1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 11
  3. UNCA @ WGA
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 11

UNC Asheville Bulldogs at West Georgia Wolves

The Coliseum · at West Georgia
#271UNCAUNC Asheville
@
#298WGAWest Georgia
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UNCAThis seasonWGA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WGA 73–72 · win probability WGA 53%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 144.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UNCA has more of the edges

UNCA 4, WGA 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UNCABig
Free throws
Free throw rate: UNCA 40.0, WGA 29.2. Allowed: UNCA 38.7, WGA 36.9
WGASmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UNCA 29.8%, WGA 31.5%. Defensive: UNCA 68.7%, WGA 71.0%
UNCASmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: UNCA 51.0 and allows 51.3; WGA 49.6 and allows 53.4
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: UNCA plays 68.0 a game (230th fastest), WGA 71.0 (75th). Faster games mean more points
UNCASmall
Three-pointers
UNCA hits 35.1% and allows 32.6%; WGA hits 33.1% and allows 33.1%. Threes are 33.6% and 33.0% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
UNCA has played the 214th-hardest schedule, WGA the 270th. A record against a soft schedule means less
WGASmall
Home court
WGA at home. This season: WGA 0-0 at home, UNCA 0-0 away
UNCASmall
WGA offense vs UNCA defense
Offense 278th of 366 against a defense 230th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UNCA 17.4%, WGA 15.9%. Forced: UNCA 15.5%, WGA 14.7%
Even
UNCA offense vs WGA defense
Offense 294th of 366 against a defense 312th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UNCA 30%, WGA 31%. Transfers in: UNCA 4, WGA 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—WGA -0.8—
Total—144.8—
Projected score—UNCA 72 · WGA 72.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadWGA -0.3—
1H total67.7—
1H projected scoreUNCA 33.7 · WGA 34—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

West Georgia has the better starters

Position by position: UNC Asheville 0, West Georgia 2, even 3
UNC AshevilleBetterWest Georgia
G K. Phipps TR4.1 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.9 ast Score 15
WGASmall
G C. Lewless12.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.6 ast Score 37
G K. Dunn TR7.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.7 ast Score 9
Even
G L. Hutchinson TR3.9 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.6 ast Score 6
G J. Anderson TR1.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Redmond TR6 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.1 ast Score 26
F M. Mayfield4 pts · 4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 5
WGASmall
F K. Chime5 pts · 5.8 reb · 0.4 ast Score 34
F D. Thomas2.6 pts · 5 reb · 0.4 ast Score 5
No call
F D. Simon TR2.9 pts · 2 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
UNC AshevilleBetterWest Georgia
UNCA offense294th of 366 · -9.1
Even
WGA defense312th of 366 · -8.1
UNCA defense230th of 366 · -6.1
Even
WGA offense278th of 366 · -8.5
Backcourt-4.7 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt-5.1 · 3 players
Frontcourt-5.8 · 2 players
WGABig
Frontcourt-1.2 · 2 players
Bench-2.6 · 3 players
Even
Bench-2.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestUNCA betterWGA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
UNC Asheville
Guards
K. Phipps18 min · TRK. Dunn17 min · TRJ. Anderson17 min · TRC. Jones7 minT. ChatmanNewC. DubskyNew
Forwards
M. Mayfield23 minD. Thomas21 minA. Magassa10 min · TRS. Tolentino8 minB. RiversNewQ. MansfieldNew
West Georgia
Guards
C. Lewless29 minL. Hutchinson17 min · TRJ. Redmond17 min · TRC. Merritt4 minA. Williams2 min · TRM. Young1 min
Forwards
K. Chime20 minD. Simon10 min · TRX. Shegog8 minM. Destremau7 min · TRM. SmithNewA. SempereNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UNCAWGA
Scoring
71.9 #248Points per game75.3 #156
1.06 #236Points per possession1.06 #224
68.0 #230Pace (possessions)71.0 #75
Shooting
51.0 #194Effective FG%49.6 #261
35.1 #1103-point %33.1 #222
33.6 #3073-point attempt rate33.0 #316
40.0 #60Free throw rate29.2 #329
Possessions
17.4 #230Turnover rate15.9 #130
29.8 #211Offensive rebound rate31.5 #142
10.1 #358Assists per game12.3 #265
Defense
74.2 #161Points allowed80.5 #326
1.09 #203Points allowed per possession1.13 #297
51.3 #175Opponent effective FG%53.4 #281
32.6 #93Opponent 3-point %33.1 #129
15.5 #251Turnovers forced14.7 #312
68.7 #218Defensive rebound rate71.0 #102
5.1 #324Steals per game6.4 #191
3.5 #133Blocks per game4.7 #25
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

UNC Asheville

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 9-9 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs High Point71–75
  • Wvs Longwood85–82
  • Lvs Charleston So75–92
  • W@ Gardner-Webb77–71
  • Wvs Radford74–73

A week or more of rest.

West Georgia

13-17 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · United Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Queens University Royals63–71
  • Wvs North Florida93–85
  • Wvs North Alabama75–63
  • Wvs Lipscomb84–78
  • L@ Queens University Royals84–91

A week or more of rest.