Athletics-Recreation Center · at Valparaiso · Conference game
Closing line
VAL -2.5✓ VAL covered by 0.5
VAL -2.5✓ VAL covered by 0.5Closing total146.5Under by 1.5
 DRKE | This season | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| 10-17 | Record | 15-13 |
| 10-17 | ATS | 18-10 |
| 17-10 | O/U | 15-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DRKE 71–74 VAL · ✓ VAL (59%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DRKE | 37 | 34 | 71 |
| VAL | 36 | 38 | 74 |
1st half: DRKE 37, VAL 36 (DRKE by 1). The model had VAL by 1.4 and a total of 68.0 (actual 73).
Team stats
| DRKE | VAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-56 48% | Field goals | 24-54 44% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 12-28 43% |
| 9-13 69% | Free throws | 14-17 82% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 29 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 14 |
| 4 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| DRKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Larson G | 35 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 7-13 | 2-7 |
| Jalen Quinn G | 30 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 6-14 | 2-5 |
| Andrew Alia G | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Eli Shetlar G | 24 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Okku Federiko F | 20 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaehshon Thomas G | 27 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Isaiah Carr F | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Griffen Goodbary F | 17 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4-4 | 2-2 |
Did not play: Wilguens Jr. Exacte, Braden Appelhans, Heri Bukinga, Bryson Bahl, LJ Rush
| VAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakim Chaney G | 34 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 7-14 | 3-9 |
| JT Pettigrew F | 32 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 3-10 | 2-6 |
| Shon Tupuola F | 30 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Brody Whitaker G | 29 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 6-8 | 4-5 |
| Owen Dease F | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sader Servilus G | 15 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Justus McNair G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Isaiah Barnes G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Carter Hopoi F | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Kyonte Thomas G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tucker Tornatta, Kobe Walker, Mark Brown Jr., Camden Webster, Joe Vick, Nick Lombardi, Jayden Watson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAL -4.5
2 → DRKE
CloseVAL -2.5
2 pts toward DRKE
Total
Open149.5
▼ 3
Close146.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
DRKE +124 · VAL -148
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAL -4.5 · closed VAL -2.5 · moved 2 toward DRKEmodel VAL -2.5 matches the line
model VAL -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 149.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 3 downmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | VAL -2.5 | VAL -2.6 | VAL +0.1 | W VAL covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 145.2 | Under 1.3 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | DRKE 71.3 · VAL 73.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | VAL -1.4 | DRKE -1.0 |
| 1H total | 68.0 | 73 |
| 1H projected score | DRKE 33.3 · VAL 34.7 | DRKE 37 · VAL 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DRKE | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 8-2 80% |
| VAL | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
DRKE 8–1 VALDRKE leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · DRKE 1-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025-26 | VAL 81 @ DRKE 76 | DRKE -3.5 | VAL W |
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | VAL 71 @ DRKE 81 | DRKE -13.5 | VAL W |
| Dec 5, 2024-25 | DRKE 66 @ VAL 60 | VAL +9.5 | VAL W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | VAL 70 @ DRKE 81 | DRKE -19.5 | VAL W |
| Nov 29, 2023-24 | DRKE 83 @ VAL 65 | VAL +14.5 | DRKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Drake
27 games played
Straight up
10-17
37% wins
Against the spread
10-17
37% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-10
63% overs · avg +5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NAU | W 77-71 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 6 | vs RMU | L 79-81 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs SIUE | L 59-61 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | @ COFC | W 71-62 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs LSU | L 62-71 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs GT | W 84-74 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs WIU | W 108-57 | -17.5 | W +33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 5 | vs UAB | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs NDSU | L 94-99 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 18 | @ MUR | L 72-81 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 21 | @ EVAN | W 66-65 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 29 | vs ILST | L 56-73 | +4.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 4 | vs INST | W 74-72 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 7 | @ BRAD | L 66-93 | +6.5 | L −20.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | vs BEL | L 76-78 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | @ SIU | W 76-73 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 17 | @ UIC | L 67-74 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 21 | vsMUR | W 101-90 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 24 | @INST | W 76-62 | +3.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 28 | vsEVAN | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | vsBRAD | L 73-87 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 3 | @BEL | L 90-103 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 6 | @ILST | L 76-86 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 9 | vsVAL | L 76-81 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 12 | vsUIC | L 70-80 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 15 | @ UNI | L 62-86 | +8.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 18 | vsSIU | L 61-66 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
−2.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
−9.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−9.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
+16.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
+2.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+14.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+33.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
−10.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−1.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
+3.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−12.5
4
vsINST
INSTW 74-72
−4.5
7
@BRAD
BRADL 66-93
−20.5
10
vsBEL
BELL 76-78
+2.5
14
@SIU
SIUW 76-73
+8.5
17
@UIC
UICL 67-74
−1.5
21
vsMUR
MURW 101-90
+15.5
24
@INST
INSTW 76-62
+17.5
28
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-78
−4.5
31
vsBRAD
BRADL 73-87
−11.5
3
@BEL
BELL 90-103
−3.5
6
@ILST
ILSTL 76-86
+0.5
9
vsVAL
VALL 76-81
−8.5
12
vsUIC
UICL 70-80
−8.5
15
@UNI
UNIL 62-86
−15.5
18
vsSIU
SIUL 61-66
−3.5
covered 10didn’t cover 17avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
+3.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
+8.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−22.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
−20.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
−18.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+20.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+26.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−5.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
+47.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−3.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
−10.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−16.5
4
vsINST
INSTW 74-72
−3.5
7
@BRAD
BRADL 66-93
+14.5
10
vsBEL
BELL 76-78
+5.5
14
@SIU
SIUW 76-73
+4.5
17
@UIC
UICL 67-74
+1.5
21
vsMUR
MURW 101-90
+34.5
24
@INST
INSTW 76-62
−13.5
28
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-78
+16.5
31
vsBRAD
BRADL 73-87
+9.5
3
@BEL
BELL 90-103
+38.5
6
@ILST
ILSTL 76-86
+17.5
9
vsVAL
VALL 76-81
+12.5
12
vsUIC
UICL 70-80
+3.5
15
@UNI
UNIL 62-86
+9.5
18
vsSIU
SIUL 61-66
−22.5
over 17under 10avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Valparaiso
28 games played
Straight up
15-13
54% wins
Against the spread
18-10
64% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-13
54% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EIU | W 66-63 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 7 | @ UK | L 59-107 | +32.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 12 | vs NICH | W 68-63 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs BRY | W 68-50 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 19 | @ CLE | W 90-75 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | vs USI | L 56-64 | -9.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 29 | vs WMU | W 84-55 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 2 | @ MARQ | L 72-75 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNCW | L 70-73 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 16 | @ NU | L 70-86 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vsMUR | L 79-85 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | @UNI | L 48-58 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 1 | @SIU | L 70-75 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | vsUIC | W 66-59 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 7 | vsILST | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @MUR | L 79-92 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 13 | @BEL | L 74-78 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNI | W 54-44 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 130.5 | U 98 |
| Jan 21 | vsSIU | W 69-63 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 28 | vsBEL | L 77-78 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | @INST | W 76-72 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 3 | @BRAD | L 65-72 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 6 | vsEVAN | W 70-63 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 9 | @DRKE | W 81-76 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 12 | @ILST | L 64-86 | +8.5 | L −13.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 15 | vsINST | W 76-75 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 18 | vsBRAD | W 79-72 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 21 | @UIC | W 71-67 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−2.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
−15.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
+2.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
+11.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+17.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−17.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
+24.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+14.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+1.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
−1.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
−0.5
29
@UNI
UNIL 48-58
−1.5
1
@SIU
SIUL 70-75
+2.5
4
vsUIC
UICW 66-59
+4.5
7
vsILST
ILSTW 77-71
+12.5
10
@MUR
MURL 79-92
−0.5
13
@BEL
BELL 74-78
+7.5
17
vsUNI
UNIW 54-44
+11.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 69-63
+4.5
28
vsBEL
BELL 77-78
+4.5
31
@INST
INSTW 76-72
+6.5
3
@BRAD
BRADL 65-72
+0.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 70-63
−1.5
9
@DRKE
DRKEW 81-76
+8.5
12
@ILST
ILSTL 64-86
−13.5
15
vsINST
INSTW 76-75
−3.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADW 79-72
+9.5
21
@UIC
UICW 71-67
+11.5
covered 18didn’t cover 10avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−15.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
+8.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
−13.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
−25.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+6.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−30.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
−7.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+0.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+6.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
+10.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
+8.5
29
@UNI
UNIL 48-58
−25.5
1
@SIU
SIUL 70-75
−0.5
4
vsUIC
UICW 66-59
−19.5
7
vsILST
ILSTW 77-71
+9.5
10
@MUR
MURL 79-92
+18.5
13
@BEL
BELL 74-78
+5.5
17
vsUNI
UNIW 54-44
−32.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 69-63
−10.5
28
vsBEL
BELL 77-78
+9.5
31
@INST
INSTW 76-72
+2.5
3
@BRAD
BRADL 65-72
−7.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 70-63
−3.5
9
@DRKE
DRKEW 81-76
+12.5
12
@ILST
ILSTL 64-86
+11.5
15
vsINST
INSTW 76-75
+5.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADW 79-72
+8.5
21
@UIC
UICW 71-67
−0.5
over 15under 13avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Drake
10-17 overall · 6-12 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs S Illinois61–66
- L@ Northern Iowa62–86
- Lvs UIC70–80
- Lvs Valparaiso76–81
- L@ Illinois St76–86
A week or more of rest.
Valparaiso
15-13 overall · 10-8 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UIC71–67
- Wvs Bradley79–72
- Wvs Indiana St76–75
- L@ Illinois St64–86
- W@ Drake81–76
4 days since their last game.