1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 2
  3. WMU @ ODU
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 2

Western Michigan Broncos at Old Dominion Monarchs

Chartway Arena · at Old Dominion
#187WMUW Michigan
@
#233ODUOld Dominion
LineWMU -1.5moved 3 toward WMU
Total157.5no move
WMUThis seasonODU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WMU 77–75 · win probability WMU 55%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
WMU -1.5
moved 3 toward WMU
Total
157.5
model 151.8 · Under by 6
Model edge
Even
matches the market
Public on the spread
67% ODU
82% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: ODU has more of the edges

WMU 2, ODU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
ODUBig
Three-pointers
WMU hits 35.3% and allows 36.1%; ODU hits 36.0% and allows 32.0%. Threes are 36.1% and 36.2% of their shots
WMUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WMU 30.5%, ODU 26.0%. Defensive: WMU 70.9%, ODU 69.7%
ODUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: WMU 49.9 and allows 54.4; ODU 50.6 and allows 50.8
WMUSmall
WMU offense vs ODU defense
Offense 137th of 366 against a defense 222nd, on the model’s ratings
ODUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WMU 0%, ODU 34%. Transfers in: WMU 9, ODU 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
ODUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WMU 16.8%, ODU 15.4%. Forced: WMU 13.4%, ODU 14.5%
ODUSmall
Home court
ODU at home. This season: ODU 0-0 at home, WMU 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: WMU plays 69.3 a game (160th fastest), ODU 70.8 (81st). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
WMU has played the 175th-hardest schedule, ODU the 188th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
ODU offense vs WMU defense
Offense 240th of 366 against a defense 253rd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: WMU 32.8, ODU 34.7. Allowed: WMU 37.5, ODU 42.0
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

How games like this went

Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
SituationGamesFavorite wonFavorite coveredWent over
Road favorites of under 3141254%50%50%
Non-conference games at this spread109454%49%50%
Lines that moved 1+ toward the favorite676375%50%51%
Games with a total of 155 to 159.5155574%51%49%
A bet at standard prices needs 52.4% to break even, and most situations sit near 50%. Past rates, not a prediction.

Market

Open → current
Spread
3 pts toward WMU
Total
No change since the open
Moneyline
WMU -120 · ODU -104
Line movement
Median of 8 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened ODU -1.5 · now WMU -1.5 · moved 3 toward WMUmodel WMU -1.5 matches the line
Opened 157.5 · unchangedmodel 152
Openline modelNow

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
WMU -1.5SpreadODU +1.5
Bets
Money
Money is 15 pts ahead of bets on ODU +1.5
Over 157.5TotalUnder 157.5
Bets
Money
WMUWinnerODU
Bets
Money
Money is 33 pts ahead of bets on ODU
Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read . ⓘ

Books

8 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
WMUODUOverUnderWMUODU
BetMGMMGM+1.5-105-1.5-115157.5-110157.5-110-120+100
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag+1-110-1-110157.5-110157.5-110——
BetRiversBetRivers+0.5-122-0.5-104157.5-112157.5-114-122-104
BetUSBetUS+1-110-1-110157.5-110157.5-110——
BovadaBovada+1.5-110-1.5-110157-110157-110-115-105
DraftKingsDK+1.5-108-1.5-112157.5-108157.5-112-125+105
FanDuelFD+1.5-102-1.5-120157.5-105157.5-115-114-105
LowVig.agLowVig.ag+1-106-1-106157.5-108157.5-108——
Prices from The Odds API, updated 2:00 AM ET. Green = best price in the column.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
SpreadWMU -1.5WMU -1.4ODU +0.1
Total157.5151.8Under 5.8
Projected score—WMU 76.6 · ODU 75.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadWMU -1.0—
1H total70.9—
1H projected scoreWMU 36 · ODU 35—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

W Michigan has the better starters

Position by position: W Michigan 3, Old Dominion 0, even 2
W MichiganBetterOld Dominion
G T. Hayhurst TR10 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.4 ast Score 41
Even
G B. Benjamin TR5.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.9 ast Score 32
G M. Bendinger TR14.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 37
Even
G Z. Wiggins6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.1 ast Score 46
G R. Lee TR15.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.9 ast Score 79
WMUBig
G S. Hubbard3.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 10
G J. Washington TR10 pts · 2.3 reb · 4 ast Score 73
WMUBig
F Z. Weluche-Ume TR11.1 pts · 7.3 reb · 0.9 ast Score 29
F I. Finlinson TR9.4 pts · 3.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 56
WMUSmall
F J. Turner6.2 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.8 ast Score 30
W MichiganBetterOld Dominion
WMU offense137th of 366 · -4.0
WMUSmall
ODU defense222nd of 366 · -5.8
WMU defense253rd of 366 · -6.6
Even
ODU offense240th of 366 · -7.3
Backcourt-1.0 · 4 players
WMUSmall
Backcourt-3.8 · 3 players
Frontcourt0.0 · 1 player
WMUSmall
Frontcourt-2.9 · 2 players
Bench-1.7 · 4 players
WMUSmall
Bench-3.2 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestWMU betterODU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
W Michigan
Guards
T. Hayhurst31 min · TRM. Bendinger31 min · TRR. Lee29 min · TRJ. Washington27 min · TRJ. Gomez23 min · TRA. Harakow19 min · TR
Forwards
I. Finlinson23 min · TRJ. Eli15 min · TRA. Kiudulas14 min · TRD. WatkinsNew
Centers
J. JünemannNew
Old Dominion
Guards
B. Benjamin20 min · TRZ. Wiggins18 minS. Hubbard16 minK. Thurmon11 min · TRC. Parker3 minR. Hellams2 min
Forwards
Z. Weluche-Ume31 min · TRJ. Turner21 minK. Howze10 min · TRB. Nacey8 minJ. NwekeNewL. MartiniNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WMUODU
Scoring
73.9 #203Points per game75.7 #150
1.06 #225Points per possession1.06 #217
69.3 #160Pace (possessions)70.8 #81
Shooting
49.9 #241Effective FG%50.6 #203
35.3 #953-point %36.0 #60
36.1 #2483-point attempt rate36.2 #245
32.8 #241Free throw rate34.7 #189
Possessions
16.8 #191Turnover rate15.4 #95
30.5 #177Offensive rebound rate26.0 #323
12.4 #256Assists per game12.9 #218
Defense
80.1 #320Points allowed78.7 #283
1.16 #336Points allowed per possession1.12 #263
54.4 #310Opponent effective FG%50.8 #145
36.1 #307Opponent 3-point %32.0 #62
13.4 #346Turnovers forced14.5 #321
70.9 #110Defensive rebound rate69.7 #176
4.1 #362Steals per game5.7 #275
2.5 #301Blocks per game3.1 #208
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

W Michigan

9-20 in 2025-26 overall · 4-14 in conference · Mid-American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Kent State78–86
  • Lvs Ball State71–74
  • Lvs Miami OH67–69
  • W@ Bowling Green88–79
  • L@ C Michigan70–83

A week or more of rest.

Old Dominion

11-21 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs GA Southern84–88
  • Wvs UL Monroe87–80
  • W@ Georgia St81–73
  • L@ Marshall88–97
  • L@ Southern Miss81–86

A week or more of rest.