Petersen Events Center · at Pitt · Conference game
Closing line
PITT -1.5✓ PITT covered by 2.5
PITT -1.5✓ PITT covered by 2.5Closing total150.5Over by 5.5
 WAKE | This season | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| 11-9 | Record | 8-12 |
| 7-13 | ATS | 8-12 |
| 12-8 | O/U | 12-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WAKE 74–74 PITT · ✗ WAKE (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE | 36 | 30 | 10 | 76 |
| PITT | 30 | 36 | 14 | 80 |
1st half: WAKE 36, PITT 30 (WAKE by 6). The model had WAKE by 0.3 and a total of 69.3 (actual 66).
Team stats
| WAKE | PITT | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-59 46% | Field goals | 26-68 38% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 11-36 31% |
| 15-19 79% | Free throws | 17-25 68% |
| 37 9 off | Rebounds | 42 16 off |
| 10 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 21 | Fouls | 19 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| WAKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Schwieger F | 43 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Myles Colvin G | 42 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 4-14 | 1-7 |
| Tre'Von Spillers F | 30 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Juke Harris G | 28 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 6-13 | 2-5 |
| Nate Calmese G | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaac Carr G | 29 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Sebastian Akins G | 26 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Omaha Biliew F | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jaylen Cross G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Dimitrije Kovacevic, Anson Beard Jr., Will Underwood, Vincent Ricchiuti, Marqus Marion, Mekhi Mason
| PITT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Corhen F | 40 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Barry Dunning Jr. G | 39 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4-13 | 1-7 |
| Roman Siulepa F | 35 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 5-15 | 2-6 |
| Brandin Cummings G | 33 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 5-12 | 3-9 |
| Damarco Minor G | 19 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-7 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Omari Witherspoon G | 30 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis G | 20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-3 |
| Macari Moore G | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Henry Lau, Kieran Mullen, Amdy Ndiaye, Dishon Jackson, Jajuan Nelson, Benjamin Mayhew, Papa Amadou Kante
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPITT -1.5
ModelWAKE -0.3
Model edgeWAKE +1.8
L PITT covered
Total
Market150.5
Model148.1
Model edgeUnder 2.4
L Over
Projected score
WAKE 74.2 · PITT 73.9
WAKE 76 · PITT 80
Win probability
WAKE 51%
1st half
Spread
WAKE -0.3
WAKE -6.0
Total
69.3
66 points
Projected score
WAKE 34.8 · PITT 34.5
WAKE 36 · PITT 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPITT -2.5
1 → WAKE
ClosePITT -1.5
1 pt toward WAKE
Total
Open148.5
▲ 2
Close150.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
WAKE -108 · PITT -112
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PITT -2.5 · closed PITT -1.5 · moved 1 toward WAKEmodel WAKE -0.5
model WAKE -0.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 2 upmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% |
| PITT | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
WAKE 3–3 PITTSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · WAKE 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | PITT 74 @ WAKE 76 | WAKE -3.5 | PITT W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | WAKE 69 vs PITT 81 | PITT +2.5 | PITT W |
| Feb 20, 2023-24 | PITT 58 @ WAKE 91 | WAKE -5.5 | WAKE W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | WAKE 72 @ PITT 77 | PITT -2.5 | PITT W |
| Jan 25, 2022-23 | WAKE 79 @ PITT 81 | PITT -2.5 | WAKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wake Forest
20 games played
Straight up
11-9
55% wins
Against the spread
7-13
35% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-8
60% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AMER | W 88-74 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | vs MORE | W 81-65 | -22.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 11 | vs MICH | L 84-85 | +15.5 | W +14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 16 | vs UML | W 109-75 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 20 | vs TTU | L 83-84 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs MEM | W 69-68 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAM | W 99-51 | -17.5 | W +30.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 28 | vs NE | W 86-73 | -17.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs OU | L 68-86 | -4.5 | L −22.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs WVU | W 75-66 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 14 | vs QUC | W 111-73 | -18.5 | W +19.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 17 | vs LONG | W 71-68 | -24.5 | L −21.5 | 163.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs VAN | L 67-98 | +5.5 | L −25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | @ NCSU | L 57-70 | +10.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vs VT | W 81-78 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 7 | vs MIA | L 77-81 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | @ UNC | L 84-87 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @ FSU | W 69-68 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 20 | vs SMU | L 79-91 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 24 | @ DUKE | L 69-90 | +19.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAMER
AMERW 88-74
−5.5
7
vsMORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 84-85
+14.5
16
vsUML
UMLW 109-75
+3.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 83-84
+8.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 69-68
−1.5
25
vsCAM
CAMW 99-51
+30.5
28
vsNE
NEW 86-73
−4.5
2
vsOU
OUL 68-86
−22.5
6
vsWVU
WVUW 75-66
+11.5
14
vsQUC
QUCW 111-73
+19.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 71-68
−21.5
21
vsVAN
VANL 67-98
−25.5
31
@NCSU
NCSUL 57-70
−2.5
3
vsVT
VTW 81-78
−2.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 77-81
−5.5
10
@UNC
UNCL 84-87
+7.5
17
@FSU
FSUW 69-68
−0.5
20
vsSMU
SMUL 79-91
−13.5
24
@DUKE
DUKEL 69-90
−1.5
covered 7didn’t cover 13avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAMER
AMERW 88-74
+22.5
7
vsMORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 84-85
+0.5
16
vsUML
UMLW 109-75
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 83-84
+6.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 69-68
−23.5
25
vsCAM
CAMW 99-51
−9.5
28
vsNE
NEW 86-73
+4.5
2
vsOU
OUL 68-86
−5.5
6
vsWVU
WVUW 75-66
−2.5
14
vsQUC
QUCW 111-73
+18.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 71-68
−24.5
21
vsVAN
VANL 67-98
+0.5
31
@NCSU
NCSUL 57-70
−32.5
3
vsVT
VTW 81-78
+5.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 77-81
+0.5
10
@UNC
UNCL 84-87
+16.5
17
@FSU
FSUW 69-68
−31.5
20
vsSMU
SMUL 79-91
+12.5
24
@DUKE
DUKEL 69-90
+5.5
over 12under 8avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pitt
20 games played
Straight up
8-12
40% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-8
60% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs YSU | W 74-59 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vsLONG | W 78-60 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs EMU | W 78-66 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 13 | @WVU | L 49-71 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs BUCK | W 84-50 | -16.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | vs UCF | L 67-77 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUIN | L 75-83 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 28 | vs OSU | W 67-66 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 2 | vs TA&M | L 73-81 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs HOF | L 73-80 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ VILL | L 61-79 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 17 | vs BING | W 103-63 | -24.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs PSU | W 80-46 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @MIA | L 69-76 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 3 | vs CLEM | L 68-73 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs SYR | L 72-83 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 14 | @ GT | W 89-66 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs LOU | L 59-100 | +7.5 | L −33.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 21 | @ BC | L 62-65 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vsNCSU | L 72-81 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
+0.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
−3.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−16.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
+17.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−11.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
−20.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
+6.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
−4.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
−15.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
−7.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+15.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
+35.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+2.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
−1.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
−12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+21.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
−33.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−5.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
−2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
−12.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
−7.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
+2.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−14.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
−7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−5.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
+17.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
−15.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
+1.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
+18.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
+1.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+31.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
−20.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+0.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
+5.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
+12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+9.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
+6.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−10.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
+8.5
over 12under 8avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wake Forest
11-9 overall · 2-5 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Duke69–90
- Lvs SMU79–91
- W@ Florida St69–68
- L@ North Carolina84–87
- Lvs Miami77–81
3 days since their last game.
Pitt
8-12 overall · 1-6 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs NC State72–81
- L@ Boston College62–65
- Lvs Louisville59–100
- W@ Georgia Tech89–66
- Lvs Syracuse72–83
3 days since their last game.