The Barn by Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Minnesota · at Minnesota · Conference game
Closing line
MINN -10.5✓ MD covered by 15.5
Closing total138.5Under by 9.5
| This season | MINN | |
|---|---|---|
| 8-14 | Record | 11-12 |
| 8-14 | ATS | 9-14 |
| 14-8 | O/U | 9-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MD 67–74 MINN · ✗ MINN (74%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MD | 32 | 35 | 67 |
| MINN | 33 | 29 | 62 |
1st half: MD 32, MINN 33 (MINN by 1). The model had MINN by 4.3 and a total of 65.8 (actual 65).
Team stats
| MD | MINN | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-48 50% | Field goals | 20-47 43% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 14-33 42% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 8-14 57% |
| 31 10 off | Rebounds | 28 9 off |
| 9 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 10 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Washington F | 37 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Darius Adams G | 34 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4-11 | 1-4 |
| Elijah Saunders F | 26 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-5 |
| Andre Mills G | 22 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Collin Metcalf C | 19 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Coit G | 29 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 9-13 | 4-7 |
| George Turkson Jr. G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Watts G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Aleks Alston F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Guillermo Del Pino G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nick Blake, Jaziah Harper, Lukas Sotell, Myles Rice, Rakease Passmore, Pharrel Payne
| MINN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Asuma G | 39 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 6-12 | 6-9 |
| Bobby Durkin F | 37 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Cade Tyson G | 37 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson F | 33 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Langston Reynolds G | 32 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Grayson Grove F | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Kai Shinholster G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Nehemiah Turner, RJ Spencer, Maximus Gizzi, Max Lorenson, Robert Vaihola, Chansey Willis Jr., Chance Stephens, BJ Omot
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMINN -10.5
ModelMINN -7.3
Model edgeMD +3.2
W MD covered
Total
Market138.5
Model140.4
Model edgeOver 1.9
L Under
Projected score
MD 66.5 · MINN 73.9
MD 67 · MINN 62
Win probability
MINN 74%
1st half
Spread
MINN -4.3
MINN -1.0
Total
65.8
65 points
Projected score
MD 30.8 · MINN 35
MD 32 · MINN 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMINN -8.5
2 → MINN
CloseMINN -10.5
2 pts toward MINN
Total
Open139.5
▼ 1
Close138.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MD +400 · MINN -535
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MINN -8.5 · closed MINN -10.5 · moved 2 toward MINNmodel MINN -7.5
model MINN -7.5
Opened 139.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 1 downmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | |
| 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
MD 5–1 MINNMD leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · MD 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024-25 | MINN 71 @ MD 77 | MD -15.5 | MINN W |
| Jan 7, 2023-24 | MD 62 @ MINN 65 | MINN -0.5 | MINN W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | MINN 54 vs MD 70 | MD -13.5 | MD W |
| Feb 22, 2022-23 | MINN 70 @ MD 88 | MD -15.5 | MD W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | MD 81 @ MINN 46 | MINN +9.5 | MD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Maryland
22 games played
Straight up
8-14
36% wins
Against the spread
8-14
36% covers · avg −5.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-8
64% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 83-61 | -28.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 7 | vs | L 60-70 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 84-64 | -29.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | @ | W 89-82 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 95-90 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 61-100 | +14.5 | L −24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 72-105 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 89-63 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 64-83 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 83-101 | +19.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 72-80 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 28 | vs | W 73-58 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 2 | vs | L 54-64 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vs | L 66-84 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 55-67 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 13 | @ | L 71-88 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 18 | vs | W 96-73 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 70-89 | +18.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 48-91 | +18.5 | L −24.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 1 | vs | L 63-93 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 5 | vs | L 62-82 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
COPP
W 83-61
−6.5
7
vs
GTWN
L 60-70
−14.5
11
vs
ALCN
W 84-64
−9.5
15
@
MARQ
W 89-82
+15.5
19
vs
MSM
W 95-90
−12.5
24
vs
UNLV
W 74-67
+4.5
25
vs
GONZ
L 61-100
−24.5
26
vs
ALA
L 72-105
−18.5
2
vs
WAG
W 89-63
+3.5
6
@
IOWA
L 64-83
−8.5
13
vs
MICH
L 83-101
+1.5
20
@
UVA
L 72-80
+8.5
28
vs
ODU
W 73-58
+0.5
2
vs
ORE
L 54-64
−8.5
7
vs
IU
L 66-84
−10.5
10
@
UCLA
L 55-67
+1.5
13
@
USC
L 71-88
−7.5
18
vs
PSU
W 96-73
+21.5
21
@
ILL
L 70-89
−0.5
24
@
MSU
L 48-91
−24.5
1
vs
PUR
L 63-93
−14.5
5
vs
OSU
L 62-82
−13.5
covered 8didn’t cover 14avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
COPP
W 83-61
+4.5
7
vs
GTWN
L 60-70
−14.5
11
vs
ALCN
W 84-64
+1.5
15
@
MARQ
W 89-82
+24.5
19
vs
MSM
W 95-90
+39.5
24
vs
UNLV
W 74-67
−23.5
25
vs
GONZ
L 61-100
+3.5
26
vs
ALA
L 72-105
+10.5
2
vs
WAG
W 89-63
+8.5
6
@
IOWA
L 64-83
+9.5
13
vs
MICH
L 83-101
+20.5
20
@
UVA
L 72-80
−1.5
28
vs
ODU
W 73-58
−23.5
2
vs
ORE
L 54-64
−28.5
7
vs
IU
L 66-84
+2.5
10
@
UCLA
L 55-67
−25.5
13
@
USC
L 71-88
+8.5
18
vs
PSU
W 96-73
+20.5
21
@
ILL
L 70-89
+6.5
24
@
MSU
L 48-91
−2.5
1
vs
PUR
L 63-93
+7.5
5
vs
OSU
L 62-82
−6.5
over 14under 8avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Minnesota
23 games played
Straight up
11-12
48% wins
Against the spread
9-14
39% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-14
39% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 87-60 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 95-50 | -31.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 60-83 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 72-65 | -25.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 66-54 | -27.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 22 | vs | L 65-77 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 75-86 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 73-64 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 57-85 | +19.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 14 | vs | W 89-53 | -21.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 78-50 | -13.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 60-43 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 103 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 84-78 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs | W 70-67 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 9 | vs | L 69-70 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 13 | vs | L 75-78 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 67-77 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 20 | @ | L 74-82 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 57-76 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 28 | @ | L 63-67 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 1 | @ | L 75-77 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 4 | vs | W 76-73 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
GWEB
W 87-60
−1.5
8
vs
ALCN
W 95-50
+13.5
12
@
MIZ
L 60-83
−15.5
15
vs
GB
W 72-65
−18.5
18
vs
CHST
W 66-54
−15.5
22
vs
SF
L 65-77
−13.5
27
vs
STAN
L 68-72
−1.5
28
vs
SCU
L 75-86
−5.5
3
vs
IU
W 73-64
+16.5
10
@
PUR
L 57-85
−8.5
14
vs
TXSO
W 89-53
+14.5
21
vs
CAM
W 78-50
+14.5
29
vs
FDU
W 60-43
−8.5
3
@
NU
W 84-78
+10.5
6
vs
IOWA
W 70-67
+7.5
9
vs
USC
L 69-70
−4.5
13
vs
WIS
L 75-78
−1.5
17
@
ILL
L 67-77
+5.5
20
@
OSU
L 74-82
−0.5
24
vs
NEB
L 57-76
−14.5
28
@
WIS
L 63-67
+5.5
1
@
PSU
L 75-77
−4.5
4
vs
MSU
W 76-73
+11.5
covered 9didn’t cover 14avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
GWEB
W 87-60
−1.5
8
vs
ALCN
W 95-50
−7.5
12
@
MIZ
L 60-83
−15.5
15
vs
GB
W 72-65
−9.5
18
vs
CHST
W 66-54
−24.5
22
vs
SF
L 65-77
+1.5
27
vs
STAN
L 68-72
−2.5
28
vs
SCU
L 75-86
+22.5
3
vs
IU
W 73-64
−7.5
10
@
PUR
L 57-85
−1.5
14
vs
TXSO
W 89-53
−2.5
21
vs
CAM
W 78-50
−17.5
29
vs
FDU
W 60-43
−36.5
3
@
NU
W 84-78
+23.5
6
vs
IOWA
W 70-67
+6.5
9
vs
USC
L 69-70
−8.5
13
vs
WIS
L 75-78
+6.5
17
@
ILL
L 67-77
+1.5
20
@
OSU
L 74-82
+12.5
24
vs
NEB
L 57-76
−7.5
28
@
WIS
L 63-67
−16.5
1
@
PSU
L 75-77
+9.5
4
vs
MSU
W 76-73
+12.5
over 9under 14avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Maryland
8-14 overall · 1-10 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Ohio State62–82
- Lvs Purdue63–93
- L@ Michigan St48–91
- L@ Illinois70–89
- Wvs Penn State96–73
3 days since their last game.
Minnesota
11-12 overall · 4-8 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Michigan St76–73
- L@ Penn State75–77
- L@ Wisconsin63–67
- Lvs Nebraska57–76
- L@ Ohio State74–82
4 days since their last game.