Lloyd Noble Center · at Oklahoma
#342ETAMEast Texas A&M
@
#31OUOklahoma
LineOU -31.5moved 1 toward OU
Total149.5down 1 from 150.5
Season records: East Texas A&M and Oklahoma
ETAMThis seasonOU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects OU 91–60 · win probability OU 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
OU -31.5
moved 1 toward OU
Total
149.5
model 151.1 · Over by 1.5
Model edge
ETAM by 0.5
model vs market
Public on the spread
89% ETAM
70% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: OU has more of the edges

ETAM 0, OU 8 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
OUBig
ETAM offense vs OU defense
Offense 344th of 366 against a defense 51st, on the model’s ratings
OUBig
OU offense vs ETAM defense
Offense 28th of 366 against a defense 317th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
ETAM has played the 265th-hardest schedule, OU the 32nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
OUBig
Three-pointers
ETAM hits 31.3% and allows 37.3%; OU hits 36.5% and allows 34.1%. Threes are 46.2% and 43.6% of their shots
OUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: ETAM 49.2 and allows 52.9; OU 54.9 and allows 51.0
OUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: ETAM 25.7%, OU 32.8%. Defensive: ETAM 67.2%, OU 67.1%
OUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: ETAM 19.2%, OU 14.3%. Forced: ETAM 17.0%, OU 15.5%
OUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: ETAM 7%, OU 43%. Transfers in: ETAM 2, OU 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
OUSmall
Home court
OU at home. This season: OU 0-0 at home, ETAM 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: ETAM 32.0, OU 35.5. Allowed: ETAM 34.5, OU 34.9
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: ETAM plays 68.5 a game (203rd fastest), OU 69.4 (154th). Faster games mean more points

How games like this went

Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
SituationGamesFavorite wonFavorite coveredWent over
Home favorites of 20 or more116599%50%52%
Non-conference games at this spread109099%50%52%
Lines that moved 1+ toward the favorite676375%50%51%
Games with a total of 145 to 149.5354774%49%50%

Market

Open → current
Spread
1 pt toward OU
Total
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
ETAM +5000 · OU -100000
Line movement
Median of 5 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened OU -30.5 · now OU -31.5 · moved 1 toward OUmodel OU -31
Opened 150.5 · now 149.5 · moved 1 downmodel 151
Openline modelNow

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
ETAM +31.5SpreadOU -31.5
Bets
Money
Money is 19 pts ahead of bets on OU -31.5

Books

5 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
ETAMOUOverUnderETAMOU
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag-31.5-110+31.5-110149.5-110149.5-110——
BetRiversBetRivers-30.5-121+30.5-106151.5-108151.5-118——
BovadaBovada-31.5-110+31.5-110149.5-110149.5-110——
DraftKingsDK-31.5-118+31.5-102149.5-110149.5-110+5000-100000
LowVig.agLowVig.ag-31.5-106+31.5-106149.5-108149.5-108——

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
SpreadOU -31.5OU -30.8ETAM +0.7
Total149.5151.1Over 1.6
Projected score—ETAM 60.2 · OU 90.9

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadOU -18.2—
1H total70.6—
1H projected scoreETAM 26.2 · OU 44.4—

Oklahoma has the better starters

Position by position: East Texas A&M 0, Oklahoma 1, even 4
East Texas A&MBetterOklahoma
G A. Dodd TR14.3 pts · 5.3 reb · 4.1 ast Score 82
Even
G B. Edwards TR12.7 pts · 5.9 reb · 4.9 ast Score 93
G E. Phelps1.3 pts · 0.7 reb · 1 ast Score 0
OUBig
G X. Brown15.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.3 ast Score 92
G K. Tolbert NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G T. Hendricks TR11.1 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.9 ast Score 60
F J. Ford TR3.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
No call
F D. Brennan TR12.4 pts · 10.3 reb · 2 ast Score 95
F B. Aldridge NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F D. Reid11.7 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.1 ast Score 84
East Texas A&MBetterOklahoma
ETAM offense344th of 366 · -11.8
OUBig
OU defense51st of 366 · +1.9
ETAM defense317th of 366 · -8.2
OUBig
OU offense28th of 366 · +6.6
Backcourt-1.7 · 3 players
OUBig
Backcourt+6.7 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.0 · 2 players
OUBig
Frontcourt+6.9 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+2.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestETAM betterOU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
East Texas A&M
Guards
A. Dodd32 min · TRE. Phelps15 minK. TolbertNewC. AdlamNewK. RobinsonNewG. SkorjancNew
Forwards
J. Ford10 min · TRB. AldridgeNewY. VidalNewM. DiakiteNewC. DinuNewM. CarrioNew
Oklahoma
Guards
B. Edwards33 min · TRX. Brown32 minT. Hendricks31 min · TRP. Isaacs22 min · TRD. Forsythe17 minB. MoserNew
Forwards
D. Brennan31 min · TRD. Reid28 minK. Rooths16 min · TRK. Rogers8 minF. KeeffeNewG. MayfieldNew
Centers
Y. Yaak15 min · TR
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
ETAMOU
Scoring
67.1 #331Points per game82.9 #29
0.98 #342Points per possession1.19 #23
68.5 #203Pace (possessions)69.4 #154
Shooting
49.2 #282Effective FG%54.9 #40
31.3 #3133-point %36.5 #41
46.2 #433-point attempt rate43.6 #97
32.0 #257Free throw rate35.5 #161
Possessions
19.2 #330Turnover rate14.3 #33
25.7 #328Offensive rebound rate32.8 #92
14.6 #109Assists per game14.5 #116
Defense
76.0 #218Points allowed77.4 #248
1.11 #240Points allowed per possession1.12 #271
52.9 #261Opponent effective FG%51.0 #162
37.3 #347Opponent 3-point %34.1 #189
17.0 #156Turnovers forced15.5 #247
67.2 #288Defensive rebound rate67.1 #296
6.7 #150Steals per game6.3 #193
3.1 #196Blocks per game3.9 #89

East Texas A&M

9-21 in 2025-26 overall · 6-16 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Texas A&M-CC71–84
  • L@ UT Rio Grande55–63
  • Lvs Hou Christian68–69
  • Lvs Incarnate Word73–82
  • Wvs SE Louisiana70–53

A week or more of rest.

Oklahoma

21-16 in 2025-26 overall · 9-12 in conference · Southeastern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs West Virginia82–89
  • Wvs Baylor82–69
  • Wvs Colorado90–86
  • Lvs Arkansas79–82
  • Wvs Texas A&M83–63

A week or more of rest.