Chaifetz Arena · at Saint Louis
#216LEHLehigh
@
#69SLUSaint Louis
LineSLU -24.5moved 1 toward SLU
Total153.5no move
Season records: Lehigh and Saint Louis
LEHThis seasonSLU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SLU 85–65 · win probability SLU 97%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
SLU -24.5
moved 1 toward SLU
Total
153.5
model 149.8 · Under by 3.5
Model edge
LEH by 3.5
model vs market
Public on the spread
94% LEH
64% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SLU has more of the edges

LEH 2, SLU 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SLUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LEH 23.2%, SLU 30.7%. Defensive: LEH 68.5%, SLU 72.8%
SLUBig
LEH offense vs SLU defense
Offense 257th of 366 against a defense 87th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
LEH has played the 218th-hardest schedule, SLU the 99th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SLUBig
SLU offense vs LEH defense
Offense 61st of 366 against a defense 179th, on the model’s ratings
SLUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: LEH 52.9 and allows 50.6; SLU 59.7 and allows 45.2
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: LEH plays 68.7 a game (197th fastest), SLU 72.1 (32nd). Faster games mean more points
SLUSmall
Three-pointers
LEH hits 36.1% and allows 32.9%; SLU hits 39.9% and allows 30.3%. Threes are 38.3% and 45.1% of their shots
LEHSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LEH 100%, SLU 63%. Transfers in: LEH 0, SLU 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
SLUSmall
Home court
SLU at home. This season: SLU 0-0 at home, LEH 0-0 away
LEHSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: LEH 31.8, SLU 33.7. Allowed: LEH 32.5, SLU 37.1
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: LEH 17.7%, SLU 17.2%. Forced: LEH 16.2%, SLU 15.9%

How games like this went

Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
SituationGamesFavorite wonFavorite coveredWent over
Home favorites of 20 or more116599%50%52%
Non-conference games at this spread109099%50%52%
Lines that moved 1+ toward the favorite676375%50%51%
Games with a total of 150 to 154.5275575%51%50%

Market

Open → current
Spread
1 pt toward SLU
Total
No change since the open
Moneyline
LEH +2500 · SLU -9000
Line movement
Median of 5 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened SLU -23.5 · now SLU -25 · moved 1.5 toward SLUmodel SLU -21
Opened 153.5 · now 154 · moved 0.5 upmodel 150
Openline modelNow

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
LEH +24.5SpreadSLU -24.5
Bets
Money
Money is 30 pts ahead of bets on SLU -24.5
Over 153.5TotalUnder 153.5
Bets
Money
LEHWinnerSLU
Bets
Money

Books

5 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
LEHSLUOverUnderLEHSLU
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag-25-110+25-110154-115154-105——
BetRiversBetRivers-24.5-118+24.5-108153.5-113153.5-113——
BovadaBovada-25-110+25-110154-115154-105——
DraftKingsDK-24.5-108+24.5-112153.5-115153.5-105+2500-9000
LowVig.agLowVig.ag-25-106+25-106154-113154-103——

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
SpreadSLU -24.5SLU -20.8LEH +3.7
Total153.5149.8Under 3.7
Projected score—LEH 64.5 · SLU 85.3

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadSLU -12.2—
1H total70.0—
1H projected scoreLEH 28.9 · SLU 41.1—

Saint Louis has the better starters

Position by position: Lehigh 1, Saint Louis 3, even 1
LehighBetterSaint Louis
G J. Ingram10.7 pts · 5.1 reb · 3.3 ast Score 54
Even
G Q. Jones9 pts · 3.8 reb · 2.9 ast Score 51
G C. Thomas5.3 pts · 1.3 reb · 1.8 ast Score 2
SLUBig
G T. Green11.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.7 ast Score 86
G J. Vazquez4 pts · 2.6 reb · 2 ast Score 11
SLUBig
G A. McCottry10.5 pts · 5.3 reb · 2.9 ast Score 84
F E. Benoit10.2 pts · 6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 24
SLUBig
F I. Sharma9.2 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.4 ast Score 67
C H. Alvey15.4 pts · 7 reb · 2.1 ast Score 86
LEHSmall
F A. Michaeli TR7.1 pts · 3.9 reb · 1 ast Score 58
LehighBetterSaint Louis
LEH offense257th of 366 · -7.9
SLUBig
SLU defense87th of 366 · -0.1
LEH defense179th of 366 · -4.1
SLUSmall
SLU offense61st of 366 · +2.6
Backcourt-6.9 · 3 players
SLUBig
Backcourt+2.6 · 3 players
Frontcourt+2.3 · 2 players
LEHSmall
Frontcourt+0.6 · 2 players
Bench-7.6 · 4 players
SLUBig
Bench+3.7 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestLEH betterSLU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Lehigh
Guards
J. Ingram36 minC. Thomas23 minJ. Vazquez22 minP. Kramer19 minA. Urosevic19 minC. BurrowsNew
Forwards
E. Benoit29 minJ. Pike12 minA. Addesa8 minR. RudusansNewN. DjanoglyNew
Centers
H. Alvey31 minC. CohenNew
Saint Louis
Guards
Q. Jones27 minT. Green24 minA. McCottry23 minK. Thames17 minC. Hutson4 minI. Holmes2 min
Forwards
I. Sharma22 minA. Michaeli18 min · TRE. Strong17 min · TRJ. Kerr6 minS. PearsonNewB. DiakiteNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
LEHSLU
Scoring
71.8 #249Points per game86.4 #7
1.05 #257Points per possession1.20 #14
68.7 #197Pace (possessions)72.1 #32
Shooting
52.9 #107Effective FG%59.7 #2
36.1 #563-point %39.9 #2
38.3 #2063-point attempt rate45.1 #64
31.8 #258Free throw rate33.7 #221
Possessions
17.7 #250Turnover rate17.2 #218
23.2 #349Offensive rebound rate30.7 #173
13.9 #153Assists per game18.3 #8
Defense
74.4 #171Points allowed71.6 #94
1.08 #175Points allowed per possession0.99 #21
50.6 #133Opponent effective FG%45.2 #3
32.9 #109Opponent 3-point %30.3 #14
16.2 #212Turnovers forced15.9 #224
68.5 #226Defensive rebound rate72.8 #43
6.6 #163Steals per game7.1 #117
3.1 #209Blocks per game3.4 #168

Lehigh

16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 14-7 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Prairie View55–67
  • Wvs Boston U74–60
  • Wvs Colgate76–69
  • Wvs Holy Cross69–66
  • Wvs Bucknell89–79

A week or more of rest.

Saint Louis

28-6 in 2025-26 overall · 16-4 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Michigan72–95
  • Wvs Georgia102–77
  • Lvs Dayton69–70
  • Wvs G Washington88–81
  • L@ George Mason57–86

A week or more of rest.