Chaifetz Arena · at Saint Louis
Line
SLU -24.5moved 1 toward SLU
Total153.5no move
| This season | SLU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects SLU 85–65 · win probability SLU 97%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
SLU -24.5
moved 1 toward SLU
Total
153.5
model 149.8 · Under by 3.5
Model edge
LEH by 3.5
model vs market
Public on the spread
94% LEH
64% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: SLU has more of the edges
LEH 2, SLU 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LEH 23.2%, SLU 30.7%. Defensive: LEH 68.5%, SLU 72.8%
LEH offense vs SLU defense
Offense 257th of 366 against a defense 87th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
LEH has played the 218th-hardest schedule, SLU the 99th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SLU offense vs LEH defense
Offense 61st of 366 against a defense 179th, on the model’s ratings
Shooting
Effective FG%: LEH 52.9 and allows 50.6; SLU 59.7 and allows 45.2
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: LEH plays 68.7 a game (197th fastest), SLU 72.1 (32nd). Faster games mean more points
Three-pointers
LEH hits 36.1% and allows 32.9%; SLU hits 39.9% and allows 30.3%. Threes are 38.3% and 45.1% of their shots
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LEH 100%, SLU 63%. Transfers in: LEH 0, SLU 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Home court
SLU at home. This season: SLU 0-0 at home, LEH 0-0 away
Free throws
Free throw rate: LEH 31.8, SLU 33.7. Allowed: LEH 32.5, SLU 37.1
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: LEH 17.7%, SLU 17.2%. Forced: LEH 16.2%, SLU 15.9%
How games like this went
Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
| Situation | Games | Favorite won | Favorite covered | Went over |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home favorites of 20 or more | 1165 | 99% | 50% | 52% |
| Non-conference games at this spread | 1090 | 99% | 50% | 52% |
| Lines that moved 1+ toward the favorite | 6763 | 75% | 50% | 51% |
| Games with a total of 150 to 154.5 | 2755 | 75% | 51% | 50% |
Market
Open → current
Spread
OpenSLU -23.5
1 → SLU
NowSLU -24.5
1 pt toward SLU
Total
Open153.5
no move
Now153.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
LEH +2500 · SLU -9000
Line movement
Median of 5 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened SLU -23.5 · now SLU -25 · moved 1.5 toward SLUmodel SLU -21
model SLU -21
Opened 153.5 · now 154 · moved 0.5 upmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelNow
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Public betting
Share of bets and of money
Bets
Money
Money is 30 pts ahead of bets on SLU -24.5
Over 153.5TotalUnder 153.5
Bets
Money
Bets
Money
Books
5 sportsbooks · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEH | SLU | Over | Under | LEH | SLU | |
| BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag | -25-110 | +25-110 | 154-115 | 154-105 | — | — |
| BetRiversBetRivers | -24.5-118 | +24.5-108 | 153.5-113 | 153.5-113 | — | — |
| BovadaBovada | -25-110 | +25-110 | 154-115 | 154-105 | — | — |
| DraftKingsDK | -24.5-108 | +24.5-112 | 153.5-115 | 153.5-105 | +2500 | -9000 |
| LowVig.agLowVig.ag | -25-106 | +25-106 | 154-113 | 154-103 | — | — |
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SLU -24.5 | SLU -20.8 | LEH +3.7 |
| Total | 153.5 | 149.8 | Under 3.7 |
| Projected score | — | LEH 64.5 · SLU 85.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SLU -12.2 | — |
| 1H total | 70.0 | — |
| 1H projected score | LEH 28.9 · SLU 41.1 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | |
| 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lehigh
33 games played
Straight up
16-17
48% wins
Against the spread
19-14
58% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-15
55% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 57-75 | +36.5 | W +18.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 9 | @ | L 47-69 | +17.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 14 | @ | L 72-84 | +18.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 79-62 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 67-82 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ | L 55-78 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 132.5 | O 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 70-72 | +10.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 78-74 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 2 | @ | L 71-80 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 82-87 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | @ | L 62-76 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 31 | vs | L 78-85 | -5.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 65-72 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 66-58 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 78-77 | +11.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 14 | @ | W 93-91 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 79-82 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 19 | vs | W 88-81 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 64-59 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 28 | @ | L 64-67 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 77-76 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 4 | @ | L 84-89 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 67-76 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 11 | vs | W 90-82 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 14 | @ | W 78-69 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 18 | @ | L 49-72 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 22 | vs | W 70-67 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 25 | @ | W 78-73 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 89-79 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 5 | vs | W 69-66 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Mar 8 | vs | W 76-69 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 11 | vs | W 74-60 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 18 | vs | L 55-67 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 140.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
HOU
L 57-75
+18.5
9
@
WVU
L 47-69
−4.5
14
@
RUTG
L 72-84
+6.5
18
vs
SFPA
W 79-62
+6.5
21
vs
COLU
L 67-82
−12.5
25
@
MRST
L 55-78
−15.5
28
vs
UCSB
L 70-72
+8.5
29
vs
TXST
W 78-74
+10.5
2
@
BING
L 71-80
−12.5
6
vs
LIU
L 82-87
−3.5
21
@
MONM
L 62-76
−4.5
31
vs
ARMY
L 78-85
−12.5
3
@
BUCK
L 65-72
−2.5
7
vs
HC
W 66-58
+5.5
10
@
COLG
W 78-77
+12.5
14
@
BU
W 93-91
+6.5
17
vs
NAVY
L 79-82
+0.5
19
vs
L-MD
W 88-81
+3.5
24
vs
LAF
W 64-59
+2.5
28
@
ARMY
L 64-67
−4.5
31
vs
COLG
W 77-76
+4.5
4
@
L-MD
L 84-89
−2.5
7
@
HC
L 67-76
−10.5
11
vs
AMER
W 90-82
+9.5
14
@
LAF
W 78-69
+11.5
18
@
NAVY
L 49-72
−13.5
22
vs
BU
W 70-67
+5.5
25
@
AMER
W 78-73
+12.5
28
vs
BUCK
W 89-79
+4.5
5
vs
HC
W 69-66
−2.5
8
vs
COLG
W 76-69
+9.5
11
vs
BU
W 74-60
+16.5
18
vs
PV
L 55-67
−15.5
covered 19didn’t cover 14avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
HOU
L 57-75
−4.5
9
@
WVU
L 47-69
−23.5
14
@
RUTG
L 72-84
+19.5
18
vs
SFPA
W 79-62
−10.5
21
vs
COLU
L 67-82
+5.5
25
@
MRST
L 55-78
+0.5
28
vs
UCSB
L 70-72
−4.5
29
vs
TXST
W 78-74
+16.5
2
@
BING
L 71-80
+11.5
6
vs
LIU
L 82-87
+26.5
21
@
MONM
L 62-76
−5.5
31
vs
ARMY
L 78-85
+16.5
3
@
BUCK
L 65-72
−0.5
7
vs
HC
W 66-58
−13.5
10
@
COLG
W 78-77
+12.5
14
@
BU
W 93-91
+39.5
17
vs
NAVY
L 79-82
+23.5
19
vs
L-MD
W 88-81
+19.5
24
vs
LAF
W 64-59
−20.5
28
@
ARMY
L 64-67
−16.5
31
vs
COLG
W 77-76
+6.5
4
@
L-MD
L 84-89
+23.5
7
@
HC
L 67-76
+5.5
11
vs
AMER
W 90-82
+31.5
14
@
LAF
W 78-69
+6.5
18
@
NAVY
L 49-72
−18.5
22
vs
BU
W 70-67
−4.5
25
@
AMER
W 78-73
+10.5
28
vs
BUCK
W 89-79
+29.5
5
vs
HC
W 69-66
−7.5
8
vs
COLG
W 76-69
−1.5
11
vs
BU
W 74-60
−4.5
18
vs
PV
L 55-67
−18.5
over 18under 15avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Louis
34 games played
Straight up
28-6
82% wins
Against the spread
20-14
59% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-17
50% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 92-67 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 6 | vs | W 108-86 | -30.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 109-66 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 165.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 78-64 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 167.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 91-60 | -19.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 27 | vs | W 71-70 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 77-78 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 2 | @ | W 91-70 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 107-65 | -24.5 | W +17.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 85-75 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 112-53 | -26.5 | W +32.5 | 157.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 93-79 | -34.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 31 | vs | W 102-79 | -19.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 7 | @ | W 71-62 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 84-72 | -17.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 78-56 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 88-63 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 20 | @ | W 81-77 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | @ | W 97-62 | -8.5 | W +26.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 27 | vs | W 79-76 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 167.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 30 | vs | W 102-71 | -9.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 3 | @ | W 91-82 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 82-58 | -22.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 13 | @ | W 86-59 | -17.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 17 | @ | L 76-81 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 20 | vs | W 88-75 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 24 | @ | L 62-77 | -3.5 | L −18.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 91-76 | -13.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 4 | vs | W 79-65 | -21.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
| Mar 7 | @ | L 57-86 | -7.5 | L −36.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 13 | vs | W 88-81 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 169 |
| Mar 14 | vs | L 69-70 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 19 | vs | W 102-77 | +1.5 | W +26.5 | 167.5 | O 179 |
| Mar 21 | vs | L 72-95 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 161.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SEMO
W 92-67
+5.5
6
vs
CHST
W 108-86
−8.5
10
vs
LIN
W 109-66
+18.5
15
vs
GCU
W 78-64
+5.5
21
vs
PFW
W 91-60
+11.5
27
vs
SCU
W 71-70
−0.5
28
vs
STAN
L 77-78
−2.5
2
@
LMU
W 91-70
+13.5
7
vs
CMU
W 107-65
+17.5
13
vs
SF
W 85-75
−2.5
17
vs
BCU
W 112-53
+32.5
21
vs
UNH
W 93-79
−20.5
31
vs
JOES
W 102-79
+3.5
7
@
VCU
W 71-62
+10.5
10
@
LAS
W 84-72
−5.5
14
vs
FOR
W 78-56
+4.5
17
vs
RICH
W 88-63
+10.5
20
@
DUQ
W 81-77
−4.5
23
@
SBU
W 97-62
+26.5
27
vs
GW
W 79-76
−7.5
30
vs
DAY
W 102-71
+21.5
3
@
DAV
W 91-82
+0.5
7
vs
LAS
W 82-58
+1.5
13
@
LUC
W 86-59
+9.5
17
@
URI
L 76-81
−14.5
20
vs
VCU
W 88-75
+5.5
24
@
DAY
L 62-77
−18.5
28
vs
DUQ
W 91-76
+1.5
4
vs
LUC
W 79-65
−7.5
7
@
GMU
L 57-86
−36.5
13
vs
GW
W 88-81
+0.5
14
vs
DAY
L 69-70
−5.5
19
vs
UGA
W 102-77
+26.5
21
vs
MICH
L 72-95
−10.5
covered 20didn’t cover 14avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
SEMO
W 92-67
+5.5
6
vs
CHST
W 108-86
+38.5
10
vs
LIN
W 109-66
+9.5
15
vs
GCU
W 78-64
−25.5
21
vs
PFW
W 91-60
−15.5
27
vs
SCU
W 71-70
−17.5
28
vs
STAN
L 77-78
−5.5
2
@
LMU
W 91-70
+10.5
7
vs
CMU
W 107-65
+11.5
13
vs
SF
W 85-75
+4.5
17
vs
BCU
W 112-53
+7.5
21
vs
UNH
W 93-79
+14.5
31
vs
JOES
W 102-79
+19.5
7
@
VCU
W 71-62
−38.5
10
@
LAS
W 84-72
+3.5
14
vs
FOR
W 78-56
−20.5
17
vs
RICH
W 88-63
−11.5
20
@
DUQ
W 81-77
−7.5
23
@
SBU
W 97-62
−0.5
27
vs
GW
W 79-76
−12.5
30
vs
DAY
W 102-71
+21.5
3
@
DAV
W 91-82
+21.5
7
vs
LAS
W 82-58
−13.5
13
@
LUC
W 86-59
−10.5
17
@
URI
L 76-81
+5.5
20
vs
VCU
W 88-75
−1.5
24
@
DAY
L 62-77
−18.5
28
vs
DUQ
W 91-76
+6.5
4
vs
LUC
W 79-65
−11.5
7
@
GMU
L 57-86
−3.5
13
vs
GW
W 88-81
+10.5
14
vs
DAY
L 69-70
−6.5
19
vs
UGA
W 102-77
+11.5
21
vs
MICH
L 72-95
+5.5
over 17under 17avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Louis has the better starters
Position by position: Lehigh 1, Saint Louis 3, even 1
LehighBetterSaint Louis
G J. Ingram10.7 pts · 5.1 reb · 3.3 ast
Score 54
=Even
G Q. Jones9 pts · 3.8 reb · 2.9 ast
Score 51
G C. Thomas5.3 pts · 1.3 reb · 1.8 ast
Score 2
→SLUBig
G T. Green11.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.7 ast
Score 86
G J. Vazquez4 pts · 2.6 reb · 2 ast
Score 11
→SLUBig
G A. McCottry10.5 pts · 5.3 reb · 2.9 ast
Score 84
F E. Benoit10.2 pts · 6 reb · 1.1 ast
Score 24
→SLUBig
F I. Sharma9.2 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 67
C H. Alvey15.4 pts · 7 reb · 2.1 ast
Score 86
←LEHSmall
F A. Michaeli TR7.1 pts · 3.9 reb · 1 ast
Score 58
LehighBetterSaint Louis
LEH offense257th of 366 · -7.9
→SLUBig
SLU defense87th of 366 · -0.1
LEH defense179th of 366 · -4.1
→SLUSmall
SLU offense61st of 366 · +2.6
Backcourt-6.9 · 3 players
→SLUBig
Backcourt+2.6 · 3 players
Frontcourt+2.3 · 2 players
←LEHSmall
Frontcourt+0.6 · 2 players
Bench-7.6 · 4 players
→SLUBig
Bench+3.7 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestLEH betterSLU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
J. Ingram36 minC. Thomas23 minJ. Vazquez22 minP. Kramer19 minA. Urosevic19 minC. BurrowsNew
Forwards
E. Benoit29 minJ. Pike12 minA. Addesa8 minR. RudusansNewN. DjanoglyNew
Centers
H. Alvey31 minC. CohenNew
Guards
Q. Jones27 minT. Green24 minA. McCottry23 minK. Thames17 minC. Hutson4 minI. Holmes2 min
Forwards
I. Sharma22 minA. Michaeli18 min · TRE. Strong17 min · TRJ. Kerr6 minS. PearsonNewB. DiakiteNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 71.8 #249 | Points per game | 86.4 #7 |
| 1.05 #257 | Points per possession | 1.20 #14 |
| 68.7 #197 | Pace (possessions) | 72.1 #32 |
| Shooting | ||
| 52.9 #107 | Effective FG% | 59.7 #2 |
| 36.1 #56 | 3-point % | 39.9 #2 |
| 38.3 #206 | 3-point attempt rate | 45.1 #64 |
| 31.8 #258 | Free throw rate | 33.7 #221 |
| Possessions | ||
| 17.7 #250 | Turnover rate | 17.2 #218 |
| 23.2 #349 | Offensive rebound rate | 30.7 #173 |
| 13.9 #153 | Assists per game | 18.3 #8 |
| Defense | ||
| 74.4 #171 | Points allowed | 71.6 #94 |
| 1.08 #175 | Points allowed per possession | 0.99 #21 |
| 50.6 #133 | Opponent effective FG% | 45.2 #3 |
| 32.9 #109 | Opponent 3-point % | 30.3 #14 |
| 16.2 #212 | Turnovers forced | 15.9 #224 |
| 68.5 #226 | Defensive rebound rate | 72.8 #43 |
| 6.6 #163 | Steals per game | 7.1 #117 |
| 3.1 #209 | Blocks per game | 3.4 #168 |
Lehigh
16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 14-7 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Prairie View55–67
- Wvs Boston U74–60
- Wvs Colgate76–69
- Wvs Holy Cross69–66
- Wvs Bucknell89–79
A week or more of rest.
Saint Louis
28-6 in 2025-26 overall · 16-4 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Michigan72–95
- Wvs Georgia102–77
- Lvs Dayton69–70
- Wvs G Washington88–81
- L@ George Mason57–86
A week or more of rest.