.2 #193Offensive rebound rate34.5 #60
20.0 #1Assists per game15.4 #73
Defense
84.6 #358Points allowed75.4 #201
1.17 #343Points allowed per possession1.11 #245
55.9 #343Opponent effective FG%53.3 #278
37.5 #349Opponent 3-point %36.0 #299
15.0 #287Turnovers forced17.1 #144
69.4 #187Defensive rebound rate70.2 #150
5.8 #263Steals per game7.5 #80
2.8 #267Blocks per game4.4 #41
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Cornell

13-13 in 2025-26 overall · 8-7 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Yale76–88
  • W@ Dartmouth111–90
  • Wvs Brown86–80
  • Wvs Yale72–69
  • Lvs Harvard54–73

A week or more of rest.

St Bonaventure

16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 6-15 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Dayton63–68
  • Wvs George Mason63–57
  • Wvs La Salle99–80
  • Lvs Davidson63–68
  • L@ G Washington82–91

A week or more of rest.