Corteva Coliseum · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
NKU -3.5✓ NKU covered by 16.5
NKU -3.5✓ NKU covered by 16.5Closing total146.5Over by 25.5
| NKU | This season | GB |
|---|---|---|
| 16-13 | Record | 16-14 |
| 12-17 | ATS | 19-11 |
| 19-10 | O/U | 15-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NKU 77–73 GB · ✓ NKU (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NKU | 36 | 60 | 96 |
| GB | 30 | 46 | 76 |
1st half: NKU 36, GB 30 (NKU by 6). The model had NKU by 2.0 and a total of 70.0 (actual 66).
Team stats
| NKU | GB | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-67 49% | Field goals | 27-53 51% |
| 14-28 50% | 3-pointers | 4-14 29% |
| 16-21 76% | Free throws | 18-19 95% |
| 37 15 off | Rebounds | 25 5 off |
| 23 | Assists | 18 |
| 7 | Steals | 1 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| NKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Elliott G | 34 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Kael Robinson F | 33 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 8-17 | 5-10 |
| Donovan Oday G | 33 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 6-12 | 4-7 |
| LJ Wells F | 31 | 26 | 9 | 4 | 8-12 | 0-0 |
| Tae Dozier G | 23 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dan Gherezgher G | 29 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 6-15 | 5-9 |
| Donovan Rakotonanahary F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Tolliver F | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Shawn Nelson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bryce Darbyshire, Mitchel Minor, Addison Archer, Juanma Ruiz, JJ Apathjang
| GB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Ruedinger G | 38 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 5-9 | 1-4 |
| C.J. O'Hara G | 38 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 6-10 | 0-2 |
| Marcus Hall F | 32 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Justin Allen G | 31 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 7-14 | 1-1 |
| Caden Wilkins F | 21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Vukasin Todorovic F | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ramel Bethea F | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| LeBron Thomas G | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Mac Wrecke G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Brady Fitzgerald, Dontrell Hewlett, Keegan Van Kauwenberg, Josh Hines, Trey Schachter, Rob Stroud, Maruan Cicic
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNKU -3.5
ModelNKU -3.2
Model edgeGB +0.3
L NKU covered
Total
Market146.5
Model149.7
Model edgeOver 3.2
W Over
Projected score
NKU 76.5 · GB 73.3
NKU 96 · GB 76
Win probability
NKU 61%
1st half
Spread
NKU -2.0
NKU -6.0
Total
70.0
66 points
Projected score
NKU 36 · GB 34
NKU 36 · GB 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNKU -2.5
1 → NKU
CloseNKU -3.5
1 pt toward NKU
Total
Open145.5
▲ 1
Close146.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
NKU -175 · GB +145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NKU -2.5 · closed NKU -3.5 · moved 1 toward NKUmodel NKU -3
model NKU -3
Opened 145.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 upmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NKU | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| GB | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
NKU 8–2 GBNKU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · GB has won the last 2 meetings · NKU 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025-26 | GB 87 @ NKU 84 | NKU -7.5 | GB W |
| Jan 11, 2025-26 | NKU 78 @ GB 80 | GB +4.5 | GB W |
| Feb 14, 2024-25 | NKU 73 @ GB 60 | GB +7.5 | NKU W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | GB 60 @ NKU 78 | NKU -12.5 | NKU W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | NKU 58 @ GB 57 | GB -3.5 | NKU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Kentucky
29 games played
Straight up
16-13
55% wins
Against the spread
12-17
41% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-10
66% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ TENN | L 56-95 | +27.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | @ ETSU | L 63-75 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 20 | @ CMU | W 90-66 | +4.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs EKU | W 82-71 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 26 | vs WOF | W 93-83 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs BU | W 74-65 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLE | W 95-80 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 6 | @ PFW | L 77-79 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | @ BELL | W 80-76 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 17 | vs OAK | L 77-82 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 21 | vs COFC | L 74-85 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 29 | @ RMU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 1 | vs IUIN | W 81-72 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 176.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 4 | vs YSU | W 94-79 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 9 | @ MILW | W 85-67 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 11 | @GB | L 78-80 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vs DETM | W 96-71 | -10.5 | W +14.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vsRMU | L 89-92 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 24 | @ WRST | L 80-88 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 30 | @DETM | L 77-90 | -5.5 | L −18.5 | 161.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 1 | @OAK | L 65-76 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 4 | vsGB | L 84-87 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 7 | vsMILW | W 67-62 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 12 | @IUIN | W 84-81 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 18 | vsPFW | W 87-71 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 22 | @YSU | L 58-64 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 25 | @CLE | W 81-70 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 28 | vsWRST | L 91-92 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Mar 4 | @OAK | W 85-84 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
−11.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−5.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+28.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
+6.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+6.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
+1.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+0.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
−0.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
−0.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−8.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
−16.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+0.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−4.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+10.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
+19.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
−6.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 96-71
+14.5
17
vsRMU
RMUL 89-92
−10.5
24
@WRST
WRSTL 80-88
−6.5
30
@DETM
DETML 77-90
−18.5
1
@OAK
OAKL 65-76
−7.5
4
vsGB
GBL 84-87
−10.5
7
vsMILW
MILWW 67-62
−1.5
12
@IUIN
IUINW 84-81
−2.5
18
vsPFW
PFWW 87-71
+10.5
22
@YSU
YSUL 58-64
−3.5
25
@CLE
CLEW 81-70
+2.5
28
vsWRST
WRSTL 91-92
−4.5
4
@OAK
OAKW 85-84
+2.5
covered 12didn’t cover 17avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
+13.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−4.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+9.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
−3.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+26.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
−4.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+16.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
+2.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
+9.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−4.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
+5.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+6.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−23.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+26.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
−5.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
+13.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 96-71
+7.5
17
vsRMU
RMUL 89-92
+27.5
24
@WRST
WRSTL 80-88
+12.5
30
@DETM
DETML 77-90
+5.5
1
@OAK
OAKL 65-76
−25.5
4
vsGB
GBL 84-87
+21.5
7
vsMILW
MILWW 67-62
−27.5
12
@IUIN
IUINW 84-81
+0.5
18
vsPFW
PFWW 87-71
+4.5
22
@YSU
YSUL 58-64
−30.5
25
@CLE
CLEW 81-70
−15.5
28
vsWRST
WRSTL 91-92
+29.5
4
@OAK
OAKW 85-84
+7.5
over 19under 10avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Green Bay
30 games played
Straight up
16-14
53% wins
Against the spread
19-11
63% covers · avg +3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-15
50% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ KU | L 51-94 | +30.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 7 | @ BUF | L 76-83 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 13 | @ STMN | L 61-80 | +13.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | @ MINN | L 65-72 | +25.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | vs YALE | L 67-73 | +17.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 22 | vs MASS | W 79-75 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | vs IONA | W 80-75 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 4 | vsRMU | L 78-80 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 7 | @WRST | L 58-86 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 11 | @IUIN | W 85-75 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs UCSB | W 67-64 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 23 | @ CAM | L 79-102 | +5.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 1 | @PFW | W 72-54 | +8.5 | W +26.5 | 145.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 5 | vsMILW | W 79-76 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 9 | vsIUIN | W 75-59 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 156.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | vsNKU | W 80-78 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | @CLE | W 88-73 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 18 | vsOAK | L 63-88 | +4.5 | L −20.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 22 | @YSU | L 81-88 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 24 | @RMU | W 71-67 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 30 | vsCLE | L 82-89 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 1 | vsWRST | L 75-83 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 4 | @NKU | W 87-84 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 7 | vsDETM | W 76-63 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 12 | vsPFW | W 76-59 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 15 | @MILW | L 72-75 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 20 | @OAK | W 73-68 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 22 | @DETM | L 70-74 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 28 | vsYSU | W 85-63 | -1.5 | W +20.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Mar 3 | vsPFW | W 64-56 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@KU
KUL 51-94
−12.5
7
@BUF
BUFL 76-83
−3.5
13
@STMN
STMNL 61-80
−5.5
15
@MINN
MINNL 65-72
+18.5
21
vsYALE
YALEL 67-73
+11.5
22
vsMASS
MASSW 79-75
+9.5
24
vsIONA
IONAW 80-75
+10.5
4
vsRMU
RMUL 78-80
−0.5
7
@WRST
WRSTL 58-86
−21.5
11
@IUIN
IUINW 85-75
+13.5
17
vsUCSB
UCSBW 67-64
+10.5
23
@CAM
CAML 79-102
−17.5
1
@PFW
PFWW 72-54
+26.5
5
vsMILW
MILWW 79-76
+6.5
9
vsIUIN
IUINW 75-59
+9.5
11
vsNKU
NKUW 80-78
+6.5
15
@CLE
CLEW 88-73
+11.5
18
vsOAK
OAKL 63-88
−20.5
22
@YSU
YSUL 81-88
+0.5
24
@RMU
RMUW 71-67
+10.5
30
vsCLE
CLEL 82-89
−14.5
1
vsWRST
WRSTL 75-83
−4.5
4
@NKU
NKUW 87-84
+10.5
7
vsDETM
DETMW 76-63
+9.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 76-59
+18.5
15
@MILW
MILWL 72-75
−0.5
20
@OAK
OAKW 73-68
+11.5
22
@DETM
DETML 70-74
−2.5
28
vsYSU
YSUW 85-63
+20.5
3
vsPFW
PFWW 64-56
+4.5
covered 19didn’t cover 11avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@KU
KUL 51-94
−7.5
7
@BUF
BUFL 76-83
+11.5
13
@STMN
STMNL 61-80
−9.5
15
@MINN
MINNL 65-72
−9.5
21
vsYALE
YALEL 67-73
−8.5
22
vsMASS
MASSW 79-75
+7.5
24
vsIONA
IONAW 80-75
+4.5
4
vsRMU
RMUL 78-80
+17.5
7
@WRST
WRSTL 58-86
+1.5
11
@IUIN
IUINW 85-75
−5.5
17
vsUCSB
UCSBW 67-64
−9.5
23
@CAM
CAML 79-102
+35.5
1
@PFW
PFWW 72-54
−19.5
5
vsMILW
MILWW 79-76
+10.5
9
vsIUIN
IUINW 75-59
−22.5
11
vsNKU
NKUW 80-78
+13.5
15
@CLE
CLEW 88-73
+10.5
18
vsOAK
OAKL 63-88
−2.5
22
@YSU
YSUL 81-88
+29.5
24
@RMU
RMUW 71-67
−4.5
30
vsCLE
CLEL 82-89
+20.5
1
vsWRST
WRSTL 75-83
+13.5
4
@NKU
NKUW 87-84
+21.5
7
vsDETM
DETMW 76-63
−10.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 76-59
−9.5
15
@MILW
MILWL 72-75
+1.5
20
@OAK
OAKW 73-68
−12.5
22
@DETM
DETML 70-74
−3.5
28
vsYSU
YSUW 85-63
+6.5
3
vsPFW
PFWW 64-56
−25.5
over 15under 15avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Kentucky
16-13 overall · 11-10 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Oakland85–84
- Lvs Wright St91–92
- W@ Cleveland St81–70
- L@ Youngstown St58–64
- Wvs Purdue FW87–71
4 days since their last game.
Green Bay
16-14 overall · 13-8 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Purdue FW64–56
- Wvs Youngstown St85–63
- L@ Detroit Mercy70–74
- W@ Oakland73–68
- L@ Milwaukee72–75
5 days since their last game.