Moda Center · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
WIS -10.5✓ HPU covered by 11.5
WIS -10.5✓ HPU covered by 11.5Closing total161.5Over by 3.5
 HPU | This season | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| 27-4 | Record | 24-10 |
| 14-17 | ATS | 21-13 |
| 20-11 | O/U | 21-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HPU 78–88 WIS · ✗ WIS (82%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPU | 39 | 44 | 83 |
| WIS | 41 | 41 | 82 |
1st half: HPU 39, WIS 41 (WIS by 2). The model had WIS by 6.0 and a total of 77.4 (actual 80).
Team stats
| HPU | WIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-74 42% | Field goals | 31-65 48% |
| 15-40 38% | 3-pointers | 9-23 39% |
| 6-9 67% | Free throws | 11-12 92% |
| 40 13 off | Rebounds | 37 6 off |
| 18 | Assists | 17 |
| 6 | Steals | 2 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| HPU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Aquino F | 36 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Rob Martin G | 36 | 23 | 3 | 10 | 9-23 | 4-10 |
| Terry Anderson F | 30 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 7-15 | 1-6 |
| Braden Hausen F | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Scotty Washington G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam'Ron Fletcher F | 33 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 5-12 | 3-8 |
| Chase Johnston G | 22 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 5-7 | 4-6 |
| Conrad Martinez G | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Youssouf Singar C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dorian Grosber, Caden Miller, Kasen Krueger, Mavrick Miller, Birgir Irving, Josh Ibukunoluwa, David Fonville, Liam Carney, Vincent Brady II, Babacar Diallo
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell G | 37 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 8-16 | 3-5 |
| Nick Boyd G | 35 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 10-20 | 1-2 |
| Austin Rapp F | 33 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-6 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 32 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 27 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nolan Winter F | 21 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Braeden Carrington G | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Hayden Jones, Riccardo Greppi, Will Garlock, Jack Janicki, Zach Kinziger, Jack Robison, Elijah Gray, Isaac Gard
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWIS -10.5
ModelWIS -10.3
Model edgeHPU +0.2
W HPU covered
Total
Market161.5
Model165.8
Model edgeOver 4.3
W Over
Projected score
HPU 77.8 · WIS 88.1
HPU 83 · WIS 82
Win probability
WIS 82%
1st half
Spread
WIS -6.0
WIS -2.0
Total
77.4
80 points
Projected score
HPU 35.7 · WIS 41.7
HPU 39 · WIS 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWIS -12.5
2 → HPU
CloseWIS -10.5
2 pts toward HPU
Total
Open166.5
▼ 5
Close161.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
HPU +400 · WIS -535
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WIS -12.5 · closed WIS -10.5 · moved 2 toward HPUmodel WIS -10.5 matches the line
model WIS -10.5 = line ✓
Opened 166.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 5 downmodel 166
model 166
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPU | 10-0 100% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| WIS | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
High Point
31 games played
Straight up
27-4
87% wins
Against the spread
14-17
45% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
20-11
65% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FUR | W 97-71 | -3.5 | W +22.5 | 153.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs JAX | W 85-64 | -17.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | @ UAB | L 74-91 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 168.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 17 | vs CAN | W 93-50 | -23.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs UIC | W 90-80 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 22 | vs UIW | W 91-80 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 29 | vs WCU | W 93-73 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 3 | vs SIU | L 84-86 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 162.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 5 | vs NJIT | W 89-72 | -28.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 14 | vs APP | L 78-86 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 19 | vs LAS | W 84-72 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | vs BRY | W 93-47 | -19.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 31 | @ UNCA | W 87-69 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 3 | vs LONG | W 80-67 | -16.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 7 | vs GWEB | W 104-49 | -26.5 | W +28.5 | 162.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 10 | @ CHSO | W 84-82 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 14 | @ WIN | L 75-92 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 162.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vs UPST | W 89-69 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 23 | @ RAD | W 93-83 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 29 | vs PRES | W 84-81 | -14.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | @LONG | W 71-59 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 4 | vsCHSO | W 80-55 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | vsRAD | W 86-77 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 12 | @UPST | W 95-70 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 14 | @GWEB | W 112-87 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Feb 19 | vsUNCA | W 74-48 | -14.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 21 | vsWIN | W 89-87 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 26 | @PRES | W 79-73 | -12.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | O 152 |
| Mar 6 | vsGWEB | W 81-59 | -27.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 7 | vsUNCA | W 75-71 | -14.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 8 | vsWIN | W 91-76 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+22.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
+3.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−18.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
+19.5
20
vsUIC
UICW 90-80
−0.5
22
vsUIW
UIWW 91-80
−1.5
29
vsWCU
WCUW 93-73
+3.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 84-86
−11.5
5
vsNJIT
NJITW 89-72
−11.5
14
vsAPP
APPL 78-86
−20.5
19
vsLAS
LASW 84-72
−1.5
22
vsBRY
BRYW 93-47
+26.5
31
@UNCA
UNCAW 87-69
+7.5
3
vsLONG
LONGW 80-67
−3.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 104-49
+28.5
10
@CHSO
CHSOW 84-82
−6.5
14
@WIN
WINL 75-92
−19.5
17
vsUPST
UPSTW 89-69
+3.5
23
@RAD
RADW 93-83
+2.5
29
vsPRES
PRESW 84-81
−11.5
31
@LONG
LONGW 71-59
+2.5
4
vsCHSO
CHSOW 80-55
+10.5
7
vsRAD
RADW 86-77
−5.5
12
@UPST
UPSTW 95-70
+10.5
14
@GWEB
GWEBW 112-87
−0.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 74-48
+11.5
21
vsWIN
WINW 89-87
−7.5
26
@PRES
PRESW 79-73
−6.5
6
vsGWEB
GWEBW 81-59
−5.5
7
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-71
−10.5
8
vsWIN
WINW 91-76
+8.5
covered 14didn’t cover 17avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+14.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
−7.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−3.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
−9.5
20
vsUIC
UICW 90-80
+11.5
22
vsUIW
UIWW 91-80
+10.5
29
vsWCU
WCUW 93-73
+6.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 84-86
+7.5
5
vsNJIT
NJITW 89-72
+5.5
14
vsAPP
APPL 78-86
+19.5
19
vsLAS
LASW 84-72
+6.5
22
vsBRY
BRYW 93-47
−13.5
31
@UNCA
UNCAW 87-69
+4.5
3
vsLONG
LONGW 80-67
−13.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 104-49
−9.5
10
@CHSO
CHSOW 84-82
+2.5
14
@WIN
WINL 75-92
+4.5
17
vsUPST
UPSTW 89-69
+5.5
23
@RAD
RADW 93-83
+10.5
29
vsPRES
PRESW 84-81
+15.5
31
@LONG
LONGW 71-59
−26.5
4
vsCHSO
CHSOW 80-55
−27.5
7
vsRAD
RADW 86-77
+0.5
12
@UPST
UPSTW 95-70
+10.5
14
@GWEB
GWEBW 112-87
+37.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 74-48
−30.5
21
vsWIN
WINW 89-87
+9.5
26
@PRES
PRESW 79-73
+0.5
6
vsGWEB
GWEBW 81-59
−15.5
7
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-71
−1.5
8
vsWIN
WINW 91-76
+9.5
over 20under 11avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wisconsin
34 games played
Straight up
24-10
71% wins
Against the spread
21-13
62% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
21-13
62% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAM | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs NIU | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs BALL | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIUE | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ BYU | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs PROV | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs TCU | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs NU | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MARQ | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ NEB | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs VILL | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs CMU | W 88-61 | -26.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs MILW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs PUR | L 73-89 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs UCLA | W 80-72 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @ MICH | W 91-88 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 13 | @ MINN | W 78-75 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs RUTG | W 96-87 | -15.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 22 | @ PSU | W 98-71 | -5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 25 | vs USC | L 71-73 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | vsMINN | W 67-63 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vs OSU | W 92-82 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 7 | @ IU | L 77-78 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 10 | @ ILL | W 92-90 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 13 | vs MSU | W 92-71 | +1.5 | W +22.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 17 | @OSU | L 69-86 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 22 | vs IOWA | W 84-71 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 25 | @ ORE | L 71-85 | -5.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | @ WASH | W 90-73 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Mar 4 | vs MD | W 78-45 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Mar 7 | @PUR | W 97-93 | +9.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | O 190 |
| Mar 12 | vsWASH | W 85-82 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 13 | vsILL | W 91-88 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Mar 14 | vsMICH | L 65-68 | +12.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+11.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
−3.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
+4.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
−0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
−23.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−16.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+1.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+8.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−28.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−13.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
+0.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
−10.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+4.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+22.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+1.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
−6.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+21.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−9.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 67-63
−5.5
31
vsOSU
OSUW 92-82
+5.5
7
@IU
IUL 77-78
+2.5
10
@ILL
ILLW 92-90
+11.5
13
vsMSU
MSUW 92-71
+22.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 69-86
−15.5
22
vsIOWA
IOWAW 84-71
+10.5
25
@ORE
OREL 71-85
−19.5
28
@WASH
WASHW 90-73
+15.5
4
vsMD
MDW 78-45
+18.5
7
@PUR
PURW 97-93
+13.5
12
vsWASH
WASHW 85-82
−3.5
13
vsILL
ILLW 91-88
+11.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 65-68
+9.5
covered 21didn’t cover 13avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+8.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
+11.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
−15.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
+16.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
+2.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+20.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−20.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+2.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+11.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−8.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−10.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
−3.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
−17.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
+8.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
−0.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+9.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+6.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
+33.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+11.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−14.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 67-63
−16.5
31
vsOSU
OSUW 92-82
+18.5
7
@IU
IUL 77-78
−2.5
10
@ILL
ILLW 92-90
+28.5
13
vsMSU
MSUW 92-71
+13.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 69-86
−2.5
22
vsIOWA
IOWAW 84-71
+7.5
25
@ORE
OREL 71-85
+3.5
28
@WASH
WASHW 90-73
+9.5
4
vsMD
MDW 78-45
−30.5
7
@PUR
PURW 97-93
+35.5
12
vsWASH
WASHW 85-82
+9.5
13
vsILL
ILLW 91-88
+20.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 65-68
−28.5
over 21under 13avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
High Point
27-4 overall · 18-1 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Winthrop91–76
- Wvs UNC Asheville75–71
- Wvs Gardner-Webb81–59
- W@ Presbyterian79–73
- Wvs Winthrop89–87
A week or more of rest.
Wisconsin
24-10 overall · 16-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Michigan65–68
- Wvs Illinois91–88
- Wvs Washington85–82
- W@ Purdue97–93
- Wvs Maryland78–45
5 days since their last game.