Alaska Airlines Arena · at Washington · Conference game
Closing line
WIS -1.5✓ WIS covered by 15.5
WIS -1.5✓ WIS covered by 15.5Closing total153.5Over by 9.5
| WIS | This season | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| 19-9 | Record | 14-14 |
| 16-12 | ATS | 17-11 |
| 17-11 | O/U | 10-18 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIS 79–78 WASH · ✓ WIS (51%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 36 | 54 | 90 |
| WASH | 21 | 52 | 73 |
1st half: WIS 36, WASH 21 (WIS by 15). The model had WIS by 0.3 and a total of 73.4 (actual 57).
Team stats
| WIS | WASH | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-74 46% | Field goals | 29-63 46% |
| 17-38 45% | 3-pointers | 4-18 22% |
| 5-5 100% | Free throws | 11-16 69% |
| 39 12 off | Rebounds | 35 9 off |
| 16 | Assists | 11 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 8 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell G | 34 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Nick Boyd G | 32 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 11-20 | 0-3 |
| Nolan Winter F | 32 | 13 | 9 | 0 | 5-10 | 3-5 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 25 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braeden Carrington G | 27 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 9-17 | 9-15 |
| Austin Rapp F | 21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Will Garlock F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Zach Kinziger G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Hayden Jones G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Robison G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Gard G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Riccardo Greppi F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jack Janicki, Elijah Gray
| WASH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoom Diallo G | 35 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 9-15 | 0-1 |
| Hannes Steinbach F | 33 | 22 | 11 | 1 | 8-11 | 0-1 |
| Wesley Yates III G | 30 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-17 | 1-8 |
| Courtland Muldrew G | 23 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Lathan Sommerville C | 22 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Quimari Peterson G | 29 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Nikola Dzepina F | 25 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| BJ Roy G | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: JJ Mandaquit, Jacob Ognacevic, Franck Kepnang, Bryson Tucker, Christian Nitu, Jasir Rencher, Mady Traore, Desmond Claude
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWIS -1.5
ModelWIS -0.3
Model edgeWASH +1.2
L WIS covered
Total
Market153.5
Model157.0
Model edgeOver 3.5
W Over
Projected score
WIS 78.7 · WASH 78.4
WIS 90 · WASH 73
Win probability
WIS 51%
1st half
Spread
WIS -0.3
WIS -15.0
Total
73.4
57 points
Projected score
WIS 36.9 · WASH 36.6
WIS 36 · WASH 21
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWIS -1.5
no move
CloseWIS -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open153.5
no move
Close153.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
WIS -135 · WASH +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WIS -1.5 · unchangedmodel WIS -0.5
model WIS -0.5
Opened 153.5 · unchangedmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| WASH | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
WIS 1–0 WASHWIS leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · WIS 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | WASH 62 @ WIS 88 | WIS -13.5 | WIS W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wisconsin
28 games played
Straight up
19-9
68% wins
Against the spread
16-12
57% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-11
61% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAM | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs NIU | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs BALL | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIUE | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ BYU | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs PROV | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs TCU | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs NU | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MARQ | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ NEB | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs VILL | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs CMU | W 88-61 | -26.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs MILW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs PUR | L 73-89 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs UCLA | W 80-72 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @ MICH | W 91-88 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 13 | @ MINN | W 78-75 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs RUTG | W 96-87 | -15.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 22 | @ PSU | W 98-71 | -5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 25 | vs USC | L 71-73 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | vsMINN | W 67-63 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vs OSU | W 92-82 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 7 | @ IU | L 77-78 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 10 | @ ILL | W 92-90 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 13 | vs MSU | W 92-71 | +1.5 | W +22.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 17 | @OSU | L 69-86 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 22 | vs IOWA | W 84-71 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 25 | @ ORE | L 71-85 | -5.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+11.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
−3.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
+4.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
−0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
−23.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−16.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+1.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+8.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−28.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−13.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
+0.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
−10.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+4.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+22.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+1.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
−6.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+21.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−9.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 67-63
−5.5
31
vsOSU
OSUW 92-82
+5.5
7
@IU
IUL 77-78
+2.5
10
@ILL
ILLW 92-90
+11.5
13
vsMSU
MSUW 92-71
+22.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 69-86
−15.5
22
vsIOWA
IOWAW 84-71
+10.5
25
@ORE
OREL 71-85
−19.5
covered 16didn’t cover 12avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+8.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
+11.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
−15.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
+16.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
+2.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+20.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−20.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+2.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+11.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−8.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−10.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
−3.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
−17.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
+8.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
−0.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+9.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+6.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
+33.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+11.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−14.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 67-63
−16.5
31
vsOSU
OSUW 92-82
+18.5
7
@IU
IUL 77-78
−2.5
10
@ILL
ILLW 92-90
+28.5
13
vsMSU
MSUW 92-71
+13.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 69-86
−2.5
22
vsIOWA
IOWAW 84-71
+7.5
25
@ORE
OREL 71-85
+3.5
over 17under 11avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Washington
28 games played
Straight up
14-14
50% wins
Against the spread
17-11
61% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-18
36% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UAPB | W 94-50 | -34.5 | W +9.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 6 | vs DEN | W 84-70 | -27.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @ BAY | L 69-78 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | @ WSU | W 81-69 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | vs SOU | W 99-93 | -23.5 | L −17.5 | 157.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 27 | vs NEV | W 83-66 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs COLO | L 68-81 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 3 | vsUCLA | L 80-82 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @USC | W 84-76 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 13 | vs SUU | W 105-69 | -25.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 19 | @ SEA | L 66-70 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs USD | W 86-56 | -18.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | vs UTAH | W 74-65 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 4 | @IU | L 80-90 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @PUR | L 73-81 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 11 | vsOSU | W 81-74 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 14 | vsMICH | L 72-82 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | vsMSU | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 21 | @NEB | L 66-76 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 25 | vsORE | W 72-57 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 29 | @ILL | L 66-75 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | @NU | W 76-62 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | vsIOWA | L 74-84 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 7 | @UCLA | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 11 | vsPSU | L 60-63 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 14 | vsMINN | W 69-57 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 21 | @ MD | L 60-64 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 24 | @RUTG | W 79-72 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
+9.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
−13.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−2.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
+3.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
−17.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+13.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−15.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+0.5
6
@USC
USCW 84-76
+12.5
13
vsSUU
SUUW 105-69
+10.5
19
@SEA
SEAL 66-70
−11.5
22
vsUSD
USDW 86-56
+11.5
29
vsUTAH
UTAHW 74-65
−3.5
4
@IU
IUL 80-90
−0.5
7
@PUR
PURL 73-81
+8.5
11
vsOSU
OSUW 81-74
+5.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 72-82
+2.5
17
vsMSU
MSUL 63-80
−13.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 66-76
+0.5
25
vsORE
OREW 72-57
+7.5
29
@ILL
ILLL 66-75
+3.5
31
@NU
NUW 76-62
+15.5
4
vsIOWA
IOWAL 74-84
−7.5
7
@UCLA
UCLAL 73-77
+0.5
11
vsPSU
PSUL 60-63
−15.5
14
vsMINN
MINNW 69-57
+5.5
21
@MD
MDL 60-64
−8.5
24
@RUTG
RUTGW 79-72
+2.5
covered 17didn’t cover 11avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
−16.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
+0.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−9.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
−8.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
+34.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+3.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−2.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+20.5
6
@USC
USCW 84-76
+5.5
13
vsSUU
SUUW 105-69
+20.5
19
@SEA
SEAL 66-70
−15.5
22
vsUSD
USDW 86-56
−17.5
29
vsUTAH
UTAHW 74-65
−18.5
4
@IU
IUL 80-90
+17.5
7
@PUR
PURL 73-81
−0.5
11
vsOSU
OSUW 81-74
−0.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 72-82
−11.5
17
vsMSU
MSUL 63-80
−2.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 66-76
−10.5
25
vsORE
OREW 72-57
−14.5
29
@ILL
ILLL 66-75
−12.5
31
@NU
NUW 76-62
−8.5
4
vsIOWA
IOWAL 74-84
+16.5
7
@UCLA
UCLAL 73-77
+5.5
11
vsPSU
PSUL 60-63
−30.5
14
vsMINN
MINNW 69-57
−12.5
21
@MD
MDL 60-64
−19.5
24
@RUTG
RUTGW 79-72
+11.5
over 10under 18avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wisconsin
19-9 overall · 11-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oregon71–85
- Wvs Iowa84–71
- L@ Ohio State69–86
- Wvs Michigan St92–71
- W@ Illinois92–90
3 days since their last game.
Washington
14-14 overall · 6-11 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Rutgers79–72
- L@ Maryland60–64
- Wvs Minnesota69–57
- Lvs Penn State60–63
- L@ UCLA73–77
4 days since their last game.