The Barn by Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Minnesota · at Minnesota · Conference game
Closing line
MINN -4.5✓ NU covered by 3.5
Closing total133.5Under by 0.5
| This season | MINN | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-17 | Record | 14-16 |
| 14-16 | ATS | 13-17 |
| 14-16 | O/U | 11-19 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NU 67–69 MINN · ✓ MINN (56%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NU | 29 | 37 | 66 |
| MINN | 39 | 28 | 67 |
1st half: NU 29, MINN 39 (MINN by 10). The model had MINN by 0.9 and a total of 63.5 (actual 68).
Team stats
| NU | MINN | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-53 43% | Field goals | 24-44 55% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 6-17 35% |
| 12-14 86% | Free throws | 13-16 81% |
| 28 13 off | Rebounds | 26 7 off |
| 18 | Assists | 16 |
| 3 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| NU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli F | 39 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 9-18 | 1-5 |
| Jake West G | 32 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 5-9 | 4-7 |
| Tre Singleton F | 27 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Angelo Ciaravino G | 23 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Jayden Reid G | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Clayton G | 30 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Justin Mullins G | 17 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Kropp F | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Phoenix Gill, Max Green, Arrinten Page, Cade Bennerman, K.J. Windham, Blake Smith, Gus Hurlburt
| MINN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Grove F | 40 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Cade Tyson G | 40 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-3 |
| Langston Reynolds G | 39 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 9-13 | 0-1 |
| Isaac Asuma G | 37 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Bobby Durkin F | 36 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 4-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kai Shinholster G | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: RJ Spencer, BJ Omot, Maximus Gizzi, Max Lorenson, Chansey Willis Jr., Nehemiah Turner, Jaylen Crocker-Johnson, Robert Vaihola, Chance Stephens
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMINN -3.5
1 → MINN
CloseMINN -4.5
1 pt toward MINN
Total
Open133.5
no move
Close133.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
NU +170 · MINN -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MINN -3.5 · closed MINN -4.5 · moved 1 toward MINNmodel MINN -1.5
model MINN -1.5
Opened 133.5 · unchangedmodel 135.5
model 135.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MINN -4.5 | MINN -1.7 | NU +2.8 | W NU covered |
| Total | 133.5 | 135.6 | Over 2.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | NU 66.9 · MINN 68.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MINN -0.9 | MINN -10.0 |
| 1H total | 63.5 | 68 |
| 1H projected score | NU 31.3 · MINN 32.2 | NU 29 · MINN 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | |
| 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
NU 5–3 MINNNU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · NU 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | MINN 84 @ NU 78 | NU -4.5 | MINN W |
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | NU 72 vs MINN 64 | MINN +3.5 | NU W |
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | NU 75 @ MINN 63 | MINN -1.5 | NU W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | MINN 66 @ NU 90 | NU -4.5 | NU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | NU 66 @ MINN 75 | MINN +1.5 | MINN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northwestern
30 games played
Straight up
13-17
43% wins
Against the spread
14-16
47% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-16
47% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 70-47 | -26.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 76-52 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 110-63 | -23.5 | W +23.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | @ | W 81-79 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 79-77 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 27 | vs | L 81-86 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 73-85 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 82-86 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 93-53 | -30.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs | W 86-70 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs | L 58-61 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 30 | vs | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 78-84 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 8 | @ | L 66-76 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 11 | @ | L 75-77 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 14 | vs | L 68-79 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 58-77 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | @ | W 74-68 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 64-71 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | vs | W 94-73 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 62-76 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | @ | L 44-84 | +16.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 8 | @ | L 70-76 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 11 | vs | L 75-87 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 49-68 | +13.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 18 | vs | W 78-74 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 24 | @ | W 72-68 | +9.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 63-62 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 4 | vs | L 66-70 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MERC
W 70-47
−3.5
7
vs
BU
W 76-52
+6.5
10
vs
CLE
W 110-63
+23.5
14
@
DEP
W 81-79
−3.5
21
vs
UVA
L 78-83
−0.5
23
vs
SC
W 79-77
−2.5
27
vs
OKST
L 81-86
−7.5
3
@
WIS
L 73-85
−1.5
6
vs
OSU
L 82-86
−2.5
13
vs
JKST
W 93-53
+9.5
16
vs
VAL
W 86-70
+1.5
20
vs
BTLR
L 58-61
+0.5
30
vs
HOW
W 80-60
+0.5
3
vs
MINN
L 78-84
−10.5
8
@
MSU
L 66-76
+3.5
11
@
RUTG
L 75-77
−6.5
14
vs
ILL
L 68-79
−1.5
17
vs
NEB
L 58-77
−14.5
21
@
USC
W 74-68
+12.5
24
@
UCLA
L 64-71
+0.5
29
vs
PSU
W 94-73
+13.5
31
vs
WASH
L 62-76
−15.5
4
@
ILL
L 44-84
−23.5
8
@
IOWA
L 70-76
+4.5
11
vs
MICH
L 75-87
+3.5
14
@
NEB
L 49-68
−5.5
18
vs
MD
W 78-74
−3.5
24
@
IU
W 72-68
+13.5
28
vs
ORE
W 63-62
−2.5
4
vs
PUR
L 66-70
+8.5
covered 14didn’t cover 16avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
MERC
W 70-47
−23.5
7
vs
BU
W 76-52
−8.5
10
vs
CLE
W 110-63
+21.5
14
@
DEP
W 81-79
+14.5
21
vs
UVA
L 78-83
+11.5
23
vs
SC
W 79-77
+9.5
27
vs
OKST
L 81-86
+7.5
3
@
WIS
L 73-85
+2.5
6
vs
OSU
L 82-86
+12.5
13
vs
JKST
W 93-53
−0.5
16
vs
VAL
W 86-70
+10.5
20
vs
BTLR
L 58-61
−35.5
30
vs
HOW
W 80-60
−8.5
3
vs
MINN
L 78-84
+23.5
8
@
MSU
L 66-76
−1.5
11
@
RUTG
L 75-77
+7.5
14
vs
ILL
L 68-79
−4.5
17
vs
NEB
L 58-77
−14.5
21
@
USC
W 74-68
−7.5
24
@
UCLA
L 64-71
−8.5
29
vs
PSU
W 94-73
+18.5
31
vs
WASH
L 62-76
−8.5
4
@
ILL
L 44-84
−21.5
8
@
IOWA
L 70-76
+6.5
11
vs
MICH
L 75-87
+8.5
14
@
NEB
L 49-68
−29.5
18
vs
MD
W 78-74
+9.5
24
@
IU
W 72-68
−5.5
28
vs
ORE
W 63-62
−16.5
4
vs
PUR
L 66-70
−9.5
over 14under 16avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Minnesota
30 games played
Straight up
14-16
47% wins
Against the spread
13-17
43% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-19
37% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 87-60 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 95-50 | -31.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 60-83 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 72-65 | -25.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 66-54 | -27.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 22 | vs | L 65-77 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 75-86 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 73-64 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 57-85 | +19.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 14 | vs | W 89-53 | -21.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 78-50 | -13.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 60-43 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 103 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 84-78 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs | W 70-67 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 9 | vs | L 69-70 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 13 | vs | L 75-78 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 67-77 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 20 | @ | L 74-82 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 57-76 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 28 | @ | L 63-67 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 1 | @ | L 75-77 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 4 | vs | W 76-73 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 8 | vs | L 62-67 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 57-69 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 17 | @ | W 61-44 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 136.5 | U 105 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 80-61 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 24 | @ | L 67-77 | +22.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 4 | @ | L 47-77 | +7.5 | L −22.5 | 138.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
GWEB
W 87-60
−1.5
8
vs
ALCN
W 95-50
+13.5
12
@
MIZ
L 60-83
−15.5
15
vs
GB
W 72-65
−18.5
18
vs
CHST
W 66-54
−15.5
22
vs
SF
L 65-77
−13.5
27
vs
STAN
L 68-72
−1.5
28
vs
SCU
L 75-86
−5.5
3
vs
IU
W 73-64
+16.5
10
@
PUR
L 57-85
−8.5
14
vs
TXSO
W 89-53
+14.5
21
vs
CAM
W 78-50
+14.5
29
vs
FDU
W 60-43
−8.5
3
@
NU
W 84-78
+10.5
6
vs
IOWA
W 70-67
+7.5
9
vs
USC
L 69-70
−4.5
13
vs
WIS
L 75-78
−1.5
17
@
ILL
L 67-77
+5.5
20
@
OSU
L 74-82
−0.5
24
vs
NEB
L 57-76
−14.5
28
@
WIS
L 63-67
+5.5
1
@
PSU
L 75-77
−4.5
4
vs
MSU
W 76-73
+11.5
8
vs
MD
L 62-67
−15.5
14
@
WASH
L 57-69
−5.5
17
@
ORE
W 61-44
+20.5
21
vs
RUTG
W 80-61
+10.5
24
@
MICH
L 67-77
+12.5
28
vs
UCLA
W 78-73
+6.5
4
@
IU
L 47-77
−22.5
covered 13didn’t cover 17avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
GWEB
W 87-60
−1.5
8
vs
ALCN
W 95-50
−7.5
12
@
MIZ
L 60-83
−15.5
15
vs
GB
W 72-65
−9.5
18
vs
CHST
W 66-54
−24.5
22
vs
SF
L 65-77
+1.5
27
vs
STAN
L 68-72
−2.5
28
vs
SCU
L 75-86
+22.5
3
vs
IU
W 73-64
−7.5
10
@
PUR
L 57-85
−1.5
14
vs
TXSO
W 89-53
−2.5
21
vs
CAM
W 78-50
−17.5
29
vs
FDU
W 60-43
−36.5
3
@
NU
W 84-78
+23.5
6
vs
IOWA
W 70-67
+6.5
9
vs
USC
L 69-70
−8.5
13
vs
WIS
L 75-78
+6.5
17
@
ILL
L 67-77
+1.5
20
@
OSU
L 74-82
+12.5
24
vs
NEB
L 57-76
−7.5
28
@
WIS
L 63-67
−16.5
1
@
PSU
L 75-77
+9.5
4
vs
MSU
W 76-73
+12.5
8
vs
MD
L 62-67
−9.5
14
@
WASH
L 57-69
−12.5
17
@
ORE
W 61-44
−31.5
21
vs
RUTG
W 80-61
+4.5
24
@
MICH
L 67-77
−1.5
28
vs
UCLA
W 78-73
+14.5
4
@
IU
L 47-77
−14.5
over 11under 19avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northwestern
13-17 overall · 5-14 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Purdue66–70
- Wvs Oregon63–62
- W@ Indiana72–68
- Wvs Maryland78–74
- L@ Nebraska49–68
3 days since their last game.
Minnesota
14-16 overall · 7-12 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Indiana47–77
- Wvs UCLA78–73
- L@ Michigan67–77
- Wvs Rutgers80–61
- W@ Oregon61–44
3 days since their last game.