Reed Green Coliseum · at Southern Miss · Conference game
Closing line
USM -1.5✓ USA covered by 7.5
USM -1.5✓ USA covered by 7.5Closing total135.5Over by 26.5
 USA | This season | USM |
|---|---|---|
| 15-7 | Record | 11-13 |
| 11-11 | ATS | 10-14 |
| 11-11 | O/U | 13-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USA 70–72 USM · ✗ USM (54%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 42 | 42 | 84 |
| USM | 36 | 42 | 78 |
1st half: USA 42, USM 36 (USA by 6). The model had USM by 0.6 and a total of 66.5 (actual 78).
Team stats
| USA | USM | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-50 54% | Field goals | 24-50 48% |
| 9-23 39% | 3-pointers | 8-20 40% |
| 21-37 57% | Free throws | 22-28 79% |
| 26 4 off | Rebounds | 36 8 off |
| 9 | Assists | 13 |
| 13 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 21 |
| 19 | Fouls | 23 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 21 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| USA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Cooper G | 39 | 34 | 3 | 2 | 10-16 | 7-9 |
| Adam Olsen F | 37 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-10 | 1-8 |
| Chaze Harris G | 34 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 9-11 | 0-0 |
| Randy Brady F | 25 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Hantz Louis-Jeune G | 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John Broom G | 21 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Stephen Williams F | 15 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| JJ Wheat G | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Samuel Shoptaw, Brian Hawthorne, Desmond Williams, Peyton Law, Maxwell Land
| USM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djahi Binet F | 35 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Tylik Weeks F | 34 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 6-14 | 2-3 |
| Isaac Taveras G | 23 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Brumfield G | 23 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Israel Hart G | 23 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Curt Lewis G | 19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Chiante' Tramble G | 17 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Dalyn Brandon G | 17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Tegra Izay C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Fallou Diagne C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Felipe Patino, Jett Montgomery, Brewer Carruth, EJ Paymon, IJ Ezuma, Robert Cowherd, Chandler Watts, Blake Lander
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSM -1.5
ModelUSM -1.3
Model edgeUSA +0.3
W USA covered
Total
Market135.5
Model142.1
Model edgeOver 6.6
W Over
Projected score
USA 70.4 · USM 71.7
USA 84 · USM 78
Win probability
USM 54%
1st half
Spread
USM -0.6
USA -6.0
Total
66.5
78 points
Projected score
USA 33 · USM 33.6
USA 42 · USM 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSM -2.5
1 → USA
CloseUSM -1.5
1 pt toward USA
Total
Open137.5
▼ 2
Close135.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
USA +105 · USM -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USM -2.5 · closed USM -1.5 · moved 1 toward USAmodel USM -1.5
model USM -1.5
Opened 137.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 2 downmodel 142
model 142
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| USM | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
USA 7–1 USMUSA leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · USA has won the last 6 meetings · USA 6-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | USA 88 @ USM 82 | USM +7.5 | USM W |
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | USM 62 @ USA 75 | USA -12.5 | USA W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | USM 70 @ USA 73 | USA -3.5 | USM W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | USA 83 @ USM 64 | USM -3.5 | USA W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | USA 78 vs USM 61 | USM -1.5 | USA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Alabama
22 games played
Straight up
15-7
68% wins
Against the spread
11-11
50% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-11
50% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TOL | W 76-74 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 6 | vs ALCN | W 76-70 | -18.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 13 | vs CMU | W 66-64 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs COPP | W 72-62 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ JXST | W 71-65 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 21 | @ UAB | L 72-80 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTSA | W 82-58 | -1.5 | W +22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 2 | vs NMSU | W 77-75 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 5 | @ ETSU | L 65-91 | +7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | vs UNT | L 57-58 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | @ ULM | W 96-92 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | @ TXST | L 65-67 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @ UL | W 63-58 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 127.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 3 | @ TROY | L 49-59 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 10 | vs GASO | W 87-71 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vs ARST | W 91-87 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 17 | vsUL | L 56-59 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 129.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 22 | @ JMU | W 90-83 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 29 | vs CCU | W 53-48 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 101 |
| Jan 31 | vs GAST | W 69-67 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 4 | @ APP | L 57-65 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 131.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 7 | vs BUF | W 81-69 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
+4.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
−12.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−3.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
−8.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+8.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
−0.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
+22.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+4.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
−18.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−2.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
−5.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
+1.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
+1.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−0.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+13.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+8.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−12.5
22
@JMU
JMUW 90-83
+11.5
29
vsCCU
CCUW 53-48
+1.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 69-67
−3.5
4
@APP
APPL 57-65
−2.5
7
vsBUF
BUFW 81-69
+8.5
covered 11didn’t cover 11avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
−0.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
+4.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−12.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
+0.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+0.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
+2.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
−1.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+16.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−20.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
+39.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
−4.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
−6.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−40.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+9.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+23.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−14.5
22
@JMU
JMUW 90-83
+34.5
29
vsCCU
CCUW 53-48
−38.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 69-67
−4.5
4
@APP
APPL 57-65
−9.5
7
vsBUF
BUFW 81-69
+4.5
over 11under 11avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Southern Miss
24 games played
Straight up
11-13
46% wins
Against the spread
10-14
42% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-11
54% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @BUF | L 79-85 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 9 | @ SC | L 79-83 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 13 | @ GRAM | L 70-75 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNF | W 92-83 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 23 | vs UTM | W 70-60 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 3 | @ RAD | W 82-75 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 6 | @ MIA | L 64-88 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 8 | vsGRAM | W 68-60 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs MISS | L 67-71 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | vsUL | W 62-54 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 132.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | vsARST | L 86-93 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | @ LSU | L 62-90 | +21.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 1 | @ULM | W 87-73 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 3 | @UL | W 74-67 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 129.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | vsTXST | W 80-70 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vsULM | W 70-60 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 14 | @TROY | L 65-91 | +8.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 17 | @TXST | L 67-74 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 22 | @GAST | L 62-69 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | @CCU | L 67-85 | +2.5 | L −15.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 29 | vsAPP | L 63-70 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 31 | vsJMU | W 73-65 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | @ MRSH | L 77-81 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 7 | vs KENT | W 66-65 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BUF
BUFL 79-85
−2.5
9
@SC
SCL 79-83
+13.5
13
@GRAM
GRAML 70-75
−2.5
22
vsUNF
UNFW 92-83
−0.5
23
vsUTM
UTMW 70-60
+11.5
3
@RAD
RADW 82-75
+10.5
6
@MIA
MIAL 64-88
−4.5
8
vsGRAM
GRAMW 68-60
−0.5
13
vsMISS
MISSL 67-71
+8.5
18
vsUL
ULW 62-54
−3.5
20
vsARST
ARSTL 86-93
−5.5
29
@LSU
LSUL 62-90
−6.5
1
@ULM
ULMW 87-73
+4.5
3
@UL
ULW 74-67
+3.5
8
vsTXST
TXSTW 80-70
+7.5
10
vsULM
ULMW 70-60
−4.5
14
@TROY
TROYL 65-91
−17.5
17
@TXST
TXSTL 67-74
−4.5
22
@GAST
GASTL 62-69
−5.5
24
@CCU
CCUL 67-85
−15.5
29
vsAPP
APPL 63-70
−5.5
31
vsJMU
JMUW 73-65
+6.5
4
@MRSH
MRSHL 77-81
+6.5
7
vsKENT
KENTW 66-65
+5.5
covered 10didn’t cover 14avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BUF
BUFL 79-85
+10.5
9
@SC
SCL 79-83
+14.5
13
@GRAM
GRAML 70-75
−3.5
22
vsUNF
UNFW 92-83
+20.5
23
vsUTM
UTMW 70-60
−16.5
3
@RAD
RADW 82-75
+4.5
6
@MIA
MIAL 64-88
+6.5
8
vsGRAM
GRAMW 68-60
−14.5
13
vsMISS
MISSL 67-71
−0.5
18
vsUL
ULW 62-54
−16.5
20
vsARST
ARSTL 86-93
+23.5
29
@LSU
LSUL 62-90
−2.5
1
@ULM
ULMW 87-73
+7.5
3
@UL
ULW 74-67
+11.5
8
vsTXST
TXSTW 80-70
+5.5
10
vsULM
ULMW 70-60
−25.5
14
@TROY
TROYL 65-91
+10.5
17
@TXST
TXSTL 67-74
+0.5
22
@GAST
GASTL 62-69
−13.5
24
@CCU
CCUL 67-85
+10.5
29
vsAPP
APPL 63-70
−1.5
31
vsJMU
JMUW 73-65
−5.5
4
@MRSH
MRSHL 77-81
+9.5
7
vsKENT
KENTW 66-65
−19.5
over 13under 11avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Alabama
15-7 overall · 7-4 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Buffalo81–69
- L@ App State57–65
- Wvs Georgia St69–67
- Wvs Coastal53–48
- W@ James Madison90–83
5 days since their last game.
Southern Miss
11-13 overall · 6-7 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kent State66–65
- L@ Marshall77–81
- Wvs James Madison73–65
- Lvs App State63–70
- L@ Coastal67–85
5 days since their last game.