First National Bank Arena · at Arkansas St · Conference game
Closing line
ARST -8.5✓ USA covered by 12.5
ARST -8.5✓ USA covered by 12.5Closing total149.5Over by 30.5
 USA | This season | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| 16-7 | Record | 14-10 |
| 12-11 | ATS | 13-11 |
| 12-11 | O/U | 12-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USA 73–80 ARST · ✗ ARST (72%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 32 | 51 | 9 | 92 |
| ARST | 41 | 42 | 5 | 88 |
1st half: USA 32, ARST 41 (ARST by 9). The model had ARST by 3.9 and a total of 71.6 (actual 73).
Team stats
| USA | ARST | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-72 39% | Field goals | 26-65 40% |
| 16-36 44% | 3-pointers | 16-41 39% |
| 20-26 77% | Free throws | 20-30 67% |
| 37 13 off | Rebounds | 54 21 off |
| 16 | Assists | 22 |
| 12 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| USA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Olsen F | 44 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 9-21 | 7-15 |
| Chaze Harris G | 39 | 30 | 4 | 5 | 8-17 | 2-2 |
| Jayden Cooper G | 33 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 2-12 | 2-8 |
| Randy Brady F | 30 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Hantz Louis-Jeune G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John Broom G | 27 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| JJ Wheat G | 18 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Stephen Williams F | 15 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brian Hawthorne, Peyton Law, Desmond Williams, Samuel Shoptaw, Maxwell Land
| ARST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Harmon G | 43 | 33 | 8 | 2 | 10-24 | 9-22 |
| Chandler Jackson G | 37 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Jalen Hampton G | 35 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Aly Tounkara F | 28 | 9 | 15 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Matt Hayman G | 24 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-8 | 1-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| T.J. Caldwell G | 20 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth F | 20 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Joey Chammaa G | 11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Chudi Dioramma F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rho Omed, Fredy-Salam Sylla, Royal Blue Smith, Tim Matthews, Weston Honeycutt, CJ Geathers, Grayson Bennett
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARST -7.5
1 → ARST
CloseARST -8.5
1 pt toward ARST
Total
Open147.5
▲ 2
Close149.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
USA +320 · ARST -410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARST -7.5 · closed ARST -8.5 · moved 1 toward ARSTmodel ARST -6.5
model ARST -6.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 2 upmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ARST -8.5 | ARST -6.7 | USA +1.8 | W USA covered |
| Total | 149.5 | 153.1 | Over 3.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | USA 73.2 · ARST 79.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ARST -3.9 | ARST -9.0 |
| 1H total | 71.6 | 73 |
| 1H projected score | USA 33.9 · ARST 37.7 | USA 32 · ARST 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| ARST | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
USA 6–3 ARSTUSA leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · USA 7-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025-26 | ARST 87 @ USA 91 | USA +4.5 | USA W |
| Mar 9, 2024-25 | ARST 74 vs USA 71 | USA +3.5 | USA W |
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | USA 60 @ ARST 56 | ARST -7.5 | USA W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | ARST 62 @ USA 76 | USA -0.5 | USA W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | USA 78 @ ARST 95 | ARST -8.5 | ARST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Alabama
23 games played
Straight up
16-7
70% wins
Against the spread
12-11
52% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-11
52% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TOL | W 76-74 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 6 | vs ALCN | W 76-70 | -18.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 13 | vs CMU | W 66-64 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs COPP | W 72-62 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ JXST | W 71-65 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 21 | @ UAB | L 72-80 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTSA | W 82-58 | -1.5 | W +22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 2 | vs NMSU | W 77-75 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 5 | @ ETSU | L 65-91 | +7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | vs UNT | L 57-58 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | @ ULM | W 96-92 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | @ TXST | L 65-67 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @ UL | W 63-58 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 127.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 3 | @ TROY | L 49-59 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 10 | vs GASO | W 87-71 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vsARST | W 91-87 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 17 | vsUL | L 56-59 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 129.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 22 | @ JMU | W 90-83 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 29 | vs CCU | W 53-48 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 101 |
| Jan 31 | vs GAST | W 69-67 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 4 | @ APP | L 57-65 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 131.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 7 | vs BUF | W 81-69 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 12 | @ USM | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 135.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
+4.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
−12.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−3.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
−8.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+8.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
−0.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
+22.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+4.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
−18.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−2.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
−5.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
+1.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
+1.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−0.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+13.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+8.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−12.5
22
@JMU
JMUW 90-83
+11.5
29
vsCCU
CCUW 53-48
+1.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 69-67
−3.5
4
@APP
APPL 57-65
−2.5
7
vsBUF
BUFW 81-69
+8.5
12
@USM
USMW 84-78
+7.5
covered 12didn’t cover 11avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
−0.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
+4.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−12.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
+0.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+0.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
+2.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
−1.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+16.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−20.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
+39.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
−4.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
−6.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−40.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+9.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+23.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−14.5
22
@JMU
JMUW 90-83
+34.5
29
vsCCU
CCUW 53-48
−38.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 69-67
−4.5
4
@APP
APPL 57-65
−9.5
7
vsBUF
BUFW 81-69
+4.5
12
@USM
USMW 84-78
+26.5
over 12under 11avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arkansas St
24 games played
Straight up
14-10
58% wins
Against the spread
13-11
54% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-12
50% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ OHIO | W 89-85 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 7 | @ SFA | L 65-90 | -1.5 | L −26.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ MOST | W 86-85 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | @ SMC | L 72-85 | +20.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ SMU | L 69-100 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vsJXST | W 74-63 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 28 | vs NDSU | W 85-80 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 2 | vs UTA | W 83-63 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ LR | W 90-78 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | @ RICE | L 76-77 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 17 | @TXST | W 89-70 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @USM | W 93-86 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vsJMU | L 74-78 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | vsTROY | W 86-74 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 10 | vsTXST | W 83-82 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 15 | @USA | L 87-91 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 17 | @TROY | L 74-99 | +3.5 | L −21.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 22 | @GASO | W 85-68 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 172.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 24 | @GAST | L 81-82 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 28 | vs ODU | L 71-75 | -9.5 | L −13.5 | 159.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 31 | vs MRSH | L 61-70 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 165.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 4 | @CCU | W 70-66 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 7 | vs BGSU | W 91-54 | -2.5 | W +34.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 11 | vsULM | W 103-70 | -20.5 | W +12.5 | 162.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@OHIO
OHIOW 89-85
+7.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 65-90
−26.5
11
@MOST
MOSTW 86-85
+2.5
19
@SMC
SMCL 72-85
+7.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 69-100
−16.5
24
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-63
+6.5
28
vsNDSU
NDSUW 85-80
+1.5
2
vsUTA
UTAW 83-63
+14.5
6
@LR
LRW 90-78
+2.5
13
@RICE
RICEL 76-77
−3.5
17
@TXST
TXSTW 89-70
+14.5
20
@USM
USMW 93-86
+5.5
3
vsJMU
JMUL 74-78
−14.5
7
vsTROY
TROYW 86-74
+7.5
10
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-82
−10.5
15
@USA
USAL 87-91
−8.5
17
@TROY
TROYL 74-99
−21.5
22
@GASO
GASOW 85-68
+15.5
24
@GAST
GASTL 81-82
−5.5
28
vsODU
ODUL 71-75
−13.5
31
vsMRSH
MRSHL 61-70
−12.5
4
@CCU
CCUW 70-66
−0.5
7
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-54
+34.5
11
vsULM
ULMW 103-70
+12.5
covered 13didn’t cover 11avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@OHIO
OHIOW 89-85
+14.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 65-90
−0.5
11
@MOST
MOSTW 86-85
+18.5
19
@SMC
SMCL 72-85
+7.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 69-100
−3.5
24
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-63
−18.5
28
vsNDSU
NDSUW 85-80
+4.5
2
vsUTA
UTAW 83-63
−5.5
6
@LR
LRW 90-78
+20.5
13
@RICE
RICEL 76-77
−2.5
17
@TXST
TXSTW 89-70
+7.5
20
@USM
USMW 93-86
+23.5
3
vsJMU
JMUL 74-78
−6.5
7
vsTROY
TROYW 86-74
−0.5
10
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-82
+8.5
15
@USA
USAL 87-91
+23.5
17
@TROY
TROYL 74-99
+7.5
22
@GASO
GASOW 85-68
−19.5
24
@GAST
GASTL 81-82
+5.5
28
vsODU
ODUL 71-75
−13.5
31
vsMRSH
MRSHL 61-70
−34.5
4
@CCU
CCUW 70-66
−15.5
7
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-54
−9.5
11
vsULM
ULMW 103-70
+10.5
over 12under 12avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Alabama
16-7 overall · 8-4 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Southern Miss84–78
- Wvs Buffalo81–69
- L@ App State57–65
- Wvs Georgia St69–67
- Wvs Coastal53–48
2 days since their last game.
Arkansas St
14-10 overall · 7-6 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UL Monroe103–70
- Wvs Bowling Green91–54
- W@ Coastal70–66
- Lvs Marshall61–70
- Lvs Old Dominion71–75
3 days since their last game.