Xfinity Mobile Arena · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
TENN -12.5✓ TENN covered by 9.5
TENN -12.5✓ TENN covered by 9.5Closing total148.5Under by 14.5
 M-OH | This season | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| 29-1 | Record | 22-11 |
| 19-11 | ATS | 14-19 |
| 20-10 | O/U | 16-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: M-OH 69–85 TENN · ✓ TENN (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 32 | 24 | 56 |
| TENN | 51 | 27 | 78 |
1st half: M-OH 32, TENN 51 (TENN by 19). The model had TENN by 9.5 and a total of 72.1 (actual 83).
Team stats
| M-OH | TENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-54 35% | Field goals | 31-59 53% |
| 7-29 24% | 3-pointers | 9-20 45% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 7-10 70% |
| 25 8 off | Rebounds | 42 13 off |
| 8 | Assists | 19 |
| 8 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| M-OH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brant Byers F | 38 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3-12 | 1-6 |
| Peter Suder G | 33 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 7-12 | 4-7 |
| Eian Elmer G | 30 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-10 | 0-7 |
| Antwone Woolfolk F | 27 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Luke Skaljac G | 25 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey Perry G | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Almar Atlason F | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Justin Kirby G | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Tyler Robbins, Brady Ganley, Jackson Kotecki, Leshawn Stowers, Kyle Waltz, Ethan Wright, Blake Anderson, Evan Ipsaro, Eli Yofan
| TENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie G | 36 | 29 | 3 | 9 | 11-21 | 6-11 |
| Felix Okpara F | 29 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| J.P. Estrella F | 28 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 7-12 | 0-0 |
| Bishop Boswell G | 22 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Nate Ament F | 18 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Amari Evans G | 27 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Ethan Burg G | 23 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| DeWayne Brown II F | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Carey F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Clarence Massamba G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Amaree Abram G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Troy Henderson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Campbell Duncan, Gavin Paull, Grant Hurst, Cade Phillips
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTENN -12.5
ModelTENN -16.1
Model edgeTENN +3.6
W TENN covered
Total
Market148.5
Model154.3
Model edgeOver 5.8
L Under
Projected score
M-OH 69.1 · TENN 85.2
M-OH 56 · TENN 78
Win probability
TENN 92%
1st half
Spread
TENN -9.5
TENN -19.0
Total
72.1
83 points
Projected score
M-OH 31.3 · TENN 40.8
M-OH 32 · TENN 51
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTENN -10.5
2 → TENN
CloseTENN -12.5
2 pts toward TENN
Total
Open148.5
no move
Close148.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
M-OH +410 · TENN -550
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TENN -10.5 · closed TENN -12.5 · moved 2 toward TENNmodel TENN -16
model TENN -16
Opened 148.5 · unchangedmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| TENN | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miami OH
30 games played
Straight up
29-1
97% wins
Against the spread
19-11
63% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
20-10
67% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ODU | W 87-72 | -16.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 15 | @ AF | W 76-61 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | vs MERC | W 76-71 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs UAPB | W 111-84 | -21.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCG | W 82-71 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs ME | W 93-61 | -17.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 10 | @ UNCA | W 90-87 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | @ EKU | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 16 | @ WRST | W 83-76 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @ BALL | W 86-77 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 30 | @ BGSU | W 93-83 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | vs AKR | W 76-73 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vs WMU | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 9 | @ TOL | W 87-73 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs CMU | W 100-61 | -15.5 | W +23.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 17 | vs BUF | W 105-102 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | O 207 |
| Jan 20 | @ KENT | W 107-101 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 167.5 | O 208 |
| Jan 27 | vs MASS | W 86-84 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | vs NIU | W 85-61 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 3 | @BUF | W 73-71 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 7 | @ MRSH | W 90-74 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 13 | vs OHIO | W 90-74 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 17 | @MASS | W 86-77 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 20 | vsBGSU | W 91-77 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 24 | @ EMU | W 74-64 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 27 | @WMU | W 69-67 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
| Mar 3 | vsTOL | W 74-72 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 6 | @OHIO | W 110-108 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 218 |
| Mar 12 | vsMASS | L 83-87 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 161.5 | O 170 |
| Mar 18 | vs SMU | W 89-79 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
−1.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
+4.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
−10.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+5.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+0.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
−3.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
+4.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+5.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+1.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+16.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
+7.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
−3.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
+15.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 100-61
+23.5
17
vsBUF
BUFW 105-102
−7.5
20
@KENT
KENTW 107-101
+7.5
27
vsMASS
MASSW 86-84
−7.5
31
vsNIU
NIUW 85-61
+7.5
3
@BUF
BUFW 73-71
−2.5
7
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-74
+14.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-74
+8.5
17
@MASS
MASSW 86-77
+5.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-77
+5.5
24
@EMU
EMUW 74-64
+1.5
27
@WMU
WMUW 69-67
−10.5
3
vsTOL
TOLW 74-72
−5.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOW 110-108
−1.5
12
vsMASS
MASSL 83-87
−10.5
18
vsSMU
SMUW 89-79
+16.5
covered 19didn’t cover 11avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
+5.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
−6.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
+7.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+34.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+2.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
+24.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
−10.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+9.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+15.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+25.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
−28.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
+2.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
−6.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 100-61
+2.5
17
vsBUF
BUFW 105-102
+44.5
20
@KENT
KENTW 107-101
+40.5
27
vsMASS
MASSW 86-84
+5.5
31
vsNIU
NIUW 85-61
−12.5
3
@BUF
BUFW 73-71
−21.5
7
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-74
+1.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-74
+0.5
17
@MASS
MASSW 86-77
−0.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-77
+13.5
24
@EMU
EMUW 74-64
−13.5
27
@WMU
WMUW 69-67
−25.5
3
vsTOL
TOLW 74-72
−16.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOW 110-108
+58.5
12
vsMASS
MASSL 83-87
+8.5
18
vsSMU
SMUW 89-79
+5.5
over 20under 10avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tennessee
33 games played
Straight up
22-11
67% wins
Against the spread
14-19
42% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-17
48% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MER | W 76-61 | -28.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs NKU | W 95-56 | -27.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNF | W 99-66 | -41.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 17 | vs RICE | W 91-66 | -26.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 20 | vs TNST | W 89-60 | -31.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs RUTG | W 85-60 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs HOU | W 76-73 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vs KU | L 76-81 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | @ SYR | L 60-62 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | vs ILL | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 16 | vs LOU | W 83-62 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 21 | vs GWEB | W 94-52 | -42.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 30 | vs SCST | W 105-54 | -44.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @ ARK | L 75-86 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 6 | vs TEX | W 85-71 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ FLA | L 67-91 | +4.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 13 | vs TA&M | W 87-82 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | vs UK | L 78-80 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 24 | @ ALA | W 79-73 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 167.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 28 | @ UGA | W 86-85 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 31 | vs AUB | W 77-69 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 3 | vs MISS | W 84-66 | -12.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @UK | L 71-74 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 11 | @ MSST | W 73-64 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 14 | vs LSU | W 73-63 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 18 | vs OU | W 89-66 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 21 | @ VAN | W 69-65 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 150.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 24 | @ MIZ | L 69-73 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 28 | vsALA | L 69-71 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 3 | @ SC | W 78-59 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Mar 7 | vsVAN | L 82-86 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 12 | vsAUB | W 72-62 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 13 | vsVAN | L 68-75 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMER
MERW 76-61
−13.5
8
vsNKU
NKUW 95-56
+11.5
12
vsUNF
UNFW 99-66
−8.5
17
vsRICE
RICEW 91-66
−1.5
20
vsTNST
TNSTW 89-60
−2.5
24
vsRUTG
RUTGW 85-60
+10.5
25
vsHOU
HOUW 76-73
+5.5
26
vsKU
KUL 76-81
−12.5
2
@SYR
SYRL 60-62
−9.5
6
vsILL
ILLL 62-75
−14.5
16
vsLOU
LOUW 83-62
+16.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 94-52
−0.5
30
vsSCST
SCSTW 105-54
+6.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 75-86
−12.5
6
vsTEX
TEXW 85-71
+1.5
10
@FLA
FLAL 67-91
−19.5
13
vsTA&M
TA&MW 87-82
−6.5
17
vsUK
UKL 78-80
−8.5
24
@ALA
ALAW 79-73
+10.5
28
@UGA
UGAW 86-85
−0.5
31
vsAUB
AUBW 77-69
+2.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 84-66
+5.5
7
@UK
UKL 71-74
−1.5
11
@MSST
MSSTW 73-64
+0.5
14
vsLSU
LSUW 73-63
−4.5
18
vsOU
OUW 89-66
+11.5
21
@VAN
VANW 69-65
+6.5
24
@MIZ
MIZL 69-73
−7.5
28
vsALA
ALAL 69-71
−7.5
3
@SC
SCW 78-59
+8.5
7
vsVAN
VANL 82-86
−6.5
12
vsAUB
AUBW 72-62
+4.5
13
vsVAN
VANL 68-75
−8.5
covered 14didn’t cover 19avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMER
MERW 76-61
−6.5
8
vsNKU
NKUW 95-56
+13.5
12
vsUNF
UNFW 99-66
+9.5
17
vsRICE
RICEW 91-66
+13.5
20
vsTNST
TNSTW 89-60
−8.5
24
vsRUTG
RUTGW 85-60
+3.5
25
vsHOU
HOUW 76-73
+12.5
26
vsKU
KUL 76-81
+16.5
2
@SYR
SYRL 60-62
−25.5
6
vsILL
ILLL 62-75
−12.5
16
vsLOU
LOUW 83-62
−11.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 94-52
−6.5
30
vsSCST
SCSTW 105-54
+11.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 75-86
+2.5
6
vsTEX
TEXW 85-71
+2.5
10
@FLA
FLAL 67-91
+6.5
13
vsTA&M
TA&MW 87-82
+9.5
17
vsUK
UKL 78-80
+12.5
24
@ALA
ALAW 79-73
−15.5
28
@UGA
UGAW 86-85
+13.5
31
vsAUB
AUBW 77-69
−1.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 84-66
+10.5
7
@UK
UKL 71-74
−2.5
11
@MSST
MSSTW 73-64
−10.5
14
vsLSU
LSUW 73-63
−7.5
18
vsOU
OUW 89-66
+5.5
21
@VAN
VANW 69-65
−16.5
24
@MIZ
MIZL 69-73
−1.5
28
vsALA
ALAL 69-71
−22.5
3
@SC
SCW 78-59
−4.5
7
vsVAN
VANL 82-86
+21.5
12
vsAUB
AUBW 72-62
−10.5
13
vsVAN
VANL 68-75
−4.5
over 16under 17avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miami OH
29-1 overall · 18-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SMU89–79
- Lvs UMass83–87
- W@ Ohio110–108
- Wvs Toledo74–72
- W@ W Michigan69–67
2 days since their last game.
Tennessee
22-11 overall · 12-8 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Vanderbilt68–75
- Wvs Auburn72–62
- Lvs Vanderbilt82–86
- W@ South Carolina78–59
- Lvs Alabama69–71
A week or more of rest.