McCann Arena · at Marist · Conference game
Closing line
MRST -2.5✓ SIE covered by 6.5
MRST -2.5✓ SIE covered by 6.5Closing total133.5Under by 3.5
 SIE | This season | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| 17-9 | Record | 15-9 |
| 14-12 | ATS | 12-12 |
| 10-16 | O/U | 9-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SIE 65–67 MRST · ✗ MRST (58%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIE | 36 | 31 | 67 |
| MRST | 29 | 34 | 63 |
1st half: SIE 36, MRST 29 (SIE by 7). The model had MRST by 1.3 and a total of 61.8 (actual 65).
Team stats
| SIE | MRST | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-49 55% | Field goals | 21-61 34% |
| 2-11 18% | 3-pointers | 5-23 22% |
| 11-17 65% | Free throws | 16-22 73% |
| 36 5 off | Rebounds | 34 13 off |
| 11 | Assists | 11 |
| 3 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| SIE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Shoats G | 40 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 7-14 | 0-0 |
| Gavin Doty G | 39 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7-12 | 0-3 |
| Brendan Coyle G | 31 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Antonio Chandler F | 29 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 9-10 | 0-0 |
| Francis Folefac F | 25 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Henderson G | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Christian Jones G | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Riley Mulvey C | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Owen Schlager, Danny Murray, Cooper Nadler, Tajae Jones, Chris Torres, Tasman Goodrick, Mosi Clayton, Marcus Jackson, Reid Ducharme
| MRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Menard G | 37 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 5-16 | 2-7 |
| Rhyjon Blackwell G | 33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-11 | 0-4 |
| Jadin Collins-Roberts G | 30 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Jason Schofield C | 25 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 24 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myles Parker F | 22 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Martin Kawa G | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Parby Kabamba F | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Jordan Gabriel C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Elijah Lewis, Antoni Vlogianitis, Ricky McKenzie, Trace Salton, Tarik Watson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMRST -2.5
ModelMRST -2.4
Model edgeSIE +0.1
W SIE covered
Total
Market133.5
Model131.8
Model edgeUnder 1.8
W Under
Projected score
SIE 64.7 · MRST 67.1
SIE 67 · MRST 63
Win probability
MRST 58%
1st half
Spread
MRST -1.3
SIE -7.0
Total
61.8
65 points
Projected score
SIE 30.2 · MRST 31.5
SIE 36 · MRST 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMRST -1.5
1 → MRST
CloseMRST -2.5
1 pt toward MRST
Total
Open131.5
▲ 2
Close133.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
SIE +124 · MRST -148
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MRST -1.5 · closed MRST -2.5 · moved 1 toward MRSTmodel MRST -2.5 matches the line
model MRST -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 131.5 · closed 133.5 · moved 2 upmodel 132
model 132
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIE | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| MRST | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
SIE 4–5 MRSTMRST leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SIE 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025-26 | MRST 50 @ SIE 69 | SIE -1.5 | SIE W |
| Feb 14, 2024-25 | MRST 65 @ SIE 64 | SIE -2.5 | MRST W |
| Jan 31, 2024-25 | SIE 67 @ MRST 72 | MRST -5.5 | SIE W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | MRST 67 @ SIE 51 | SIE +4.5 | MRST W |
| Jan 21, 2023-24 | SIE 48 @ MRST 50 | MRST -6.5 | SIE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Siena
26 games played
Straight up
17-9
65% wins
Against the spread
14-12
54% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-16
38% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BRY | W 82-66 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ BRWN | W 62-46 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 12 | @ SBU | L 66-75 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs COLG | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | vs UALB | W 73-63 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ HC | W 73-69 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs LONG | W 70-63 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AMER | W 59-55 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs ME | W 64-60 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 5 | vs NIA | W 83-54 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs CAN | W 74-52 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ UVM | L 69-83 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | @ IU | L 60-81 | +21.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | @ IONA | L 72-75 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 4 | @ RID | W 74-65 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 9 | vs MRMK | L 59-63 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @ MSM | W 67-50 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 14 | vs SHU | L 80-86 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 17 | @ MAN | W 74-59 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 19 | vs FAIR | W 85-77 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 22 | vsMRST | W 69-50 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 133.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 30 | @NIA | W 82-79 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 128.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 1 | @CAN | W 78-63 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 5 | vsIONA | W 79-72 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | @ SPU | L 65-70 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 13 | vs QUIN | L 62-74 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
+2.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
+12.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−9.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−0.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
−5.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
+1.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
+1.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−5.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+16.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
+4.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
−11.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
+0.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−4.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+0.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−9.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
+14.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
−14.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
+8.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+1.5
22
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-50
+17.5
30
@NIA
NIAW 82-79
−6.5
1
@CAN
CANW 78-63
+6.5
5
vsIONA
IONAW 79-72
−1.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 65-70
−6.5
13
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-74
−15.5
covered 14didn’t cover 12avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
−0.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
−34.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−4.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
+4.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
−12.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
−23.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−3.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+7.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
−5.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
+17.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
−4.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−2.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+3.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−10.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
−22.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
+26.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
−11.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+19.5
22
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-50
−14.5
30
@NIA
NIAW 82-79
+32.5
1
@CAN
CANW 78-63
+5.5
5
vsIONA
IONAW 79-72
+10.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 65-70
−0.5
13
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-74
−8.5
over 10under 16avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Marist
24 games played
Straight up
15-9
63% wins
Against the spread
12-12
50% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-15
38% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ XAV | L 62-66 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 9 | @ DART | W 75-56 | +1.5 | W +20.5 | 138.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs HARV | L 54-56 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARMY | W 76-65 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs LEH | W 78-55 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 132.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 5 | vsMSM | W 64-56 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 7 | vsMAN | W 80-68 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | @BRY | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 16 | @ GT | L 76-87 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs STBK | W 70-51 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | @QUIN | L 58-64 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 2 | @SPU | L 59-69 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 4 | vsIONA | W 83-38 | -4.5 | W +40.5 | 148.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 9 | @SHU | W 76-72 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 11 | @RID | W 71-49 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 131.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 17 | vsFAIR | W 82-67 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 19 | vsMRMK | L 55-68 | -6.5 | L −19.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 22 | @SIE | L 50-69 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 133.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 24 | vsQUIN | W 71-64 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 30 | @CAN | W 88-86 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 129.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 1 | @NIA | W 58-46 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | U 104 |
| Feb 5 | vsRID | W 81-52 | -14.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 7 | @FAIR | L 60-63 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 12 | @MRMK | L 56-81 | +2.5 | L −22.5 | 128.5 | O 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@XAV
XAVL 62-66
+8.5
9
@DART
DARTW 75-56
+20.5
16
vsHARV
HARVL 54-56
−8.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
−1.5
25
vsLEH
LEHW 78-55
+15.5
5
vsMSM
MSMW 64-56
−0.5
7
vsMAN
MANW 80-68
+4.5
13
@BRY
BRYW 82-74
+6.5
16
@GT
GTL 76-87
−4.5
21
vsSTBK
STBKW 70-51
+12.5
29
@QUIN
QUINL 58-64
−3.5
2
@SPU
SPUL 59-69
−12.5
4
vsIONA
IONAW 83-38
+40.5
9
@SHU
SHUW 76-72
−1.5
11
@RID
RIDW 71-49
+11.5
17
vsFAIR
FAIRW 82-67
+6.5
19
vsMRMK
MRMKL 55-68
−19.5
22
@SIE
SIEL 50-69
−17.5
24
vsQUIN
QUINW 71-64
+3.5
30
@CAN
CANW 88-86
−7.5
1
@NIA
NIAW 58-46
+2.5
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-52
+14.5
7
@FAIR
FAIRL 60-63
−4.5
12
@MRMK
MRMKL 56-81
−22.5
covered 12didn’t cover 12avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@XAV
XAVL 62-66
−11.5
9
@DART
DARTW 75-56
−7.5
16
vsHARV
HARVL 54-56
−20.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
+8.5
25
vsLEH
LEHW 78-55
+0.5
5
vsMSM
MSMW 64-56
−16.5
7
vsMAN
MANW 80-68
+7.5
13
@BRY
BRYW 82-74
+24.5
16
@GT
GTL 76-87
+21.5
21
vsSTBK
STBKW 70-51
−16.5
29
@QUIN
QUINL 58-64
−23.5
2
@SPU
SPUL 59-69
−5.5
4
vsIONA
IONAW 83-38
−27.5
9
@SHU
SHUW 76-72
+4.5
11
@RID
RIDW 71-49
−11.5
17
vsFAIR
FAIRW 82-67
+7.5
19
vsMRMK
MRMKL 55-68
−10.5
22
@SIE
SIEL 50-69
−14.5
24
vsQUIN
QUINW 71-64
−4.5
30
@CAN
CANW 88-86
+44.5
1
@NIA
NIAW 58-46
−24.5
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-52
−2.5
7
@FAIR
FAIRL 60-63
−15.5
12
@MRMK
MRMKL 56-81
+8.5
over 9under 15avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Siena
17-9 overall · 10-5 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Quinnipiac62–74
- L@ Saint Peter's65–70
- Wvs Iona79–72
- W@ Canisius78–63
- W@ Niagara82–79
2 days since their last game.
Marist
15-9 overall · 10-6 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Merrimack56–81
- L@ Fairfield60–63
- Wvs Rider81–52
- W@ Niagara58–46
- W@ Canisius88–86
3 days since their last game.