Sanford Coyote Sports Center · at South Dakota · Conference game
Closing line
NDSU -8.5✓ SDAK covered by 3.5
NDSU -8.5✓ SDAK covered by 3.5Closing total154.5Over by 18.5
| NDSU | This season | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| 15-5 | Record | 9-11 |
| 13-7 | ATS | 11-9 |
| 10-10 | O/U | 9-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NDSU 85–78 SDAK · ✓ NDSU (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDSU | 39 | 35 | 15 | 89 |
| SDAK | 25 | 49 | 10 | 84 |
1st half: NDSU 39, SDAK 25 (NDSU by 14). The model had NDSU by 4.3 and a total of 76.0 (actual 64).
Team stats
| NDSU | SDAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-64 55% | Field goals | 27-57 47% |
| 10-22 45% | 3-pointers | 10-31 32% |
| 9-11 82% | Free throws | 20-23 87% |
| 34 9 off | Rebounds | 26 6 off |
| 16 | Assists | 14 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| NDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Stefonowicz G | 43 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 6-10 | 3-6 |
| Trevian Carson G | 41 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 6-10 | 0-2 |
| Tay Smith G | 39 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 4-8 | 4-7 |
| Markhi Strickland G | 37 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 7-18 | 0-1 |
| Treyson Anderson F | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Noah Feddersen C | 25 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 9-12 | 2-3 |
| Emil Skytt G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Max Majerle G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Riley Massey G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Caleb Schoenrock, Riley Saunders, Dom Clay, Carson Smith, Damari Wheeler-Thomas
| SDAK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uzziah Buntyn G | 44 | 25 | 6 | 4 | 7-15 | 2-8 |
| Jordan Crawford G | 43 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 11-19 | 7-15 |
| Silas Bennion G | 36 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Cameron Fens C | 34 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Vince Buzelis G | 28 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ethan Kizer F | 17 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Jake Brack F | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Trent Hudgens G | 9 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Evan Anderson G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jonah Funk, Jesse McIntosh, Luke Bruns, Porter Ihnen, Jalen Hayes, Isaac Bruns, Shey Eberwein, Josiah Dotzler, Caleb Kizer, Ashton Smith
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNDSU -7.5
1 → NDSU
CloseNDSU -8.5
1 pt toward NDSU
Total
Open156.5
▼ 2
Close154.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
NDSU -440 · SDAK +340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NDSU -7.5 · closed NDSU -8.5 · moved 1 toward NDSUmodel NDSU -7
model NDSU -7
Opened 156.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 2 downmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NDSU -8.5 | NDSU -6.9 | SDAK +1.6 | W SDAK covered |
| Total | 154.5 | 162.5 | Over 8.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | NDSU 84.7 · SDAK 77.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NDSU -4.3 | NDSU -14.0 |
| 1H total | 76.0 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | NDSU 40.1 · SDAK 35.9 | NDSU 39 · SDAK 25 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDSU | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| SDAK | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
NDSU 7–4 SDAKNDSU leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · NDSU 4-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025-26 | SDAK 61 @ NDSU 84 | NDSU -11.5 | NDSU W |
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | SDAK 85 vs NDSU 84 | NDSU -1.5 | SDAK W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | SDAK 78 @ NDSU 82 | NDSU -6.5 | SDAK W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | NDSU 103 @ SDAK 77 | SDAK +3.5 | NDSU W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | NDSU 68 @ SDAK 88 | SDAK +3.5 | SDAK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Dakota St
20 games played
Straight up
15-5
75% wins
Against the spread
13-7
65% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ORST | L 65-67 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 5 | @ UCD | L 68-80 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 11 | vs CSUN | W 90-68 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIU | W 92-85 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs JXST | W 56-43 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Nov 28 | @ ARST | L 80-85 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | @ MONT | W 81-72 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs NAU | W 69-68 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 11 | @ CSUB | W 80-69 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ DRKE | W 99-94 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 21 | vs UCI | L 73-74 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 22 | @ UTEP | L 66-76 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 31 | vsSDAK | W 84-61 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | vs ORU | W 79-77 | -13.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | @ KC | W 97-73 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | @ OMA | W 78-76 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | vs SDST | W 76-65 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vs STMN | W 68-65 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 22 | @ DEN | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 24 | @ORU | W 86-58 | -10.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
+7.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
−10.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+17.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+5.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
+9.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
−1.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
+12.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−11.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
+3.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+10.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
−2.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 66-76
−12.5
31
vsSDAK
SDAKW 84-61
+11.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 79-77
−11.5
8
@KC
KCW 97-73
+14.5
10
@OMA
OMAW 78-76
−3.5
14
vsSDST
SDSTW 76-65
+5.5
17
vsSTMN
STMNW 68-65
+0.5
22
@DEN
DENW 82-77
+0.5
24
@ORU
ORUW 86-58
+17.5
covered 13didn’t cover 7avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
−12.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
+5.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+1.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+23.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
−43.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
+4.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
−0.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−10.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
−0.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+47.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
+0.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 66-76
+2.5
31
vsSDAK
SDAKW 84-61
−19.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 79-77
+9.5
8
@KC
KCW 97-73
+25.5
10
@OMA
OMAW 78-76
+6.5
14
vsSDST
SDSTW 76-65
−10.5
17
vsSTMN
STMNW 68-65
−18.5
22
@DEN
DENW 82-77
−1.5
24
@ORU
ORUW 86-58
−7.5
over 10under 10avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Dakota
20 games played
Straight up
9-11
45% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UTU | L 79-81 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 5 | @ CREI | L 76-92 | +29.5 | W +13.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 12 | vs USI | W 89-74 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | U 163 |
| Nov 16 | vs WMU | W 83-78 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 172.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ MIZ | L 68-102 | +24.5 | L −9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 23 | vs SCST | W 82-81 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 29 | vs AF | W 80-63 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs PRST | L 71-77 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ UNCO | L 87-89 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 9 | @ WYO | L 79-106 | +14.5 | L −12.5 | 161.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | vs PV | W 97-85 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 168.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 20 | @ KSU | L 76-106 | +21.5 | L −8.5 | 176.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 31 | @NDSU | L 61-84 | +11.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | @STMN | L 86-99 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | vsDEN | W 82-72 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 169.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 15 | vsKC | W 99-83 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @ UND | L 80-96 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 21 | @OMA | W 68-64 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 160.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 24 | vsSTMN | L 78-90 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 29 | vsORU | W 77-69 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUTU
UTUL 79-81
−3.5
5
@CREI
CREIL 76-92
+13.5
12
vsUSI
USIW 89-74
+7.5
16
vsWMU
WMUW 83-78
+1.5
20
@MIZ
MIZL 68-102
−9.5
23
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-81
−14.5
29
vsAF
AFW 80-63
+13.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 71-77
−3.5
6
@UNCO
UNCOL 87-89
+6.5
9
@WYO
WYOL 79-106
−12.5
13
vsPV
PVW 97-85
+5.5
20
@KSU
KSUL 76-106
−8.5
31
@NDSU
NDSUL 61-84
−11.5
7
@STMN
STMNL 86-99
+1.5
10
vsDEN
DENW 82-72
+11.5
15
vsKC
KCW 99-83
+8.5
17
@UND
UNDL 80-96
−14.5
21
@OMA
OMAW 68-64
+10.5
24
vsSTMN
STMNL 78-90
−1.5
29
vsORU
ORUW 77-69
+4.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUTU
UTUL 79-81
−4.5
5
@CREI
CREIL 76-92
−1.5
12
vsUSI
USIW 89-74
−1.5
16
vsWMU
WMUW 83-78
−11.5
20
@MIZ
MIZL 68-102
−1.5
23
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-81
+2.5
29
vsAF
AFW 80-63
−4.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 71-77
−10.5
6
@UNCO
UNCOL 87-89
+13.5
9
@WYO
WYOL 79-106
+23.5
13
vsPV
PVW 97-85
+13.5
20
@KSU
KSUL 76-106
+5.5
31
@NDSU
NDSUL 61-84
−19.5
7
@STMN
STMNL 86-99
+22.5
10
vsDEN
DENW 82-72
−15.5
15
vsKC
KCW 99-83
+25.5
17
@UND
UNDL 80-96
+15.5
21
@OMA
OMAW 68-64
−28.5
24
vsSTMN
STMNL 78-90
+6.5
29
vsORU
ORUW 77-69
−8.5
over 9under 11avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Dakota St
15-5 overall · 8-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Oral Roberts86–58
- W@ Denver82–77
- Wvs St Thomas68–65
- Wvs S Dakota St76–65
- W@ Omaha78–76
A week or more of rest.
South Dakota
9-11 overall · 4-4 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oral Roberts77–69
- Lvs St Thomas78–90
- W@ Omaha68–64
- L@ North Dakota80–96
- Wvs Kansas City99–83
2 days since their last game.