Hart Center Arena · at Holy Cross · Conference game
Closing line
HC -1.5✓ L-MD covered by 15.5
HC -1.5✓ L-MD covered by 15.5Closing total151.5Under by 13.5
 L-MD | This season | HC |
|---|---|---|
| 9-19 | Record | 8-20 |
| 15-13 | ATS | 14-14 |
| 16-12 | O/U | 14-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: L-MD 73–76 HC · ✗ HC (58%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| L-MD | 37 | 39 | 76 |
| HC | 24 | 38 | 62 |
1st half: L-MD 37, HC 24 (L-MD by 13). The model had HC by 1.3 and a total of 69.7 (actual 61).
Team stats
| L-MD | HC | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-66 44% | Field goals | 21-54 39% |
| 8-26 31% | 3-pointers | 3-15 20% |
| 10-11 91% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 37 12 off | Rebounds | 37 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 6 |
| 9 | Steals | 2 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| L-MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Speed G | 34 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Emmett Adair F | 33 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 11-22 | 3-9 |
| Jordan Stiemke G | 31 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Tyson Commander G | 30 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 5-6 | 2-2 |
| Sam Springer F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Troy Cicero Jr. G | 18 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Sebastien Emenalo F | 17 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Carter Berg-McLean G | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Everett Barnes F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Theodosiou G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Garrett Brennan, Ben Menker, Goap Kodi, Jonas Sirtautas, Peter Sposito
| HC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Warren G | 36 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 10-17 | 1-4 |
| Tyler Boston G | 34 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4-14 | 0-2 |
| Aiden Disu F | 27 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-3 |
| DeAndre Williams G | 19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Jaden Kirkwood G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Richard F | 35 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| John St. Germain III G | 27 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Chuck Hare F | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Declan Ryan F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Will Aljancic, Austin Mejia, Ethan Clark, Tim Finau, Joe Nugent, Jude Haigh, Ben Capron
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHC -1.5
no move
CloseHC -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
▲ 2
Close151.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
L-MD +102 · HC -122
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HC -1.5 · unchangedmodel HC -2.5
model HC -2.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 2 upmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | HC -1.5 | HC -2.3 | HC +0.8 | L L-MD covered |
| Total | 151.5 | 149.0 | Under 2.5 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | L-MD 73.4 · HC 75.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | HC -1.3 | L-MD -13.0 |
| 1H total | 69.7 | 61 |
| 1H projected score | L-MD 34.2 · HC 35.5 | L-MD 37 · HC 24 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| L-MD | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| HC | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
L-MD 4–6 HCHC leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · L-MD 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025-26 | HC 73 @ L-MD 83 | L-MD -4.5 | L-MD W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | HC 70 @ L-MD 65 | L-MD -2.5 | HC W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | L-MD 72 @ HC 74 | HC -2.5 | L-MD W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | HC 70 @ L-MD 67 | L-MD -2.5 | HC W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | L-MD 78 @ HC 86 | HC -1.5 | HC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Loyola MD
28 games played
Straight up
9-19
32% wins
Against the spread
15-13
54% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-12
57% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TOW | L 56-67 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs NJIT | L 64-66 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs STO | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ FAIR | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 19 | @ DUQ | L 78-92 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | @ UK | L 46-88 | +35.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 30 | vs COPP | W 95-84 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 3 | @ HAMP | L 71-93 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 9 | @ VMI | L 70-86 | -2.5 | L −18.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSM | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 21 | @ GMU | L 79-86 | +23.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | @ AMER | L 69-84 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | vs LAF | L 64-79 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 7 | @ ARMY | W 84-76 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 10 | @ BUCK | L 67-70 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 14 | vs COLG | L 80-86 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 17 | vs BU | W 74-57 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 19 | @ LEH | L 81-88 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 24 | vsBUCK | W 67-62 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 28 | vsAMER | W 77-68 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 31 | @ NAVY | L 71-87 | +9.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 4 | vsLEH | W 89-84 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 7 | @BU | L 69-78 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 11 | @LAF | W 68-54 | +3.5 | W +17.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 15 | vsHC | W 83-73 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 18 | vsARMY | L 77-87 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 21 | @COLG | L 98-101 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 199 |
| Feb 25 | vsNAVY | L 51-78 | +6.5 | L −20.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTOW
TOWL 56-67
−2.5
11
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-66
−12.5
15
vsSTO
STOW 74-63
+4.5
16
@FAIR
FAIRL 82-85
+2.5
19
@DUQ
DUQL 78-92
+0.5
21
@UK
UKL 46-88
−6.5
30
vsCOPP
COPPW 95-84
+1.5
3
@HAMP
HAMPL 71-93
−15.5
9
@VMI
VMIL 70-86
−18.5
13
vsMSM
MSML 73-81
−5.5
21
@GMU
GMUL 79-86
+16.5
31
@AMER
AMERL 69-84
−6.5
3
vsLAF
LAFL 64-79
−13.5
7
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-76
+12.5
10
@BUCK
BUCKL 67-70
+3.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGL 80-86
+2.5
17
vsBU
BUW 74-57
+18.5
19
@LEH
LEHL 81-88
−3.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 67-62
+2.5
28
vsAMER
AMERW 77-68
+13.5
31
@NAVY
NAVYL 71-87
−6.5
4
vsLEH
LEHW 89-84
+2.5
7
@BU
BUL 69-78
−3.5
11
@LAF
LAFW 68-54
+17.5
15
vsHC
HCW 83-73
+5.5
18
vsARMY
ARMYL 77-87
−14.5
21
@COLG
COLGL 98-101
+5.5
25
vsNAVY
NAVYL 51-78
−20.5
covered 15didn’t cover 13avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTOW
TOWL 56-67
−18.5
11
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-66
−9.5
15
vsSTO
STOW 74-63
−1.5
16
@FAIR
FAIRL 82-85
+31.5
19
@DUQ
DUQL 78-92
+19.5
21
@UK
UKL 46-88
−25.5
30
vsCOPP
COPPW 95-84
+35.5
3
@HAMP
HAMPL 71-93
+21.5
9
@VMI
VMIL 70-86
+4.5
13
vsMSM
MSML 73-81
+2.5
21
@GMU
GMUL 79-86
+18.5
31
@AMER
AMERL 69-84
−1.5
3
vsLAF
LAFL 64-79
−9.5
7
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-76
+13.5
10
@BUCK
BUCKL 67-70
−6.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGL 80-86
+15.5
17
vsBU
BUW 74-57
−17.5
19
@LEH
LEHL 81-88
+19.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 67-62
−18.5
28
vsAMER
AMERW 77-68
−2.5
31
@NAVY
NAVYL 71-87
+14.5
4
vsLEH
LEHW 89-84
+23.5
7
@BU
BUL 69-78
+1.5
11
@LAF
LAFW 68-54
−25.5
15
vsHC
HCW 83-73
+9.5
18
vsARMY
ARMYL 77-87
+14.5
21
@COLG
COLGL 98-101
+48.5
25
vsNAVY
NAVYL 51-78
−18.5
over 16under 12avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Holy Cross
28 games played
Straight up
8-20
29% wins
Against the spread
14-14
50% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-14
50% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PROV | L 79-89 | +23.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | @ BYU | L 53-98 | +38.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 10 | @ UTAH | L 69-87 | +21.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 16 | vsHAMP | W 67-61 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 18 | @ BRWN | L 49-68 | +2.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 21 | @ SHU | L 66-79 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 24 | vs SIE | L 69-73 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 3 | vs NE | W 76-59 | +8.5 | W +25.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | @ FOR | W 70-69 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 16 | vs DART | L 64-89 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 20 | @ HARV | L 53-81 | +10.5 | L −17.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 31 | vsBUCK | W 65-58 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vsNAVY | L 58-65 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 7 | @LEH | L 58-66 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 10 | @AMER | W 84-73 | +8.5 | W +19.5 | 137.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | vsARMY | W 82-75 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 17 | @LAF | L 55-74 | +2.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 21 | @NAVY | L 68-85 | +11.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 24 | vsAMER | L 67-76 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 28 | @COLG | L 74-79 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 31 | @ARMY | L 68-69 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 2 | vsBU | L 64-72 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 7 | vsLEH | W 76-67 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 11 | vsCOLG | L 70-74 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 15 | @L-MD | L 73-83 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 18 | vsLAF | L 83-86 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 22 | @BUCK | W 72-63 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 25 | @BU | L 63-78 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PROV
PROVL 79-89
+13.5
8
@BYU
BYUL 53-98
−6.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+3.5
16
vsHAMP
HAMPW 67-61
+10.5
18
@BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−16.5
21
@SHU
SHUL 66-79
−5.5
24
vsSIE
SIEL 69-73
+5.5
3
vsNE
NEW 76-59
+25.5
6
@FOR
FORW 70-69
+11.5
16
vsDART
DARTL 64-89
−23.5
20
@HARV
HARVL 53-81
−17.5
31
vsBUCK
BUCKW 65-58
+8.5
3
vsNAVY
NAVYL 58-65
−1.5
7
@LEH
LEHL 58-66
−5.5
10
@AMER
AMERW 84-73
+19.5
14
vsARMY
ARMYW 82-75
+2.5
17
@LAF
LAFL 55-74
−16.5
21
@NAVY
NAVYL 68-85
−5.5
24
vsAMER
AMERL 67-76
−4.5
28
@COLG
COLGL 74-79
+5.5
31
@ARMY
ARMYL 68-69
+1.5
2
vsBU
BUL 64-72
−5.5
7
vsLEH
LEHW 76-67
+10.5
11
vsCOLG
COLGL 70-74
+4.5
15
@L-MD
L-MDL 73-83
−5.5
18
vsLAF
LAFL 83-86
−4.5
22
@BUCK
BUCKW 72-63
+11.5
25
@BU
BUL 63-78
−6.5
covered 14didn’t cover 14avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PROV
PROVL 79-89
+15.5
8
@BYU
BYUL 53-98
−14.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+0.5
16
vsHAMP
HAMPW 67-61
−20.5
18
@BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−24.5
21
@SHU
SHUL 66-79
−7.5
24
vsSIE
SIEL 69-73
+4.5
3
vsNE
NEW 76-59
−10.5
6
@FOR
FORW 70-69
+0.5
16
vsDART
DARTL 64-89
+5.5
20
@HARV
HARVL 53-81
−2.5
31
vsBUCK
BUCKW 65-58
−10.5
3
vsNAVY
NAVYL 58-65
−14.5
7
@LEH
LEHL 58-66
−13.5
10
@AMER
AMERW 84-73
+19.5
14
vsARMY
ARMYW 82-75
+14.5
17
@LAF
LAFL 55-74
−9.5
21
@NAVY
NAVYL 68-85
+18.5
24
vsAMER
AMERL 67-76
+3.5
28
@COLG
COLGL 74-79
+8.5
31
@ARMY
ARMYL 68-69
−7.5
2
vsBU
BUL 64-72
−3.5
7
vsLEH
LEHW 76-67
+5.5
11
vsCOLG
COLGL 70-74
+1.5
15
@L-MD
L-MDL 73-83
+9.5
18
vsLAF
LAFL 83-86
+29.5
22
@BUCK
BUCKW 72-63
−7.5
25
@BU
BUL 63-78
−0.5
over 14under 14avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Loyola MD
9-19 overall · 7-10 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Navy51–78
- L@ Colgate98–101
- Lvs Army77–87
- Wvs Holy Cross83–73
- W@ Lafayette68–54
3 days since their last game.
Holy Cross
8-20 overall · 5-12 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Boston U63–78
- W@ Bucknell72–63
- Lvs Lafayette83–86
- L@ Loyola MD73–83
- Lvs Colgate70–74
3 days since their last game.