Xfinity Mobile Arena · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
UVA -17.5✓ WRST covered by 8.5
UVA -17.5✓ WRST covered by 8.5Closing total146.5Over by 8.5
 WRST | This season | UVA |
|---|---|---|
| 21-11 | Record | 29-5 |
| 20-12 | ATS | 18-16 |
| 15-17 | O/U | 14-20 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WRST 66–83 UVA · ✓ UVA (93%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WRST | 43 | 30 | 73 |
| UVA | 38 | 44 | 82 |
1st half: WRST 43, UVA 38 (WRST by 5). The model had UVA by 10.0 and a total of 69.8 (actual 81).
Team stats
| WRST | UVA | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-61 41% | Field goals | 28-54 52% |
| 13-31 42% | 3-pointers | 13-26 50% |
| 10-11 91% | Free throws | 13-14 93% |
| 24 8 off | Rebounds | 39 10 off |
| 11 | Assists | 12 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| WRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellen Pickett F | 33 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| TJ Burch G | 32 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 6-15 | 2-5 |
| Michael Imariagbe F | 29 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 7-12 | 5-9 |
| Solomon Callaghan G | 28 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 5-8 | 4-6 |
| Dominic Pangonis G | 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Michael Cooper G | 34 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 6-18 | 1-6 |
| Andrea Holden G | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Logan Woods G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sam Alamutu G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bryan Etumnu, Alex Bruskotter, Ayden Davis, PJ Douglas, Isaiah Williams
| UVA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thijs De Ridder F | 29 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Sam Lewis G | 29 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Dallin Hall G | 27 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Malik Thomas G | 21 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-10 | 3-6 |
| Johann Grunloh C | 20 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacari White G | 24 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 10-12 | 6-8 |
| Ugonna Onyenso C | 20 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Chance Mallory G | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Devin Tillis F | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Martin Carrere, Elijah Gertrude, Desmond Roberts, Owen Odom, Carter Lang, Silas Barksdale
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUVA -17.5
ModelUVA -17.0
Model edgeWRST +0.5
W WRST covered
Total
Market146.5
Model149.4
Model edgeOver 2.9
W Over
Projected score
WRST 66.2 · UVA 83.2
WRST 73 · UVA 82
Win probability
UVA 93%
1st half
Spread
UVA -10.0
WRST -5.0
Total
69.8
81 points
Projected score
WRST 29.9 · UVA 39.9
WRST 43 · UVA 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUVA -16.5
1 → UVA
CloseUVA -17.5
1 pt toward UVA
Total
Open146.5
no move
Close146.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
WRST +1200 · UVA -2400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UVA -16.5 · closed UVA -17.5 · moved 1 toward UVAmodel UVA -17
model UVA -17
Opened 146.5 · unchangedmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WRST | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| UVA | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wright St
32 games played
Straight up
21-11
66% wins
Against the spread
20-12
63% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-17
47% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ CAL | L 67-77 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 11 | vs TOL | L 71-81 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 15 | vs RAD | W 92-59 | +6.5 | W +39.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 16 | vs KENT | L 72-76 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | @ STET | W 79-62 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | @ BTLR | L 69-94 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 3 | @ YSU | L 68-69 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs GB | W 86-58 | -6.5 | W +21.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 13 | @ MRSH | L 74-76 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 16 | vs M-OH | L 76-83 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 22 | vs EMU | W 70-64 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 29 | vs OAK | W 88-73 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | vs MILW | W 76-70 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 4 | @ IUIN | W 81-77 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 9 | @ DETM | W 84-82 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 11 | @OAK | W 94-84 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 15 | vsYSU | W 93-83 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 21 | vs CLE | L 79-85 | -15.5 | L −21.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 24 | vs NKU | W 88-80 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 30 | @MILW | W 76-69 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 1 | @GB | W 83-75 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 4 | @ RMU | L 66-72 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 7 | vs PFW | W 73-68 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 12 | vsDETM | L 74-77 | -11.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 15 | @CLE | W 102-90 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 157.5 | O 192 |
| Feb 19 | vsIUIN | W 85-73 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Feb 22 | vsRMU | L 68-81 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 25 | @PFW | W 74-70 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 28 | @NKU | W 92-91 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Mar 4 | vsCLE | W 90-61 | -14.5 | W +14.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Mar 9 | vsNKU | W 103-90 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 157.5 | O 193 |
| Mar 10 | vsDETM | W 66-63 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@CAL
CALL 67-77
+4.5
11
vsTOL
TOLL 71-81
−15.5
15
vsRAD
RADW 92-59
+39.5
16
vsKENT
KENTL 72-76
+0.5
25
@STET
STETW 79-62
+7.5
28
@BTLR
BTLRL 69-94
−10.5
3
@YSU
YSUL 68-69
+2.5
7
vsGB
GBW 86-58
+21.5
13
@MRSH
MRSHL 74-76
+1.5
16
vsM-OH
M-OHL 76-83
−5.5
22
vsEMU
EMUW 70-64
−4.5
29
vsOAK
OAKW 88-73
+11.5
1
vsMILW
MILWW 76-70
+2.5
4
@IUIN
IUINW 81-77
−4.5
9
@DETM
DETMW 84-82
−3.5
11
@OAK
OAKW 94-84
+14.5
15
vsYSU
YSUW 93-83
+5.5
21
vsCLE
CLEL 79-85
−21.5
24
vsNKU
NKUW 88-80
+6.5
30
@MILW
MILWW 76-69
+4.5
1
@GB
GBW 83-75
+4.5
4
@RMU
RMUL 66-72
−7.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 73-68
−1.5
12
vsDETM
DETML 74-77
−14.5
15
@CLE
CLEW 102-90
+4.5
19
vsIUIN
IUINW 85-73
+0.5
22
vsRMU
RMUL 68-81
−17.5
25
@PFW
PFWW 74-70
+2.5
28
@NKU
NKUW 92-91
+4.5
4
vsCLE
CLEW 90-61
+14.5
9
vsNKU
NKUW 103-90
+14.5
10
vsDETM
DETMW 66-63
−1.5
covered 20didn’t cover 12avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@CAL
CALL 67-77
−4.5
11
vsTOL
TOLL 71-81
−7.5
15
vsRAD
RADW 92-59
−5.5
16
vsKENT
KENTL 72-76
−9.5
25
@STET
STETW 79-62
−6.5
28
@BTLR
BTLRL 69-94
+12.5
3
@YSU
YSUL 68-69
−7.5
7
vsGB
GBW 86-58
+1.5
13
@MRSH
MRSHL 74-76
+0.5
16
vsM-OH
M-OHL 76-83
+9.5
22
vsEMU
EMUW 70-64
−8.5
29
vsOAK
OAKW 88-73
+1.5
1
vsMILW
MILWW 76-70
−1.5
4
@IUIN
IUINW 81-77
−4.5
9
@DETM
DETMW 84-82
+17.5
11
@OAK
OAKW 94-84
+16.5
15
vsYSU
YSUW 93-83
+34.5
21
vsCLE
CLEL 79-85
+7.5
24
vsNKU
NKUW 88-80
+12.5
30
@MILW
MILWW 76-69
−6.5
1
@GB
GBW 83-75
+13.5
4
@RMU
RMUL 66-72
−9.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 73-68
−9.5
12
vsDETM
DETML 74-77
−0.5
15
@CLE
CLEW 102-90
+34.5
19
vsIUIN
IUINW 85-73
−2.5
22
vsRMU
RMUL 68-81
+2.5
25
@PFW
PFWW 74-70
−6.5
28
@NKU
NKUW 92-91
+29.5
4
vsCLE
CLEW 90-61
−11.5
9
vsNKU
NKUW 103-90
+35.5
10
vsDETM
DETMW 66-63
−24.5
over 15under 17avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Virginia
34 games played
Straight up
29-5
85% wins
Against the spread
18-16
53% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-20
41% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs RID | W 87-53 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 7 | vs NCCU | W 81-62 | -34.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 11 | vs HAMP | W 91-53 | -24.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 15 | vsMRSH | W 104-78 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 21 | vs NU | W 83-78 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 23 | vsBTLR | L 73-80 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 28 | vs QUC | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 3 | @ TEX | W 88-69 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 6 | vs DAY | W 86-73 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 9 | vs UMES | W 84-60 | -36.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 20 | vs MD | W 80-72 | -16.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 22 | vs AMER | W 95-51 | -27.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 31 | @ VT | L 85-95 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ NCSU | W 76-61 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 7 | vsCAL | W 84-60 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | vs STAN | W 70-55 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 13 | @ LOU | W 79-70 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | @ SMU | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | vs UNC | L 80-85 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 27 | @ ND | W 100-97 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 197 |
| Jan 31 | @ BC | W 73-66 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | vs PITT | W 67-47 | -12.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 7 | vs SYR | W 72-59 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 10 | @ FSU | W 61-58 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 14 | vs OSU | W 70-66 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 18 | @ GT | W 94-68 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 21 | vs MIA | W 86-83 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 24 | vsNCSU | W 90-61 | -6.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 28 | @ DUKE | L 51-77 | +9.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 3 | vs WAKE | W 75-70 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 7 | vsVT | W 76-72 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Mar 12 | vsNCSU | W 81-74 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 13 | vsMIA | W 84-62 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 14 | vsDUKE | L 70-74 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsRID
RIDW 87-53
+7.5
7
vsNCCU
NCCUW 81-62
−15.5
11
vsHAMP
HAMPW 91-53
+13.5
15
vsMRSH
MRSHW 104-78
+5.5
21
vsNU
NUW 83-78
+0.5
23
vsBTLR
BTLRL 73-80
−13.5
28
vsQUC
QUCW 94-69
−0.5
3
@TEX
TEXW 88-69
+22.5
6
vsDAY
DAYW 86-73
+7.5
9
vsUMES
UMESW 84-60
−12.5
20
vsMD
MDW 80-72
−8.5
22
vsAMER
AMERW 95-51
+16.5
31
@VT
VTL 85-95
−15.5
3
@NCSU
NCSUW 76-61
+19.5
7
vsCAL
CALW 84-60
+9.5
10
vsSTAN
STANW 70-55
+2.5
13
@LOU
LOUW 79-70
+13.5
17
@SMU
SMUW 72-68
+1.5
24
vsUNC
UNCL 80-85
−11.5
27
@ND
NDW 100-97
−6.5
31
@BC
BCW 73-66
−6.5
3
vsPITT
PITTW 67-47
+7.5
7
vsSYR
SYRW 72-59
−0.5
10
@FSU
FSUW 61-58
−5.5
14
vsOSU
OSUW 70-66
−1.5
18
@GT
GTW 94-68
+12.5
21
vsMIA
MIAW 86-83
−4.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUW 90-61
+22.5
28
@DUKE
DUKEL 51-77
−16.5
3
vsWAKE
WAKEW 75-70
−9.5
7
vsVT
VTW 76-72
−7.5
12
vsNCSU
NCSUW 81-74
+0.5
13
vsMIA
MIAW 84-62
+18.5
14
vsDUKE
DUKEL 70-74
+2.5
covered 18didn’t cover 16avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsRID
RIDW 87-53
−8.5
7
vsNCCU
NCCUW 81-62
−8.5
11
vsHAMP
HAMPW 91-53
−4.5
15
vsMRSH
MRSHW 104-78
+26.5
21
vsNU
NUW 83-78
+11.5
23
vsBTLR
BTLRL 73-80
−2.5
28
vsQUC
QUCW 94-69
+2.5
3
@TEX
TEXW 88-69
+2.5
6
vsDAY
DAYW 86-73
+11.5
9
vsUMES
UMESW 84-60
+9.5
20
vsMD
MDW 80-72
−1.5
22
vsAMER
AMERW 95-51
−7.5
31
@VT
VTL 85-95
+26.5
3
@NCSU
NCSUW 76-61
−14.5
7
vsCAL
CALW 84-60
−4.5
10
vsSTAN
STANW 70-55
−18.5
13
@LOU
LOUW 79-70
−5.5
17
@SMU
SMUW 72-68
−13.5
24
vsUNC
UNCL 80-85
+12.5
27
@ND
NDW 100-97
+51.5
31
@BC
BCW 73-66
−2.5
3
vsPITT
PITTW 67-47
−28.5
7
vsSYR
SYRW 72-59
−16.5
10
@FSU
FSUW 61-58
−36.5
14
vsOSU
OSUW 70-66
−10.5
18
@GT
GTW 94-68
+11.5
21
vsMIA
MIAW 86-83
+23.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUW 90-61
−0.5
28
@DUKE
DUKEL 51-77
−15.5
3
vsWAKE
WAKEW 75-70
−5.5
7
vsVT
VTW 76-72
+2.5
12
vsNCSU
NCSUW 81-74
+1.5
13
vsMIA
MIAW 84-62
−0.5
14
vsDUKE
DUKEL 70-74
+3.5
over 14under 20avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wright St
21-11 overall · 18-5 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Detroit Mercy66–63
- Wvs N Kentucky103–90
- Wvs Cleveland St90–61
- W@ N Kentucky92–91
- W@ Purdue FW74–70
A week or more of rest.
Virginia
29-5 overall · 17-4 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Duke70–74
- Wvs Miami84–62
- Wvs NC State81–74
- Wvs Virginia Tech76–72
- Wvs Wake Forest75–70
6 days since their last game.