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NCAAB · Sat, Nov 21

Radford @ Chattanooga

McKenzie Arena · at Chattanooga
#246RADRadford
@
#227UTCChattanooga
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
RADThis seasonUTC
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UTC 78–75 · win probability UTC 59%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 152.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

RAD 4, UTC 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
RADBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: RAD 42.4, UTC 29.7. Allowed: RAD 40.0, UTC 42.6
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: RAD plays 73.6 a game (13th fastest), UTC 67.6 (249th). Faster games mean more points
UTCSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: RAD 51.4 and allows 53.0; UTC 54.2 and allows 51.7
UTCSmall
UTC offense vs RAD defense
Offense 193rd of 366 against a defense 286th, on the model’s ratings
UTCSmall
Three-pointers
RAD hits 33.5% and allows 35.5%; UTC hits 35.0% and allows 34.2%. Threes are 45.4% and 49.2% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
RAD has played the 243rd-hardest schedule, UTC the 306th. A record against a soft schedule means less
RADSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: RAD 29.8%, UTC 21.8%. Defensive: RAD 67.8%, UTC 68.3%
RADSmall
RAD offense vs UTC defense
Offense 213th of 366 against a defense 270th, on the model’s ratings
RADSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: RAD 17.1%, UTC 14.5%. Forced: RAD 18.5%, UTC 13.1%
UTCSmall
Home court
UTC at home. This season: UTC 0-0 at home, RAD 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: RAD 12%, UTC 32%. Transfers in: RAD 6, UTC 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UTC -2.7—
Total—152.7—
Projected score—RAD 75 · UTC 77.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUTC -1.5—
1H total71.4—
1H projected scoreRAD 35 · UTC 36.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Radford 1, Chattanooga 1, even 3
RadfordBetterChattanooga
G J. Robinson TR6.3 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.9 ast Score 52
Even
G T. Darner9.8 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.8 ast Score 49
G T. Gross TR3.5 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.6 ast Score 21
No call
G S. Cusano2.5 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
F C. Jackson TR4 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 36
UTCSmall
F T. Houser TR14.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.8 ast Score 68
F P. Kabamba TR5.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.9 ast Score 38
RADSmall
F Y. Levy TR5 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.7 ast Score 18
F F. Erichsen4.7 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 27
Even
F J. Bowman3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 22
RadfordBetterChattanooga
RAD offense213th of 366 · -6.5
RADSmall
UTC defense270th of 366 · -6.8
RAD defense286th of 366 · -7.2
UTCSmall
UTC offense193rd of 366 · -5.9
Backcourt-1.5 · 2 players
Even
Backcourt-1.6 · 2 players
Frontcourt-2.1 · 3 players
Even
Frontcourt-1.6 · 3 players
Bench-1.0 · 4 players
Even
Bench-1.1 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestRAD betterUTC betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Radford
Guards
J. Robinson17 min · TRT. Gross13 min · TRW. Keel6 minM. Grujicic6 min · TRJ. Kee3 min · TRK. PruettNew
Forwards
C. Jackson17 min · TRP. Kabamba17 min · TRF. Erichsen13 minA. NokesNew
Centers
G. Ferreira5 min
Chattanooga
Guards
T. Darner29 minS. Cusano13 minH. Holland11 minL. VittersNewM. HamptonNewT. PowellNew
Forwards
T. Houser33 min · TRY. Levy21 min · TRJ. Bowman12 minA. SwiftNewC. HardawayNew
Centers
J. FleemanNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
RADUTC
Scoring
79.9 #70Points per game74.1 #192
1.09 #168Points per possession1.10 #132
73.6 #13Pace (possessions)67.6 #249
Shooting
51.4 #181Effective FG%54.2 #60
33.5 #1993-point %35.0 #116
45.4 #593-point attempt rate49.2 #18
42.4 #25Free throw rate29.7 #319
Possessions
17.1 #210Turnover rate14.5 #40
29.8 #207Offensive rebound rate21.8 #358
12.0 #284Assists per game14.3 #127
Defense
80.8 #330Points allowed78.1 #269
1.10 #216Points allowed per possession1.15 #325
53.0 #271Opponent effective FG%51.7 #195
35.5 #279Opponent 3-point %34.2 #195
18.5 #72Turnovers forced13.1 #351
67.8 #267Defensive rebound rate68.3 #240
7.5 #79Steals per game5.0 #336
3.4 #158Blocks per game2.5 #305
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Radford

13-16 in 2025-26 overall · 9-8 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Presbyterian85–91
  • L@ Longwood74–90
  • Wvs SC Upstate71–59
  • L@ UNC Asheville73–74
  • Wvs Gardner-Webb82–70

A week or more of rest.

Chattanooga

10-19 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs The Citadel85–88
  • Wvs VMI86–79
  • Lvs UNC Greensboro80–85
  • W@ The Citadel93–72
  • W@ Mercer94–90

A week or more of rest.