United Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
MINN -6.5✓ RUTG covered by 11.5
MINN -6.5✓ RUTG covered by 11.5Closing total135.5Over by 3.5
 RUTG | This season | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| 13-18 | Record | 15-16 |
| 16-15 | ATS | 13-18 |
| 18-13 | O/U | 11-20 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RUTG 67–72 MINN · ✗ MINN (66%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RUTG | 29 | 43 | 72 |
| MINN | 31 | 36 | 67 |
1st half: RUTG 29, MINN 31 (MINN by 2). The model had MINN by 2.7 and a total of 64.9 (actual 60).
Team stats
| RUTG | MINN | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-54 46% | Field goals | 25-48 52% |
| 10-23 43% | 3-pointers | 9-21 43% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 8-12 67% |
| 27 8 off | Rebounds | 26 5 off |
| 22 | Assists | 23 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| RUTG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tariq Francis G | 35 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 9-16 | 5-7 |
| Emmanuel Ogbole C | 28 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Grant F | 25 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Darren Buchanan Jr. G | 24 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Lino Mark G | 18 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamichael Davis G | 28 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Harun Zrno G | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Denis Badalau F | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Kaden Powers G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Ruglass Dortch F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gevonte Ware, Dorian Jones, Chris Nwuli, Max Fradkin, Baye Fall
| MINN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Tyson G | 40 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 9-13 | 3-7 |
| Bobby Durkin F | 39 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 4-10 | 4-9 |
| Langston Reynolds G | 38 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Asuma G | 37 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Grayson Grove F | 33 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kai Shinholster G | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: BJ Omot, Chance Stephens, Nehemiah Turner, Chansey Willis Jr., Robert Vaihola, Jaylen Crocker-Johnson, Max Lorenson, Maximus Gizzi, RJ Spencer
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMINN -6.5
ModelMINN -4.8
Model edgeRUTG +1.7
W RUTG covered
Total
Market135.5
Model138.6
Model edgeOver 3.1
W Over
Projected score
RUTG 66.9 · MINN 71.7
RUTG 72 · MINN 67
Win probability
MINN 66%
1st half
Spread
MINN -2.7
MINN -2.0
Total
64.9
60 points
Projected score
RUTG 31.1 · MINN 33.8
RUTG 29 · MINN 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMINN -4.5
2 → MINN
CloseMINN -6.5
2 pts toward MINN
Total
Open136.5
▼ 1
Close135.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
RUTG +215 · MINN -265
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MINN -4.5 · closed MINN -6.5 · moved 2 toward MINNmodel MINN -5
model MINN -5
Opened 136.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 1 downmodel 138.5
model 138.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RUTG | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| MINN | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
RUTG 2–4 MINNMINN leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · RUTG 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2025-26 | RUTG 61 @ MINN 80 | MINN -8.5 | MINN W |
| Mar 9, 2024-25 | MINN 67 @ RUTG 75 | RUTG -4.5 | RUTG W |
| Feb 18, 2023-24 | RUTG 70 @ MINN 81 | MINN -5.5 | MINN W |
| Mar 2, 2022-23 | RUTG 74 @ MINN 75 | MINN +8.5 | MINN W |
| Feb 1, 2022-23 | MINN 55 @ RUTG 90 | RUTG -15.5 | RUTG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Rutgers
31 games played
Straight up
13-18
42% wins
Against the spread
16-15
52% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-13
58% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs RID | W 81-53 | -18.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 10 | vs ME | W 72-60 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 14 | vs LEH | W 84-72 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | vs AMER | W 80-71 | -16.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs CCSU | L 54-67 | -15.5 | L −28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs TENN | L 60-85 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs ND | L 63-68 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNLV | W 80-65 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | vs PUR | L 65-81 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ MICH | L 60-101 | +25.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 13 | @ HALL | L 59-81 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 20 | vs PENN | W 70-69 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs DSU | W 65-50 | -20.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 2 | vs OSU | L 73-80 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vs ORE | W 88-85 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | @ ILL | L 55-81 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 11 | vs NU | W 77-75 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | @ WIS | L 87-96 | +15.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 20 | @ IOWA | L 62-68 | +17.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 23 | vs IU | L 59-82 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 27 | vs MSU | L 79-88 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 31 | @ USC | L 75-78 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 3 | @ UCLA | L 66-98 | +13.5 | L −18.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | vs NEB | L 68-80 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 15 | vs MD | W 68-57 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 18 | @ PSU | W 85-72 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 21 | @MINN | L 61-80 | +8.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 24 | vs WASH | L 72-79 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 1 | @MD | W 69-65 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 5 | @MSU | L 87-91 | +20.5 | W +16.5 | 141.5 | O 178 |
| Mar 8 | vsPSU | W 74-62 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
+9.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
−6.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
−6.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
−7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−28.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
−10.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
+1.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
+19.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−2.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
−15.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
−8.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−10.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−5.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+2.5
5
vsORE
OREW 88-85
+7.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 55-81
−3.5
11
vsNU
NUW 77-75
+6.5
17
@WIS
WISL 87-96
+6.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-68
+11.5
23
vsIU
IUL 59-82
−15.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 79-88
+5.5
31
@USC
USCL 75-78
+8.5
3
@UCLA
UCLAL 66-98
−18.5
7
vsNEB
NEBL 68-80
+0.5
15
vsMD
MDW 68-57
+8.5
18
@PSU
PSUW 85-72
+17.5
21
@MINN
MINNL 61-80
−10.5
24
vsWASH
WASHL 72-79
−2.5
1
@MD
MDW 69-65
+8.5
5
@MSU
MSUL 87-91
+16.5
8
vsPSU
PSUW 74-62
+7.5
covered 16didn’t cover 15avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
−5.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
+1.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
+19.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
+7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−16.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
+3.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
−9.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
−8.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−0.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
+7.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
+3.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−11.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−20.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+1.5
5
vsORE
OREW 88-85
+33.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 55-81
−13.5
11
vsNU
NUW 77-75
+7.5
17
@WIS
WISL 87-96
+33.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-68
−10.5
23
vsIU
IUL 59-82
−6.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 79-88
+28.5
31
@USC
USCL 75-78
+6.5
3
@UCLA
UCLAL 66-98
+21.5
7
vsNEB
NEBL 68-80
+2.5
15
vsMD
MDW 68-57
−19.5
18
@PSU
PSUW 85-72
+8.5
21
@MINN
MINNL 61-80
+4.5
24
vsWASH
WASHL 72-79
+11.5
1
@MD
MDW 69-65
−9.5
5
@MSU
MSUL 87-91
+36.5
8
vsPSU
PSUW 74-62
−13.5
over 18under 13avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Minnesota
31 games played
Straight up
15-16
48% wins
Against the spread
13-18
42% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-20
35% overs · avg −3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GWEB | W 87-60 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALCN | W 95-50 | -31.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 12 | @ MIZ | L 60-83 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 15 | vs GB | W 72-65 | -25.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 18 | vs CHST | W 66-54 | -27.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 22 | vs SF | L 65-77 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs STAN | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SCU | L 75-86 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 3 | vsIU | W 73-64 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 10 | @PUR | L 57-85 | +19.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 14 | vs TXSO | W 89-53 | -21.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs CAM | W 78-50 | -13.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 29 | vs FDU | W 60-43 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 103 |
| Jan 3 | @NU | W 84-78 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vsIOWA | W 70-67 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 9 | vsUSC | L 69-70 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 13 | vsWIS | L 75-78 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | @ILL | L 67-77 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 20 | @OSU | L 74-82 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 24 | vsNEB | L 57-76 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 28 | @WIS | L 63-67 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 1 | @PSU | L 75-77 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 4 | vsMSU | W 76-73 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 8 | vsMD | L 62-67 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 14 | @WASH | L 57-69 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 17 | @ORE | W 61-44 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 136.5 | U 105 |
| Feb 21 | vsRUTG | W 80-61 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 24 | @MICH | L 67-77 | +22.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 28 | vsUCLA | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 4 | @IU | L 47-77 | +7.5 | L −22.5 | 138.5 | U 124 |
| Mar 7 | vsNU | W 67-66 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 87-60
−1.5
8
vsALCN
ALCNW 95-50
+13.5
12
@MIZ
MIZL 60-83
−15.5
15
vsGB
GBW 72-65
−18.5
18
vsCHST
CHSTW 66-54
−15.5
22
vsSF
SFL 65-77
−13.5
27
vsSTAN
STANL 68-72
−1.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 75-86
−5.5
3
vsIU
IUW 73-64
+16.5
10
@PUR
PURL 57-85
−8.5
14
vsTXSO
TXSOW 89-53
+14.5
21
vsCAM
CAMW 78-50
+14.5
29
vsFDU
FDUW 60-43
−8.5
3
@NU
NUW 84-78
+10.5
6
vsIOWA
IOWAW 70-67
+7.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 69-70
−4.5
13
vsWIS
WISL 75-78
−1.5
17
@ILL
ILLL 67-77
+5.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
−0.5
24
vsNEB
NEBL 57-76
−14.5
28
@WIS
WISL 63-67
+5.5
1
@PSU
PSUL 75-77
−4.5
4
vsMSU
MSUW 76-73
+11.5
8
vsMD
MDL 62-67
−15.5
14
@WASH
WASHL 57-69
−5.5
17
@ORE
OREW 61-44
+20.5
21
vsRUTG
RUTGW 80-61
+10.5
24
@MICH
MICHL 67-77
+12.5
28
vsUCLA
UCLAW 78-73
+6.5
4
@IU
IUL 47-77
−22.5
7
vsNU
NUW 67-66
−3.5
covered 13didn’t cover 18avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 87-60
−1.5
8
vsALCN
ALCNW 95-50
−7.5
12
@MIZ
MIZL 60-83
−15.5
15
vsGB
GBW 72-65
−9.5
18
vsCHST
CHSTW 66-54
−24.5
22
vsSF
SFL 65-77
+1.5
27
vsSTAN
STANL 68-72
−2.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 75-86
+22.5
3
vsIU
IUW 73-64
−7.5
10
@PUR
PURL 57-85
−1.5
14
vsTXSO
TXSOW 89-53
−2.5
21
vsCAM
CAMW 78-50
−17.5
29
vsFDU
FDUW 60-43
−36.5
3
@NU
NUW 84-78
+23.5
6
vsIOWA
IOWAW 70-67
+6.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 69-70
−8.5
13
vsWIS
WISL 75-78
+6.5
17
@ILL
ILLL 67-77
+1.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
+12.5
24
vsNEB
NEBL 57-76
−7.5
28
@WIS
WISL 63-67
−16.5
1
@PSU
PSUL 75-77
+9.5
4
vsMSU
MSUW 76-73
+12.5
8
vsMD
MDL 62-67
−9.5
14
@WASH
WASHL 57-69
−12.5
17
@ORE
OREW 61-44
−31.5
21
vsRUTG
RUTGW 80-61
+4.5
24
@MICH
MICHL 67-77
−1.5
28
vsUCLA
UCLAW 78-73
+14.5
4
@IU
IUL 47-77
−14.5
7
vsNU
NUW 67-66
−0.5
over 11under 20avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Rutgers
13-18 overall · 6-14 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Penn State74–62
- L@ Michigan St87–91
- W@ Maryland69–65
- Lvs Washington72–79
- L@ Minnesota61–80
3 days since their last game.
Minnesota
15-16 overall · 8-12 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Northwestern67–66
- L@ Indiana47–77
- Wvs UCLA78–73
- L@ Michigan67–77
- Wvs Rutgers80–61
4 days since their last game.