CU Events Center · at Colorado · Conference game
Closing line
COLO -3.5✓ COLO covered by 4.5
COLO -3.5✓ COLO covered by 4.5Closing total158.5Under by 10.5
 ASU | This season | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| 12-11 | Record | 13-10 |
| 14-9 | ATS | 10-13 |
| 13-10 | O/U | 11-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ASU 80–82 COLO · ✓ COLO (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU | 32 | 38 | 70 |
| COLO | 39 | 39 | 78 |
1st half: ASU 32, COLO 39 (COLO by 7). The model had COLO by 1.3 and a total of 75.9 (actual 71).
Team stats
| ASU | COLO | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-57 40% | Field goals | 31-61 51% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 6-22 27% |
| 16-18 89% | Free throws | 10-14 71% |
| 26 8 off | Rebounds | 40 13 off |
| 13 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| ASU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Odum G | 38 | 23 | 0 | 5 | 7-13 | 4-8 |
| Massamba Diop C | 35 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 7-12 | 0-0 |
| Andrija Grbovic F | 21 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Allen Mukeba F | 19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Ford G | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Johnson G | 28 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-3 |
| Noah Meeusen G | 26 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Santiago Trouet F | 20 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Adante' Holiman, Quentin McCoy, Trevor Best, Vijay Wallace, Kash Polk, Marcus Adams Jr., Dame Salane, Jovan Icitovic
| COLO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Johnson G | 37 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 6-12 | 1-7 |
| Barrington Hargress G | 36 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 10-15 | 1-4 |
| Josiah Sanders G | 23 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jalin Holland G | 21 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-1 |
| Bangot Dak F | 18 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Rancik F | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 6-12 | 3-5 |
| Ian Inman G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Elijah Malone C | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Alon Michaeli F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Tacko Ifaola C | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Felix Kossaras, Nick Randall, Jon Mani, Andrew Crawford, Leonardo Van Elswyk
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCOLO -3.5
ModelCOLO -2.5
Model edgeASU +1.0
L COLO covered
Total
Market158.5
Model162.3
Model edgeOver 3.8
L Under
Projected score
ASU 79.9 · COLO 82.4
ASU 70 · COLO 78
Win probability
COLO 58%
1st half
Spread
COLO -1.3
COLO -7.0
Total
75.9
71 points
Projected score
ASU 37.3 · COLO 38.6
ASU 32 · COLO 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCOLO -3.5
no move
CloseCOLO -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open159.5
▼ 1
Close158.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
ASU +150 · COLO -180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened COLO -3.5 · unchangedmodel COLO -2.5
model COLO -2.5
Opened 159.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 1 downmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| COLO | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
ASU 5–4 COLOASU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · ASU 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | COLO 95 @ ASU 89 | ASU -1.5 | COLO W |
| Jan 28, 2024-25 | ASU 70 @ COLO 68 | COLO -2.5 | ASU W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | COLO 61 @ ASU 81 | ASU -5.5 | ASU W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | ASU 70 @ COLO 82 | COLO -15.5 | ASU W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | COLO 73 @ ASU 76 | ASU +2.5 | ASU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arizona St
23 games played
Straight up
12-11
52% wins
Against the spread
14-9
61% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-10
57% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs SUU | W 81-64 | -17.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 9 | vs UTU | W 81-66 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs GONZ | L 65-77 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 17 | vs GAST | W 75-62 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | @ HAW | W 83-76 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEX | W 87-86 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | vs WSU | W 100-94 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 26 | vs USC | L 75-88 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs OU | W 86-70 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 9 | vs NAU | W 73-48 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs SCU | W 82-79 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCLA | L 77-90 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 21 | vs ORST | L 75-78 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | vsCOLO | L 89-95 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 7 | @ BYU | L 76-104 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | vs KSU | W 87-84 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | @ ARIZ | L 82-89 | +21.5 | W +14.5 | 167.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 18 | @ HOU | L 73-103 | +18.5 | L −11.5 | 142.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 21 | vs WVU | L 63-75 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 24 | vs CIN | W 82-68 | +3.5 | W +17.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 27 | @ UCF | L 76-79 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 31 | vsARIZ | L 74-87 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 4 | @ UTAH | W 71-63 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−0.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
+2.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
+1.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−5.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+8.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+7.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+1.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
−8.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
+21.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
+8.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+4.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
−3.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
−15.5
3
vsCOLO
COLOL 89-95
−7.5
7
@BYU
BYUL 76-104
−10.5
10
vsKSU
KSUW 87-84
+1.5
14
@ARIZ
ARIZL 82-89
+14.5
18
@HOU
HOUL 73-103
−11.5
21
vsWVU
WVUL 63-75
−13.5
24
vsCIN
CINW 82-68
+17.5
27
@UCF
UCFL 76-79
+3.5
31
vsARIZ
ARIZL 74-87
+1.5
4
@UTAH
UTAHW 71-63
+9.5
covered 14didn’t cover 9avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−6.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
−5.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
−16.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−8.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+15.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+19.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+36.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
+1.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
−1.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
−33.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+6.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
+24.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
+5.5
3
vsCOLO
COLOL 89-95
+27.5
7
@BYU
BYUL 76-104
+11.5
10
vsKSU
KSUW 87-84
+1.5
14
@ARIZ
ARIZL 82-89
+3.5
18
@HOU
HOUL 73-103
+33.5
21
vsWVU
WVUL 63-75
−7.5
24
vsCIN
CINW 82-68
+3.5
27
@UCF
UCFL 76-79
−6.5
31
vsARIZ
ARIZL 74-87
−2.5
4
@UTAH
UTAHW 71-63
−27.5
over 13under 10avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado
23 games played
Straight up
13-10
57% wins
Against the spread
10-13
43% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg +6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MTST | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 8 | vs EWU | W 102-97 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 14 | vs PROV | W 97-88 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 17 | vs ALST | W 94-66 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UCD | W 95-79 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 27 | vs SF | W 79-69 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs WASH | W 81-68 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 1 | vs CBU | W 78-70 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ CSU | L 86-91 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTSA | W 88-64 | -22.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | vs PRST | W 84-73 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs STAN | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 28 | vs UNCO | L 81-86 | -15.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 3 | @ASU | W 95-89 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 7 | vsUTAH | W 85-73 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | vs TTU | L 71-73 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 14 | @CIN | L 68-77 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | @WVU | L 61-72 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 20 | vs KU | L 69-75 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | vsUCF | L 86-95 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 29 | @ ISU | L 67-97 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 1 | vs TCU | W 87-61 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 4 | @ BAY | L 67-86 | +7.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
−5.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
−11.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+7.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+5.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+1.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
+11.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
+15.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−5.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
−3.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
+1.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
−5.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−11.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
−20.5
3
@ASU
ASUW 95-89
+7.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-73
+2.5
10
vsTTU
TTUL 71-73
+3.5
14
@CIN
CINL 68-77
−0.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 61-72
−4.5
20
vsKU
KUL 69-75
−1.5
24
vsUCF
UCFL 86-95
−12.5
29
@ISU
ISUL 67-97
−12.5
1
vsTCU
TCUW 87-61
+27.5
4
@BAY
BAYL 67-86
−11.5
covered 10didn’t cover 13avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
+13.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
+46.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+21.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+3.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+21.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
−2.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
−2.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−2.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
+27.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
−2.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
+6.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−9.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
+8.5
3
@ASU
ASUW 95-89
+27.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-73
−4.5
10
vsTTU
TTUL 71-73
−17.5
14
@CIN
CINL 68-77
−0.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 61-72
−8.5
20
vsKU
KUL 69-75
−11.5
24
vsUCF
UCFL 86-95
+21.5
29
@ISU
ISUL 67-97
+11.5
1
vsTCU
TCUW 87-61
−5.5
4
@BAY
BAYL 67-86
−2.5
over 11under 12avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arizona St
12-11 overall · 3-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Utah71–63
- Lvs Arizona74–87
- L@ UCF76–79
- Wvs Cincinnati82–68
- Lvs West Virginia63–75
3 days since their last game.
Colorado
13-10 overall · 3-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Baylor67–86
- Wvs TCU87–61
- L@ Iowa State67–97
- Lvs UCF86–95
- Lvs Kansas69–75
3 days since their last game.