Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
SIE -1.5✓ SIE covered by 13.5
SIE -1.5✓ SIE covered by 13.5Closing total138.5Under by 1.5
 FAIR | This season | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| 20-12 | Record | 21-11 |
| 15-17 | ATS | 18-14 |
| 14-18 | O/U | 11-21 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FAIR 69–73 SIE · ✓ SIE (63%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR | 30 | 31 | 61 |
| SIE | 40 | 36 | 76 |
1st half: FAIR 30, SIE 40 (SIE by 10). The model had SIE by 2.1 and a total of 66.6 (actual 70).
Team stats
| FAIR | SIE | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-69 36% | Field goals | 24-52 46% |
| 6-23 26% | 3-pointers | 9-17 53% |
| 5-5 100% | Free throws | 19-26 73% |
| 34 13 off | Rebounds | 41 10 off |
| 12 | Assists | 18 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| FAIR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Sparks G | 37 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 6-17 | 1-6 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig G | 36 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Brandon Benjamin F | 36 | 10 | 12 | 0 | 5-13 | 0-0 |
| Tony Williams G | 29 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5-13 | 2-6 |
| Halon Rawlins G | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eric Mejia G | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Deuce Turner G | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-4 |
| Isaac Munkadi F | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Zan F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tanner Ostop, Nasir Rodriguez, Aidan May, Peyton Smith, Joe Ganton, Luke Davidson, Matt Curtis, Cam Estevez, Michael Rogan, Noah Best
| SIE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Doty G | 40 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 6-11 | 3-4 |
| Justice Shoats G | 40 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 8-15 | 3-3 |
| Francis Folefac F | 36 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 4-14 | 0-2 |
| Riley Mulvey C | 30 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Brendan Coyle G | 29 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Henderson G | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Christian Jones G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Antonio Chandler, Owen Schlager, Cooper Nadler, Danny Murray, Tajae Jones, Chris Torres, Tasman Goodrick, Mosi Clayton, Marcus Jackson, Reid Ducharme
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSIE -1.5
ModelSIE -3.8
Model edgeSIE +2.3
W SIE covered
Total
Market138.5
Model142.4
Model edgeOver 3.9
L Under
Projected score
FAIR 69.3 · SIE 73.1
FAIR 61 · SIE 76
Win probability
SIE 63%
1st half
Spread
SIE -2.1
SIE -10.0
Total
66.6
70 points
Projected score
FAIR 32.3 · SIE 34.4
FAIR 30 · SIE 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIE -3.5
2 → FAIR
CloseSIE -1.5
2 pts toward FAIR
Total
Open140.5
▼ 2
Close138.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
FAIR +105 · SIE -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIE -3.5 · closed SIE -1.5 · moved 2 toward FAIRmodel SIE -4
model SIE -4
Opened 140.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 2 downmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| SIE | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
FAIR 4–5 SIESIE leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · FAIR 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025-26 | SIE 58 @ FAIR 72 | FAIR +1.5 | FAIR W |
| Jan 19, 2025-26 | FAIR 77 @ SIE 85 | SIE -6.5 | SIE W |
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | FAIR 64 @ SIE 68 | SIE -7.5 | FAIR W |
| Feb 25, 2023-24 | SIE 64 @ FAIR 88 | FAIR -17.5 | FAIR W |
| Jan 5, 2023-24 | FAIR 93 @ SIE 69 | SIE +3.5 | FAIR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fairfield
32 games played
Straight up
20-12
63% wins
Against the spread
15-17
47% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-18
44% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PSU | L 68-76 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NJIT | W 74-53 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 10 | @ HALL | L 59-82 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs STO | W 73-71 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 16 | vs L-MD | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 22 | @ LEM | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 26 | vs COLU | L 77-106 | +3.5 | L −25.5 | 150.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNH | W 72-68 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 5 | @ MAN | L 66-70 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 7 | @ MRMK | L 63-74 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 14 | vs MONM | W 73-65 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ CCSU | W 84-70 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 29 | vs SPU | L 66-70 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 2 | @ CAN | L 81-85 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | @ NIA | W 83-75 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 9 | vs RID | W 68-62 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 14 | vsMAN | W 98-62 | -6.5 | W +29.5 | 158.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | @ MRST | L 67-82 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 19 | @SIE | L 77-85 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 22 | vsNIA | W 62-61 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 24 | vsCAN | W 61-55 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 30 | @ IONA | W 71-70 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 1 | vs QUIN | L 65-72 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 5 | @ SHU | W 92-87 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 7 | vsMRST | W 63-60 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 15 | @SPU | L 74-83 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 20 | vsSHU | W 78-68 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 22 | @QUIN | W 85-79 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 27 | vsSIE | W 72-58 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 1 | vs MSM | L 47-69 | -4.5 | L −26.5 | 145.5 | U 116 |
| Mar 5 | vsMAN | W 71-60 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Mar 6 | vsSPU | W 74-55 | +1.5 | W +20.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
+7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
+14.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
−8.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
−4.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
−2.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+12.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
−25.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−5.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−5.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
+10.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+20.5
29
vsSPU
SPUL 66-70
−6.5
2
@CAN
CANL 81-85
−10.5
4
@NIA
NIAW 83-75
+4.5
9
vsRID
RIDW 68-62
−2.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 98-62
+29.5
17
@MRST
MRSTL 67-82
−6.5
19
@SIE
SIEL 77-85
−1.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 62-61
−9.5
24
vsCAN
CANW 61-55
−4.5
30
@IONA
IONAW 71-70
+2.5
1
vsQUIN
QUINL 65-72
−4.5
5
@SHU
SHUW 92-87
+6.5
7
vsMRST
MRSTW 63-60
+4.5
15
@SPU
SPUL 74-83
−5.5
20
vsSHU
SHUW 78-68
+5.5
22
@QUIN
QUINW 85-79
+12.5
27
vsSIE
SIEW 72-58
+15.5
1
vsMSM
MSML 47-69
−26.5
5
vsMAN
MANW 71-60
+7.5
6
vsSPU
SPUW 74-55
+20.5
covered 15didn’t cover 17avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
−7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
−18.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
+3.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
+0.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
+31.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+34.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
+32.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−7.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−19.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
−5.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+10.5
29
vsSPU
SPUL 66-70
−4.5
2
@CAN
CANL 81-85
+25.5
4
@NIA
NIAW 83-75
+19.5
9
vsRID
RIDW 68-62
−15.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 98-62
+1.5
17
@MRST
MRSTL 67-82
+7.5
19
@SIE
SIEL 77-85
+19.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 62-61
−16.5
24
vsCAN
CANW 61-55
−25.5
30
@IONA
IONAW 71-70
−5.5
1
vsQUIN
QUINL 65-72
−17.5
5
@SHU
SHUW 92-87
+23.5
7
vsMRST
MRSTW 63-60
−15.5
15
@SPU
SPUL 74-83
+15.5
20
vsSHU
SHUW 78-68
−12.5
22
@QUIN
QUINW 85-79
+13.5
27
vsSIE
SIEW 72-58
−12.5
1
vsMSM
MSML 47-69
−29.5
5
vsMAN
MANW 71-60
−17.5
6
vsSPU
SPUW 74-55
−8.5
over 14under 18avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Siena
32 games played
Straight up
21-11
66% wins
Against the spread
18-14
56% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-21
34% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BRY | W 82-66 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ BRWN | W 62-46 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 12 | @ SBU | L 66-75 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs COLG | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | vs UALB | W 73-63 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ HC | W 73-69 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs LONG | W 70-63 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AMER | W 59-55 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs ME | W 64-60 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 5 | vsNIA | W 83-54 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
| Dec 7 | vsCAN | W 74-52 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ UVM | L 69-83 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | @ IU | L 60-81 | +21.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | @IONA | L 72-75 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 4 | @RID | W 74-65 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 9 | vsMRMK | L 59-63 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @MSM | W 67-50 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 14 | vsSHU | L 80-86 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 17 | @MAN | W 74-59 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 19 | vsFAIR | W 85-77 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 22 | vsMRST | W 69-50 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 133.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 30 | @NIA | W 82-79 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 128.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 1 | @CAN | W 78-63 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 5 | vsIONA | W 79-72 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | @SPU | L 65-70 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 13 | vsQUIN | L 62-74 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 15 | @MRST | W 67-63 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 133.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 20 | @MRMK | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 22 | vsSPU | W 72-63 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 27 | @FAIR | L 58-72 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 1 | vsRID | W 76-61 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Mar 7 | vsMSM | W 63-58 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
+2.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
+12.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−9.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−0.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
−5.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
+1.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
+1.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−5.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+16.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
+4.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
−11.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
+0.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−4.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+0.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−9.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
+14.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
−14.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
+8.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+1.5
22
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-50
+17.5
30
@NIA
NIAW 82-79
−6.5
1
@CAN
CANW 78-63
+6.5
5
vsIONA
IONAW 79-72
−1.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 65-70
−6.5
13
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-74
−15.5
15
@MRST
MRSTW 67-63
+6.5
20
@MRMK
MRMKL 72-79
−4.5
22
vsSPU
SPUW 72-63
+3.5
27
@FAIR
FAIRL 58-72
−15.5
1
vsRID
RIDW 76-61
+0.5
7
vsMSM
MSMW 63-58
+2.5
covered 18didn’t cover 14avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
−0.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
−34.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−4.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
+4.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
−12.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
−23.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−3.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+7.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
−5.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
+17.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
−4.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−2.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+3.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−10.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
−22.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
+26.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
−11.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+19.5
22
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-50
−14.5
30
@NIA
NIAW 82-79
+32.5
1
@CAN
CANW 78-63
+5.5
5
vsIONA
IONAW 79-72
+10.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 65-70
−0.5
13
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-74
−8.5
15
@MRST
MRSTW 67-63
−3.5
20
@MRMK
MRMKL 72-79
+17.5
22
vsSPU
SPUW 72-63
−0.5
27
@FAIR
FAIRL 58-72
−12.5
1
vsRID
RIDW 76-61
−0.5
7
vsMSM
MSMW 63-58
−14.5
over 11under 21avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fairfield
20-12 overall · 13-9 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Saint Peter's74–55
- Wvs Manhattan71–60
- Lvs Mount St Marys47–69
- Wvs Siena72–58
- W@ Quinnipiac85–79
2 days since their last game.
Siena
21-11 overall · 14-7 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Mount St Marys63–58
- Wvs Rider76–61
- L@ Fairfield58–72
- Wvs Saint Peter's72–63
- L@ Merrimack72–79
1 day since their last game.