Foster Pavilion · at Baylor · Conference game
Closing line
ARIZ -7.5✓ BAY covered by 0.5
ARIZ -7.5✓ BAY covered by 0.5Closing total155.5Over by 11.5
| ARIZ | This season | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| 25-2 | Record | 13-13 |
| 15-12 | ATS | 10-16 |
| 13-14 | O/U | 14-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARIZ 86–75 BAY · ✓ ARIZ (81%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ | 34 | 53 | 87 |
| BAY | 41 | 39 | 80 |
1st half: ARIZ 34, BAY 41 (BAY by 7). The model had ARIZ by 6.2 and a total of 75.2 (actual 75).
Team stats
| ARIZ | BAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-61 49% | Field goals | 29-59 49% |
| 9-21 43% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 18-23 78% | Free throws | 15-21 71% |
| 37 13 off | Rebounds | 30 9 off |
| 17 | Assists | 14 |
| 2 | Steals | 2 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| ARIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Burries G | 39 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 8-13 | 1-3 |
| Ivan Kharchenkov F | 37 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Jaden Bradley G | 35 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 8-17 | 5-8 |
| Motiejus Krivas C | 27 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Tobe Awaka F | 22 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Dell'Orso G | 30 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Evan Nelson G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Sidi Gueye C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mabil Mawut, Sven Djopmo, Dwayne Aristode, Jackson Cook, Jackson Francois, Bryce James, Koa Peat, Addison Arnold
| BAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obi Agbim G | 37 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Cameron Carr G | 37 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 11-19 | 2-7 |
| Isaac Williams IV G | 36 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 5-6 | 1-1 |
| Tounde Yessoufou G | 32 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 5-15 | 2-5 |
| Caden Powell C | 25 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dan Skillings Jr. G | 18 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Michael Rataj G | 14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| James Nnaji C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Maikcol Perez, Drew Perry, Mayo Soyoye, Andre Iguodala II, Juslin Bodo Bodo, Will Kuykendall, James Goodis, JJ White
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARIZ -12.5
5 → BAY
CloseARIZ -7.5
5 pts toward BAY
Total
Open152.5
▲ 3
Close155.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
ARIZ -380 · BAY +300
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARIZ -12.5 · closed ARIZ -7.5 · moved 5 toward BAYmodel ARIZ -10
model ARIZ -10
Opened 152.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 3 upmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ARIZ -7.5 | ARIZ -10.1 | ARIZ +2.6 | L BAY covered |
| Total | 155.5 | 160.8 | Over 5.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ARIZ 85.5 · BAY 75.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ARIZ -6.2 | BAY -7.0 |
| 1H total | 75.2 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | ARIZ 40.7 · BAY 34.5 | ARIZ 34 · BAY 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
| BAY | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ARIZ 2–0 BAYARIZ leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · ARIZ has won the last 2 meetings · ARIZ 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024-25 | ARIZ 74 @ BAY 67 | BAY -2.5 | ARIZ W |
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | BAY 70 @ ARIZ 81 | ARIZ -5.5 | ARIZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arizona
27 games played
Straight up
25-2
93% wins
Against the spread
15-12
56% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-14
48% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FLA | W 93-87 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTU | W 93-67 | -33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAU | W 84-49 | -35.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 14 | vs UCLA | W 69-65 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ CONN | W 71-67 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs DEN | W 103-73 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs NORF | W 98-61 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs AUB | W 97-68 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs ALA | W 96-75 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 16 | vs ACU | W 96-62 | -34.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 20 | vs SDSU | W 68-45 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 22 | vs BCU | W 107-71 | -39.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 29 | vs SDST | W 99-71 | -31.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 3 | @ UTAH | W 97-78 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 7 | vs KSU | W 101-76 | -17.5 | W +7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @ TCU | W 86-73 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 14 | vs ASU | W 89-82 | -21.5 | L −14.5 | 167.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @ UCF | W 84-77 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 21 | vs CIN | W 77-51 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | vs WVU | W 88-53 | -17.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 26 | @ BYU | W 86-83 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 31 | @ASU | W 87-74 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 7 | vs OKST | W 84-47 | -20.5 | W +16.5 | 168.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 9 | @ KU | L 78-82 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | vs TTU | L 75-78 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 18 | vsBYU | W 75-68 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 21 | @ HOU | W 73-66 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+9.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−7.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−0.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
+2.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
+8.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
−2.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+1.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+17.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
+18.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
−0.5
20
vsSDSU
SDSUW 68-45
+9.5
22
vsBCU
BCUW 107-71
−3.5
29
vsSDST
SDSTW 99-71
−3.5
3
@UTAH
UTAHW 97-78
+1.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 101-76
+7.5
10
@TCU
TCUW 86-73
+5.5
14
vsASU
ASUW 89-82
−14.5
17
@UCF
UCFW 84-77
−2.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 77-51
+12.5
24
vsWVU
WVUW 88-53
+17.5
26
@BYU
BYUW 86-83
+1.5
31
@ASU
ASUW 87-74
−1.5
7
vsOKST
OKSTW 84-47
+16.5
9
@KU
KUL 78-82
−9.5
14
vsTTU
TTUL 75-78
−11.5
18
vsBYU
BYUW 75-68
−4.5
21
@HOU
HOUW 73-66
+13.5
covered 15didn’t cover 12avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+15.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−2.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−30.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
−19.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
−18.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
+21.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+12.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+2.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
−7.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
+12.5
20
vsSDSU
SDSUW 68-45
−40.5
22
vsBCU
BCUW 107-71
+23.5
29
vsSDST
SDSTW 99-71
+10.5
3
@UTAH
UTAHW 97-78
+12.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 101-76
+5.5
10
@TCU
TCUW 86-73
+1.5
14
vsASU
ASUW 89-82
+3.5
17
@UCF
UCFW 84-77
−4.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 77-51
−24.5
24
vsWVU
WVUW 88-53
−2.5
26
@BYU
BYUW 86-83
+2.5
31
@ASU
ASUW 87-74
−2.5
7
vsOKST
OKSTW 84-47
−37.5
9
@KU
KUL 78-82
+7.5
14
vsTTU
TTUL 75-78
−3.5
18
vsBYU
BYUW 75-68
−22.5
21
@HOU
HOUW 73-66
−3.5
over 13under 14avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Baylor
26 games played
Straight up
13-13
50% wins
Against the spread
10-16
38% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-12
54% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs RGV | W 96-81 | -24.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 9 | vs WASH | W 78-69 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs TAR | W 94-81 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs CREI | W 81-74 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 25 | vs SJU | L 81-96 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vsSDSU | W 91-81 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 2 | vs SAC | W 110-88 | -29.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 6 | @ MEM | L 71-78 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 10 | vsNORF | W 97-67 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 19 | vs ALCN | W 113-56 | -35.5 | W +21.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | vs SOU | W 111-67 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 169.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | @TCU | L 63-69 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 7 | vs ISU | L 60-70 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vsHOU | L 55-77 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @OKST | W 94-79 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 16 | @KU | L 62-80 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 20 | vsTTU | L 73-92 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsTCU | L 90-97 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 28 | @CIN | L 57-67 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | @WVU | W 63-53 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 4 | vs COLO | W 86-67 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 7 | @ISU | L 69-72 | +14.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 10 | vsBYU | L 94-99 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 14 | vs LOU | L 71-82 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 17 | @KSU | L 74-90 | -3.5 | L −19.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 21 | vsASU | W 73-68 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
−9.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
+2.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
−10.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+3.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
−9.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+7.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
−7.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−10.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+3.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+21.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+17.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−3.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−6.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−19.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+13.5
16
@KU
KUL 62-80
−10.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 73-92
−17.5
24
vsTCU
TCUL 90-97
−11.5
28
@CIN
CINL 57-67
−6.5
31
@WVU
WVUW 63-53
+12.5
4
vsCOLO
COLOW 86-67
+11.5
7
@ISU
ISUL 69-72
+11.5
10
vsBYU
BYUL 94-99
−1.5
14
vsLOU
LOUL 71-82
−3.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 74-90
−19.5
21
vsASU
ASUW 73-68
−3.5
covered 10didn’t cover 16avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
+22.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
−9.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
+25.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+0.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
+17.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+23.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
+39.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−9.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+15.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+8.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+8.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−22.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−25.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−10.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+7.5
16
@KU
KUL 62-80
−14.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 73-92
+10.5
24
vsTCU
TCUL 90-97
+39.5
28
@CIN
CINL 57-67
−21.5
31
@WVU
WVUW 63-53
−23.5
4
vsCOLO
COLOW 86-67
−2.5
7
@ISU
ISUL 69-72
−10.5
10
vsBYU
BYUL 94-99
+34.5
14
vsLOU
LOUL 71-82
−9.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 74-90
+4.5
21
vsASU
ASUW 73-68
−16.5
over 14under 12avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arizona
25-2 overall · 12-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Houston73–66
- Wvs BYU75–68
- Lvs Texas Tech75–78
- L@ Kansas78–82
- Wvs Oklahoma St84–47
3 days since their last game.
Baylor
13-13 overall · 4-10 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Arizona St73–68
- L@ Kansas St74–90
- Lvs Louisville71–82
- Lvs BYU94–99
- L@ Iowa State69–72
3 days since their last game.