Galen Center · at USC · Conference game
Closing line
PUR -9.5✓ USC covered by 4.5
PUR -9.5✓ USC covered by 4.5Closing total155.5Under by 22.5
| PUR | This season | USC |
|---|---|---|
| 16-1 | Record | 13-3 |
| 9-8 | ATS | 8-8 |
| 7-10 | O/U | 9-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PUR 86–75 USC · ✓ PUR (83%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PUR | 38 | 31 | 69 |
| USC | 32 | 32 | 64 |
1st half: PUR 38, USC 32 (PUR by 6). The model had PUR by 6.6 and a total of 75.3 (actual 70).
Team stats
| PUR | USC | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-55 42% | Field goals | 28-61 46% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 3-20 15% |
| 16-22 73% | Free throws | 5-14 36% |
| 32 6 off | Rebounds | 40 10 off |
| 17 | Assists | 16 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 15 | Fouls | 22 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| PUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith G | 38 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 7-14 | 4-6 |
| C.J. Cox G | 31 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-9 | 0-3 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn F | 24 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-0 |
| Oscar Cluff C | 23 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Fletcher Loyer G | 18 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Benter G | 20 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Omer Mayer G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Gicarri Harris G | 14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Daniel Jacobsen C | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jack Lusk, Aaron Fine, Jace Rayl, Antione West Jr, Sam King, Raleigh Burgess, Liam Murphy
| USC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Cofie F | 35 | 13 | 15 | 3 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Gabe Dynes C | 28 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Kam Woods G | 24 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Ezra Ausar F | 24 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Cornish G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chad Baker-Mazara G | 33 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7-17 | 1-7 |
| Jordan Marsh G | 27 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2-12 | 0-6 |
| Jaden Brownell F | 17 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Terrance Williams II F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brit Burden, Patrick O'Brien, Amarion Dickerson, Jonah Goorin, Rodney Rice, EJ Neal Jr., Alijah Arenas, Jerry Easter II
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPUR -7.5
2 → PUR
ClosePUR -9.5
2 pts toward PUR
Total
Open154.5
▲ 1
Close155.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
PUR -455 · USC +350
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PUR -7.5 · closed PUR -9.5 · moved 2 toward PURmodel PUR -11
model PUR -11
Opened 154.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 1 upmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PUR -9.5 | PUR -10.9 | PUR +1.4 | L USC covered |
| Total | 155.5 | 160.8 | Over 5.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | PUR 85.9 · USC 75 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PUR -6.6 | PUR -6.0 |
| 1H total | 75.3 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | PUR 41 · USC 34.3 | PUR 38 · USC 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PUR | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| USC | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
PUR 2–0 USCPUR leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · PUR has won the last 2 meetings · PUR 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | USC 71 vs PUR 76 | PUR -10.5 | USC W |
| Feb 7, 2024-25 | USC 72 @ PUR 90 | PUR -13.5 | PUR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Purdue
17 games played
Straight up
16-1
94% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-10
41% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EVAN | W 82-51 | -33.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs OAK | W 87-77 | -31.5 | L −21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 13 | @ ALA | W 87-80 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 16 | vs AKR | W 97-79 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 20 | vs MEM | W 80-71 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs TTU | W 86-56 | -3.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs EIU | W 109-62 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 2 | @ RUTG | W 81-65 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | vs ISU | L 58-81 | -4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 10 | vs MINN | W 85-57 | -19.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs MARQ | W 79-59 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs AUB | W 88-60 | -7.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs KENT | W 101-60 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | @ WIS | W 89-73 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 7 | vs WASH | W 81-73 | -16.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | vs PSU | W 93-85 | -22.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vs IOWA | W 79-72 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−2.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
−21.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
+10.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
−0.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
+26.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+6.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
+2.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−27.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
+8.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
+3.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
+20.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+16.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+10.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−8.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
−14.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
−3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−17.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
+5.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
−5.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
+12.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
−11.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+29.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
−0.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−15.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
−1.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
−16.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
−4.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+5.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+8.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−0.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
+25.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
+5.5
over 7under 10avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
USC
16 games played
Straight up
13-3
81% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CP | W 94-64 | -24.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 9 | vs MAN | W 114-83 | -28.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 14 | vs ILST | W 87-67 | -15.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 20 | vs TROY | W 107-106 | -18.5 | L −17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vs BOIS | W 70-67 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs HALL | W 83-81 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs ASU | W 88-75 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ ORE | W 82-77 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vsWASH | L 76-84 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 9 | @ USD | W 94-81 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 14 | vs WSU | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTSA | W 97-70 | -25.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 2 | @ MICH | L 66-96 | +22.5 | L −7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 5 | @ MSU | L 51-80 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 9 | @MINN | W 70-69 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 13 | vs MD | W 88-71 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
+5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+2.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
+4.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
−17.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−0.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
−4.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+8.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+2.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
−12.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
−1.5
14
vsWSU
WSUW 68-61
−5.5
17
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-70
+1.5
2
@MICH
MICHL 66-96
−7.5
5
@MSU
MSUL 51-80
−17.5
9
@MINN
MINNW 70-69
+4.5
13
vsMD
MDW 88-71
+7.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
−5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+41.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
−1.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
+53.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−18.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
+18.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+1.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+4.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
+5.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
+16.5
14
vsWSU
WSUW 68-61
−27.5
17
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-70
+9.5
2
@MICH
MICHL 66-96
−11.5
5
@MSU
MSUL 51-80
−20.5
9
@MINN
MINNW 70-69
−8.5
13
vsMD
MDW 88-71
+8.5
over 9under 7avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Purdue
16-1 overall · 6-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Iowa79–72
- Wvs Penn State93–85
- Wvs Washington81–73
- W@ Wisconsin89–73
- Wvs Kent State101–60
3 days since their last game.
USC
13-3 overall · 3-3 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Maryland88–71
- W@ Minnesota70–69
- L@ Michigan St51–80
- L@ Michigan66–96
- Wvs UTSA97–70
4 days since their last game.