CU Events Center · at Colorado · Conference game
Closing line
COLO -3.5✓ UCF covered by 12.5
COLO -3.5✓ UCF covered by 12.5Closing total159.5Over by 21.5
 UCF | This season | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| 14-4 | Record | 12-7 |
| 9-9 | ATS | 9-10 |
| 6-12 | O/U | 9-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCF 82–82 COLO · ✗ COLO (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | 49 | 46 | 95 |
| COLO | 47 | 39 | 86 |
1st half: UCF 49, COLO 47 (UCF by 2). The model had a pick’em and a total of 76.5 (actual 96).
Team stats
| UCF | COLO | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-54 61% | Field goals | 29-56 52% |
| 15-24 63% | 3-pointers | 11-20 55% |
| 14-21 67% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 32 7 off | Rebounds | 23 4 off |
| 18 | Assists | 17 |
| 4 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| UCF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themus Fulks G | 32 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| Jordan Burks F | 32 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Jamichael Stillwell F | 30 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Riley Kugel G | 24 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 7-12 | 6-8 |
| John Bol C | 20 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devan Cambridge F | 25 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Carmelo Pacheco G | 21 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Chris Johnson G | 16 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
Did not play: Elijah Hulsewe, George Beale Jr., Poohpha Warakulnukroh, Jeremy Foumena, Kris Parker, Zachary Johnson, Tanner Jones
| COLO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Johnson G | 39 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 7-13 | 3-7 |
| Barrington Hargress G | 33 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 6-8 | 3-3 |
| Sebastian Rancik F | 30 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 7-12 | 3-6 |
| Bangot Dak F | 28 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Malone C | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalin Holland G | 26 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Alon Michaeli F | 21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Felix Kossaras G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Josiah Sanders G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ian Inman G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Andrew Crawford, Nick Randall, Jon Mani, Tacko Ifaola, Leonardo Van Elswyk
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCOLO -3.5
ModelCOLO -0.2
Model edgeUCF +3.3
W UCF covered
Total
Market159.5
Model163.3
Model edgeOver 3.8
W Over
Projected score
UCF 81.6 · COLO 81.8
UCF 95 · COLO 86
Win probability
COLO 51%
1st half
Spread
PK
UCF -2.0
Total
76.5
96 points
Projected score
UCF 38.2 · COLO 38.2
UCF 49 · COLO 47
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCOLO -1.5
2 → COLO
CloseCOLO -3.5
2 pts toward COLO
Total
Open158.5
▲ 1
Close159.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UCF +150 · COLO -180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened COLO -1.5 · closed COLO -3.5 · moved 2 toward COLOmodel COLO -0
model COLO -0
Opened 158.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 1 upmodel 163.5
model 163.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
| COLO | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UCF 1–1 COLOSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · UCF 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | UCF 63 @ COLO 76 | COLO -1.5 | COLO W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | COLO 74 @ UCF 75 | UCF -6.5 | COLO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UCF
18 games played
Straight up
14-4
78% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-12
33% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HOF | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 8 | vs VAN | L 93-105 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 11 | vs FAMU | W 97-60 | -23.5 | W +13.5 | 169.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 14 | @ TA&M | W 86-74 | +10.5 | W +22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 17 | vs OAK | W 87-83 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs PITT | W 77-67 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs QUIN | W 102-91 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 29 | vs VMI | W 82-57 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 7 | vs TOW | W 86-61 | -9.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 17 | vs MER | W 81-63 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | vs FGCU | W 102-80 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 23 | vs FAU | W 85-80 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs KU | W 81-75 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | @ OKST | L 76-87 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 175.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 11 | vs CIN | W 73-72 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | @ KSU | W 82-73 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 170.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs ARIZ | L 77-84 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 20 | @ ISU | L 57-87 | +14.5 | L −15.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
−4.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
−1.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
+13.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
+22.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
−9.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
+11.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
−2.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−0.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
+15.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
+1.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+4.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
−3.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
+10.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−9.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 73-72
−1.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 82-73
+11.5
17
vsARIZ
ARIZL 77-84
+2.5
20
@ISU
ISUL 57-87
−15.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
+19.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
+31.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
−12.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
−12.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
+6.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
−5.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
+30.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−20.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
−1.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
−16.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+20.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
+2.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
−1.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−12.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 73-72
−5.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 82-73
−15.5
17
vsARIZ
ARIZL 77-84
−4.5
20
@ISU
ISUL 57-87
−12.5
over 6under 12avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado
19 games played
Straight up
12-7
63% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-10
47% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MTST | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 8 | vs EWU | W 102-97 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 14 | vs PROV | W 97-88 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 17 | vs ALST | W 94-66 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UCD | W 95-79 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 27 | vs SF | W 79-69 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs WASH | W 81-68 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 1 | vs CBU | W 78-70 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ CSU | L 86-91 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTSA | W 88-64 | -22.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | vs PRST | W 84-73 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs STAN | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 28 | vs UNCO | L 81-86 | -15.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 3 | @ ASU | W 95-89 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 7 | vs UTAH | W 85-73 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | vs TTU | L 71-73 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 14 | @CIN | L 68-77 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | @ WVU | L 61-72 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 20 | vsKU | L 69-75 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
−5.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
−11.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+7.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+5.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+1.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
+11.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
+15.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−5.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
−3.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
+1.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
−5.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−11.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
−20.5
3
@ASU
ASUW 95-89
+7.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-73
+2.5
10
vsTTU
TTUL 71-73
+3.5
14
@CIN
CINL 68-77
−0.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 61-72
−4.5
20
vsKU
KUL 69-75
−1.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
+13.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
+46.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+21.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+3.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+21.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
−2.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
−2.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−2.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
+27.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
−2.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
+6.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−9.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
+8.5
3
@ASU
ASUW 95-89
+27.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-73
−4.5
10
vsTTU
TTUL 71-73
−17.5
14
@CIN
CINL 68-77
−0.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 61-72
−8.5
20
vsKU
KUL 69-75
−11.5
over 9under 10avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UCF
14-4 overall · 3-3 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Iowa State57–87
- Lvs Arizona77–84
- W@ Kansas St82–73
- Wvs Cincinnati73–72
- L@ Oklahoma St76–87
4 days since their last game.
Colorado
12-7 overall · 2-4 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Kansas69–75
- L@ West Virginia61–72
- L@ Cincinnati68–77
- Lvs Texas Tech71–73
- Wvs Utah85–73
4 days since their last game.