Alaska Airlines Arena · at Washington · Conference game
Closing line
MSU -3.5✓ MSU covered by 13.5
MSU -3.5✓ MSU covered by 13.5Closing total145.5Under by 2.5
| MSU | This season | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| 15-2 | Record | 10-7 |
| 8-9 | ATS | 10-7 |
| 5-12 | O/U | 7-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MSU 74–71 WASH · ✓ MSU (62%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | 39 | 41 | 80 |
| WASH | 31 | 32 | 63 |
1st half: MSU 39, WASH 31 (MSU by 8). The model had MSU by 2.3 and a total of 68.0 (actual 70).
Team stats
| MSU | WASH | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-65 48% | Field goals | 25-53 47% |
| 6-19 32% | 3-pointers | 3-19 16% |
| 12-18 67% | Free throws | 10-13 77% |
| 39 13 off | Rebounds | 28 3 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| MSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. G | 29 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Carson Cooper C | 28 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Jaxon Kohler F | 22 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 3-11 | 0-5 |
| Coen Carr F | 22 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Divine Ugochukwu G | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kur Teng G | 20 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 3-5 |
| Jordan Scott F | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Cam Ward F | 19 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Denham Wojcik G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Jesse McCulloch F | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Trey Fort G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Colin Walton, Brennan Walton, Nick Sanders, Kaleb Glenn
| WASH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannes Steinbach F | 38 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 6-14 | 0-2 |
| Quimari Peterson G | 34 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Zoom Diallo G | 30 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 7-11 | 1-3 |
| Bryson Tucker F | 29 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Franck Kepnang C | 24 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Wesley Yates III G | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| JJ Mandaquit G | 16 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jacob Ognacevic F | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: BJ Roy, Nikola Dzepina, Christian Nitu, Courtland Muldrew, Jasir Rencher, Mady Traore, Desmond Claude, Lathan Sommerville
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSU -3.5
no move
CloseMSU -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
▲ 6
Close145.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
MSU -175 · WASH +145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSU -3.5 · unchangedmodel MSU -3.5 matches the line
model MSU -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 139.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 6 upmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MSU -3.5 | MSU -3.6 | MSU +0.1 | W MSU covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 145.0 | Under 0.5 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | MSU 74.3 · WASH 70.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MSU -2.3 | MSU -8.0 |
| 1H total | 68.0 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | MSU 35.1 · WASH 32.8 | MSU 39 · WASH 31 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| WASH | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MSU 1–0 WASHMSU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MSU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | WASH 54 @ MSU 88 | MSU -14.5 | MSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Michigan St
17 games played
Straight up
15-2
88% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-12
29% overs · avg −4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COLG | W 80-69 | -22.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARK | W 69-66 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 13 | vs SJSU | W 79-60 | -24.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs UK | W 83-66 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs DETM | W 84-56 | -30.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 25 | vs ECU | W 89-56 | -19.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNC | W 74-58 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | vs IOWA | W 71-52 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs DUKE | L 60-66 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 13 | @ PSU | W 76-72 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | vs TOL | W 92-69 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs OAK | W 79-70 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 29 | vs COR | W 114-97 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 160.5 | O 211 |
| Jan 2 | @ NEB | L 56-58 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | vs USC | W 80-51 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 8 | vs NU | W 76-66 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 13 | vs IU | W 81-60 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
−11.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
+0.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−5.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
+20.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−2.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+13.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
+14.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
+13.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−4.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
−8.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
−0.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−10.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
−6.5
2
@NEB
NEBL 56-58
+0.5
5
vsUSC
USCW 80-51
+17.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-66
−3.5
13
vsIU
IUW 81-60
+14.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
+4.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
−20.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−4.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
−3.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−9.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+4.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
−20.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
−10.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−15.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
+2.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
+10.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−6.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
+50.5
2
@NEB
NEBL 56-58
−32.5
5
vsUSC
USCW 80-51
−20.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-66
−1.5
13
vsIU
IUW 81-60
−4.5
over 5under 12avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Washington
17 games played
Straight up
10-7
59% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-10
41% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UAPB | W 94-50 | -34.5 | W +9.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 6 | vs DEN | W 84-70 | -27.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @ BAY | L 69-78 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | @ WSU | W 81-69 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | vs SOU | W 99-93 | -23.5 | L −17.5 | 157.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 27 | vs NEV | W 83-66 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs COLO | L 68-81 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 3 | vs UCLA | L 80-82 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @USC | W 84-76 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 13 | vs SUU | W 105-69 | -25.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 19 | @ SEA | L 66-70 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs USD | W 86-56 | -18.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | vs UTAH | W 74-65 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 4 | @IU | L 80-90 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @ PUR | L 73-81 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 11 | vs OSU | W 81-74 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 14 | vs MICH | L 72-82 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
+9.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
−13.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−2.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
+3.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
−17.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+13.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−15.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+0.5
6
@USC
USCW 84-76
+12.5
13
vsSUU
SUUW 105-69
+10.5
19
@SEA
SEAL 66-70
−11.5
22
vsUSD
USDW 86-56
+11.5
29
vsUTAH
UTAHW 74-65
−3.5
4
@IU
IUL 80-90
−0.5
7
@PUR
PURL 73-81
+8.5
11
vsOSU
OSUW 81-74
+5.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 72-82
+2.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
−16.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
+0.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−9.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
−8.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
+34.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+3.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−2.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+20.5
6
@USC
USCW 84-76
+5.5
13
vsSUU
SUUW 105-69
+20.5
19
@SEA
SEAL 66-70
−15.5
22
vsUSD
USDW 86-56
−17.5
29
vsUTAH
UTAHW 74-65
−18.5
4
@IU
IUL 80-90
+17.5
7
@PUR
PURL 73-81
−0.5
11
vsOSU
OSUW 81-74
−0.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 72-82
−11.5
over 7under 10avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Michigan St
15-2 overall · 5-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Indiana81–60
- Wvs Northwestern76–66
- Wvs USC80–51
- L@ Nebraska56–58
- Wvs Cornell114–97
4 days since their last game.
Washington
10-7 overall · 2-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Michigan72–82
- Wvs Ohio State81–74
- L@ Purdue73–81
- L@ Indiana80–90
- Wvs Utah74–65
3 days since their last game.