Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
MRMK -2.5✓ MRST covered by 1.5
Closing total128.5Under by 13.5
| This season | MRMK | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-11 | Record | 22-10 |
| 14-15 | ATS | 20-12 |
| 11-18 | O/U | 12-20 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRST 64–65 MRMK · ✓ MRMK (52%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRST | 28 | 29 | 57 |
| MRMK | 30 | 28 | 58 |
1st half: MRST 28, MRMK 30 (MRMK by 2). The model had MRMK by 0.2 and a total of 60.3 (actual 58).
Team stats
| MRST | MRMK | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-54 43% | Field goals | 20-54 37% |
| 4-11 36% | 3-pointers | 5-17 29% |
| 7-10 70% | Free throws | 13-17 76% |
| 38 13 off | Rebounds | 26 9 off |
| 15 | Assists | 11 |
| 4 | Steals | 12 |
| 5 | Blocks | 8 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| MRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Collins-Roberts G | 36 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Rhyjon Blackwell G | 35 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 6-10 | 3-4 |
| Justin Menard G | 35 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 2-11 | 0-3 |
| Parby Kabamba F | 33 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2-9 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myles Parker F | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Martin Kawa G | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Gabriel C | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Trace Salton F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ricky McKenzie, Elijah Lewis, Jason Schofield, Antoni Vlogianitis, Tarik Watson
| MRMK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Shelton G | 40 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-7 |
| Tye Dorset G | 40 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 10-17 | 3-5 |
| Kevair Kennedy G | 39 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 5-17 | 0-2 |
| Todd Brogna F | 36 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Andrés Marrero G | 28 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| KC Ugwuakazi F | 17 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brendan Johnson, Brandon Legris, Dylan Veillette, Aliou Cisse, Jaylen Stinson, Jacob Moore, Quinn Kwasniak, David Munro, Malik Edmead
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMRMK -2.5
ModelMRMK -0.5
Model edgeMRST +2.0
W MRST covered
Total
Market128.5
Model128.7
Model edgeOver 0.2
L Under
Projected score
MRST 64.1 · MRMK 64.6
MRST 57 · MRMK 58
Win probability
MRMK 52%
1st half
Spread
MRMK -0.2
MRMK -2.0
Total
60.3
58 points
Projected score
MRST 30.1 · MRMK 30.3
MRST 28 · MRMK 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMRMK -3.5
1 → MRST
CloseMRMK -2.5
1 pt toward MRST
Total
Open124.5
▲ 4
Close128.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
MRST +136 · MRMK -162
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MRMK -3.5 · closed MRMK -2.5 · moved 1 toward MRSTmodel MRMK -0.5
model MRMK -0.5
Opened 124.5 · closed 128.5 · moved 4 upmodel 128.5 matches the line
model 128.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | |
| 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MRST 1–3 MRMKMRMK leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · MRMK has won the last 3 meetings · MRST 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025-26 | MRST 56 @ MRMK 81 | MRMK -2.5 | MRMK W |
| Jan 19, 2025-26 | MRMK 68 @ MRST 55 | MRST -6.5 | MRMK W |
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | MRMK 75 @ MRST 53 | MRST +1.5 | MRMK W |
| Feb 16, 2024-25 | MRST 61 @ MRMK 60 | MRMK -4.5 | MRST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Marist
29 games played
Straight up
18-11
62% wins
Against the spread
14-15
48% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-18
38% overs · avg −3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 62-66 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 9 | @ | W 75-56 | +1.5 | W +20.5 | 138.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs | L 54-56 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 76-65 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 78-55 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 132.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 5 | vs | W 64-56 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 80-68 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 16 | @ | L 76-87 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 70-51 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 58-64 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 2 | @ | L 59-69 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 4 | vs | W 83-38 | -4.5 | W +40.5 | 148.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 9 | @ | W 76-72 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 11 | @ | W 71-49 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 131.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 82-67 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 19 | vs | L 55-68 | -6.5 | L −19.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 22 | @ | L 50-69 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 133.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 71-64 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 30 | @ | W 88-86 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 129.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 1 | @ | W 58-46 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | U 104 |
| Feb 5 | vs | W 81-52 | -14.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 60-63 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 12 | @ | L 56-81 | +2.5 | L −22.5 | 128.5 | O 137 |
| Feb 15 | vs | L 63-67 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 20 | @ | W 84-70 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 22 | vs | W 65-63 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 1 | vs | L 56-63 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 132.5 | U 119 |
| Mar 7 | vs | W 77-75 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
XAV
L 62-66
+8.5
9
@
DART
W 75-56
+20.5
16
vs
HARV
L 54-56
−8.5
21
vs
ARMY
W 76-65
−1.5
25
vs
LEH
W 78-55
+15.5
5
vs
MSM
W 64-56
−0.5
7
vs
MAN
W 80-68
+4.5
13
@
BRY
W 82-74
+6.5
16
@
GT
L 76-87
−4.5
21
vs
STBK
W 70-51
+12.5
29
@
QUIN
L 58-64
−3.5
2
@
SPU
L 59-69
−12.5
4
vs
IONA
W 83-38
+40.5
9
@
SHU
W 76-72
−1.5
11
@
RID
W 71-49
+11.5
17
vs
FAIR
W 82-67
+6.5
19
vs
MRMK
L 55-68
−19.5
22
@
SIE
L 50-69
−17.5
24
vs
QUIN
W 71-64
+3.5
30
@
CAN
W 88-86
−7.5
1
@
NIA
W 58-46
+2.5
5
vs
RID
W 81-52
+14.5
7
@
FAIR
L 60-63
−4.5
12
@
MRMK
L 56-81
−22.5
15
vs
SIE
L 63-67
−6.5
20
@
MAN
W 84-70
+8.5
22
vs
SHU
W 65-63
−5.5
1
vs
SPU
L 56-63
−11.5
7
vs
QUIN
W 77-75
+3.5
covered 14didn’t cover 15avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
XAV
L 62-66
−11.5
9
@
DART
W 75-56
−7.5
16
vs
HARV
L 54-56
−20.5
21
vs
ARMY
W 76-65
+8.5
25
vs
LEH
W 78-55
+0.5
5
vs
MSM
W 64-56
−16.5
7
vs
MAN
W 80-68
+7.5
13
@
BRY
W 82-74
+24.5
16
@
GT
L 76-87
+21.5
21
vs
STBK
W 70-51
−16.5
29
@
QUIN
L 58-64
−23.5
2
@
SPU
L 59-69
−5.5
4
vs
IONA
W 83-38
−27.5
9
@
SHU
W 76-72
+4.5
11
@
RID
W 71-49
−11.5
17
vs
FAIR
W 82-67
+7.5
19
vs
MRMK
L 55-68
−10.5
22
@
SIE
L 50-69
−14.5
24
vs
QUIN
W 71-64
−4.5
30
@
CAN
W 88-86
+44.5
1
@
NIA
W 58-46
−24.5
5
vs
RID
W 81-52
−2.5
7
@
FAIR
L 60-63
−15.5
12
@
MRMK
L 56-81
+8.5
15
vs
SIE
L 63-67
−3.5
20
@
MAN
W 84-70
+11.5
22
vs
SHU
W 65-63
−18.5
1
vs
SPU
L 56-63
−13.5
7
vs
QUIN
W 77-75
+16.5
over 11under 18avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Merrimack
32 games played
Straight up
22-10
69% wins
Against the spread
20-12
63% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-20
38% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | L 66-75 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 6 | @ | L 57-95 | +23.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 62-76 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ | W 91-79 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 72-65 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 45-80 | +36.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | @ | L 65-77 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs | L 58-78 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs | W 66-60 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 132.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 4 | vs | W 68-66 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 74-63 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 10 | @ | W 59-56 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 14 | @ | L 59-66 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 29 | @ | W 80-72 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 2 | vs | W 75-65 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 4 | vs | W 73-66 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 9 | @ | W 63-59 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @ | L 63-76 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 133.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 83-71 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 19 | @ | W 68-55 | +6.5 | W +19.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 22 | @ | L 60-61 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 67-59 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 1 | vs | W 75-58 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 5 | @ | W 87-70 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 134.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 7 | @ | W 73-47 | -8.5 | W +17.5 | 137.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 12 | vs | W 81-56 | -2.5 | W +22.5 | 128.5 | O 137 |
| Feb 15 | @ | W 56-49 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 105 |
| Feb 20 | vs | W 79-72 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 22 | vs | W 88-86 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 27 | @ | L 62-67 | -8.5 | L −13.5 | 129.5 | U 129 |
| Mar 1 | @ | W 73-66 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 126.5 | O 139 |
| Mar 6 | vs | W 70-48 | -6.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SDST
L 66-75
−2.5
6
@
AUB
L 57-95
−14.5
11
@
TAR
L 62-76
−9.5
15
@
BU
W 91-79
+14.5
19
vs
ME
W 72-65
+0.5
21
@
FLA
L 45-80
+1.5
28
@
PENN
L 65-77
−9.5
29
vs
HOF
L 58-78
−14.5
30
vs
LAS
W 66-60
+8.5
4
vs
RID
W 68-66
−7.5
7
vs
FAIR
W 74-63
+7.5
10
@
PRIN
W 59-56
+5.5
14
@
UVM
L 59-66
−0.5
29
@
SHU
W 80-72
+9.5
2
vs
MSM
W 75-65
+6.5
4
vs
MAN
W 73-66
+0.5
9
@
SIE
W 63-59
+9.5
11
@
SPU
L 63-76
−11.5
17
vs
QUIN
W 83-71
+13.5
19
@
MRST
W 68-55
+19.5
22
@
IONA
L 60-61
−2.5
24
vs
SPU
W 67-59
+5.5
1
vs
SHU
W 75-58
+11.5
5
@
MSM
W 87-70
+14.5
7
@
RID
W 73-47
+17.5
12
vs
MRST
W 81-56
+22.5
15
@
QUIN
W 56-49
+10.5
20
vs
SIE
W 79-72
+4.5
22
vs
IONA
W 88-86
−4.5
27
@
CAN
L 62-67
−13.5
1
@
NIA
W 73-66
−0.5
6
vs
SHU
W 70-48
+15.5
covered 20didn’t cover 12avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
SDST
L 66-75
−2.5
6
@
AUB
L 57-95
+3.5
11
@
TAR
L 62-76
−4.5
15
@
BU
W 91-79
+34.5
19
vs
ME
W 72-65
+6.5
21
@
FLA
L 45-80
−33.5
28
@
PENN
L 65-77
−10.5
29
vs
HOF
L 58-78
+0.5
30
vs
LAS
W 66-60
−6.5
4
vs
RID
W 68-66
−4.5
7
vs
FAIR
W 74-63
−7.5
10
@
PRIN
W 59-56
−19.5
14
@
UVM
L 59-66
−11.5
29
@
SHU
W 80-72
+7.5
2
vs
MSM
W 75-65
−1.5
4
vs
MAN
W 73-66
−9.5
9
@
SIE
W 63-59
−10.5
11
@
SPU
L 63-76
+5.5
17
vs
QUIN
W 83-71
+12.5
19
@
MRST
W 68-55
−10.5
22
@
IONA
L 60-61
−22.5
24
vs
SPU
W 67-59
−8.5
1
vs
SHU
W 75-58
−14.5
5
@
MSM
W 87-70
+22.5
7
@
RID
W 73-47
−17.5
12
vs
MRST
W 81-56
+8.5
15
@
QUIN
W 56-49
−36.5
20
vs
SIE
W 79-72
+17.5
22
vs
IONA
W 88-86
+37.5
27
@
CAN
L 62-67
−0.5
1
@
NIA
W 73-66
+12.5
6
vs
SHU
W 70-48
−25.5
over 12under 20avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Marist
18-11 overall · 13-8 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Quinnipiac77–75
- Lvs Saint Peter's56–63
- Wvs Sacred Heart65–63
- W@ Manhattan84–70
- Lvs Siena63–67
1 day since their last game.
Merrimack
22-10 overall · 18-3 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Sacred Heart70–48
- W@ Niagara73–66
- L@ Canisius62–67
- Wvs Iona88–86
- Wvs Siena79–72
2 days since their last game.