Yuengling Center · at South Florida
#308UWFWest Florida
@
#84USFSouth Florida
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
Season records: West Florida and South Florida
UWFThis seasonUSF
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects USF 90–68 · win probability USF 97%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
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no line yet
Total
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model 157.7
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: USF has more of the edges

UWF 0, USF 1 · Before any stats
USFSmall
Home court
USF at home. This season: USF 0-0 at home, UWF 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UWF 0%, USF 14%. Transfers in: UWF 2, USF 10. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—USF -22.0—
Total—157.7—
Projected score—UWF 67.8 · USF 89.8

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadUSF -13.0—
1H total73.7—
1H projected scoreUWF 30.4 · USF 43.3—

South Florida has the better starters

Position by position: West Florida 0, South Florida 2, even 3
West FloridaBetterSouth Florida
G E. Wali TR5.1 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.3 ast Score 9
USFBig
G S. Wilson TR17.2 pts · 3.8 reb · 4.5 ast Score 79
G C. Monroe NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G A. Dancler TR15.6 pts · 5.3 reb · 2 ast Score 72
F D. Dickerson TR5.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 63
USFSmall
G J. Omojafo11 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.7 ast Score 80
F I. Alexander NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G A. Shoshkikj TR10.4 pts · 2.6 reb · 2.5 ast Score 73
F T. Hall NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F R. Goods TR7.8 pts · 5.9 reb · 2 ast Score 41
West FloridaBetterSouth Florida
UWF offense263rd of 366 · -8.1
USFBig
USF defense121st of 366 · -2.1
UWF defense341st of 366 · -9.1
USFBig
USF offense59th of 366 · +2.7
Backcourt-3.1 · 2 players
USFBig
Backcourt+4.4 · 4 players
Frontcourt+0.2 · 3 players
Even
Frontcourt-0.8 · 1 player
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.3 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestUWF betterUSF betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
West Florida
Guards
E. Wali26 min · TRC. MonroeNewJ. KingNewA. GodleyNewC. ValarezoNewR. FariasNew
Forwards
D. Dickerson14 min · TRI. AlexanderNewT. HallNewS. RutatikaNewJ. SamuelNewT. ThompsonNew
South Florida
Guards
S. Wilson37 min · TRA. Dancler34 min · TRJ. Omojafo28 minA. Shoshkikj26 min · TRC. Davis18 min · TRM. James11 min · TR
Forwards
R. Goods25 min · TRG. Johnson23 min · TRJ. Lewis23 min · TRZ. High9 min · TRR. StevensonNewJ. FeldhausNew
Centers
T. Diawara3 min · TR
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26, 0 games in · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UWFUSF
Scoring
—Points per game86.8 #6
—Points per possession1.17 #42
—Pace (possessions)74.4 #9
Shooting
—Effective FG%50.6 #209
—3-point %32.5 #255
—3-point attempt rate43.8 #93
—Free throw rate40.4 #55
Possessions
—Turnover rate15.1 #73
—Offensive rebound rate38.1 #7
—Assists per game16.8 #28
Defense
—Points allowed76.5 #230
—Points allowed per possession1.03 #54
—Opponent effective FG%48.8 #58
—Opponent 3-point %34.5 #218
—Turnovers forced19.1 #42
—Defensive rebound rate68.1 #252
—Steals per game9.0 #8
—Blocks per game4.0 #72

West Florida

0-0 in 2025-26 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • No games yet

A week or more of rest.

South Florida

24-9 in 2025-26 overall · 17-3 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Louisville79–83
  • Wvs Wichita St70–55
  • Wvs Charlotte86–64
  • Wvs Charlotte83–60
  • W@ Memphis96–89

A week or more of rest.