The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss · at Ole Miss · Conference game
Closing line
VAN -7.5✓ MISS covered by 4.5
VAN -7.5✓ MISS covered by 4.5Closing total155.5Over by 19.5
| VAN | This season | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| 22-7 | Record | 12-17 |
| 15-14 | ATS | 10-19 |
| 14-15 | O/U | 18-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VAN 81–74 MISS · ✓ VAN (73%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 33 | 43 | 13 | 89 |
| MISS | 37 | 39 | 10 | 86 |
1st half: VAN 33, MISS 37 (MISS by 4). The model had VAN by 4.2 and a total of 72.7 (actual 70).
Team stats
| VAN | MISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-75 39% | Field goals | 26-57 46% |
| 9-32 28% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 22-30 73% | Free throws | 26-33 79% |
| 44 22 off | Rebounds | 40 12 off |
| 17 | Assists | 14 |
| 10 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 21 | Fouls | 21 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| VAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner G | 44 | 34 | 5 | 7 | 11-19 | 3-6 |
| Duke Miles G | 36 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 5-17 | 2-9 |
| AK Okereke F | 35 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Tyler Nickel F | 33 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-7 |
| Devin McGlockton F | 32 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chandler Bing F | 23 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Jalen Washington F | 16 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-1 |
| Jayden Leverett C | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyler Harris, Frankie Collins, Miles Keeffe, George Kimble III, Jaylon Dean-Vines, Mike James, Coleson Messer, Mason Nicholson
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilias Kamardine G | 39 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5-14 | 3-7 |
| Patton Pinkins G | 38 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| James Scott F | 23 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Malik Dia F | 22 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 22 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Storr G | 28 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-1 |
| Corey Chest F | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Koren Johnson G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Travis Perry G | 12 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Zach Day G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Hobert Grayson IV, Max Smith, Niko Bundalo, Augusto Cassia, Tylis Jordan, Kezza Giffa
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVAN -7.5
ModelVAN -6.9
Model edgeMISS +0.6
W MISS covered
Total
Market155.5
Model155.4
Model edgeUnder 0.1
L Over
Projected score
VAN 81.1 · MISS 74.3
VAN 89 · MISS 86
Win probability
VAN 73%
1st half
Spread
VAN -4.2
MISS -4.0
Total
72.7
70 points
Projected score
VAN 38.4 · MISS 34.2
VAN 33 · MISS 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAN -7.5
no move
CloseVAN -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open154.5
▲ 1
Close155.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
VAN -310 · MISS +250
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAN -7.5 · unchangedmodel VAN -7
model VAN -7
Opened 154.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 1 upmodel 155.5 matches the line
model 155.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| MISS | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
VAN 4–1 MISSVAN leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · VAN has won the last 2 meetings · VAN 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025-26 | MISS 68 @ VAN 71 | VAN -10.5 | MISS W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | MISS 72 @ VAN 77 | VAN -0.5 | VAN W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | VAN 56 @ MISS 69 | MISS -10.5 | MISS W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | MISS 71 @ VAN 74 | VAN -4.5 | MISS W |
| Mar 5, 2021-22 | VAN 63 @ MISS 61 | MISS -1 | VAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Vanderbilt
29 games played
Straight up
22-7
76% wins
Against the spread
15-14
52% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIP | W 105-61 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCF | W 105-93 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 12 | vs EKU | W 92-62 | -28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs UAPB | W 104-75 | -41.5 | L −12.5 | 172.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 20 | vs TXSO | W 109-74 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs WKU | W 83-78 | -18.5 | L −13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs VCU | W 89-74 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs SMC | W 96-71 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | vs SMU | W 88-69 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | vs CARK | W 83-72 | -36.5 | L −25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 17 | @ MEM | W 77-70 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | @ WAKE | W 98-67 | -5.5 | W +25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 29 | vs NHVN | W 96-53 | -39.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ SC | W 83-71 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 7 | vs ALA | W 96-90 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vs LSU | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | @ TEX | L 64-80 | -3.5 | L −19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs FLA | L 94-98 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 20 | @ ARK | L 68-93 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | @ MSST | W 88-56 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 27 | vs UK | W 80-55 | -5.5 | W +19.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | vsMISS | W 71-68 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vs OU | L 91-92 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 10 | @ AUB | W 84-76 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 161.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 14 | vs TA&M | W 82-69 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 18 | @ MIZ | L 80-81 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 21 | vs TENN | L 65-69 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 25 | vs UGA | W 88-80 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 28 | @UK | L 77-91 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+17.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+1.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
+1.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
−12.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
−1.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−13.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+8.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+20.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
+8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−25.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−2.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+25.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
+2.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+2.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
−2.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−23.5
24
@MSST
MSSTW 88-56
+24.5
27
vsUK
UKW 80-55
+19.5
31
vsMISS
MISSW 71-68
−7.5
7
vsOU
OUL 91-92
−12.5
10
@AUB
AUBW 84-76
+11.5
14
vsTA&M
TA&MW 82-69
+5.5
18
@MIZ
MIZL 80-81
−4.5
21
vsTENN
TENNL 65-69
−6.5
25
vsUGA
UGAW 88-80
+0.5
28
@UK
UKL 77-91
−12.5
covered 15didn’t cover 14avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+11.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+31.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
−14.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
+6.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
+18.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−7.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+1.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+17.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
−8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−3.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−12.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+0.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+9.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
+27.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−12.5
24
@MSST
MSSTW 88-56
−15.5
27
vsUK
UKW 80-55
−20.5
31
vsMISS
MISSW 71-68
−10.5
7
vsOU
OUL 91-92
+23.5
10
@AUB
AUBW 84-76
−1.5
14
vsTA&M
TA&MW 82-69
−14.5
18
@MIZ
MIZL 80-81
+6.5
21
vsTENN
TENNL 65-69
−16.5
25
vsUGA
UGAW 88-80
+4.5
28
@UK
UKL 77-91
+10.5
over 14under 15avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ole Miss
29 games played
Straight up
12-17
41% wins
Against the spread
10-19
34% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-11
62% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs ULM | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vsMEM | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs CSUB | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs APSU | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs IOWA | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs UTAH | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIA | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | @ SJU | L 58-63 | +13.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs USM | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs AAMU | W 80-66 | -20.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 21 | vs NCSU | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 29 | vs ALCN | W 79-43 | -28.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 3 | @OU | L 70-86 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | vsARK | L 87-94 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | vsMIZ | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | @UGA | W 97-95 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | @MSST | W 68-67 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 20 | vsAUB | L 66-78 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @UK | L 63-72 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @VAN | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | @TENN | L 66-84 | +12.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @TEX | L 68-79 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 11 | vsALA | L 74-93 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 14 | vsMSST | L 78-90 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 18 | @TA&M | L 77-80 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 21 | vsFLA | L 75-94 | +13.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 25 | vsLSU | L 99-106 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | O 205 |
| Feb 28 | @AUB | W 85-79 | +10.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
−0.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
−11.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−10.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
+8.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−8.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
−6.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
+7.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
−9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
−3.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+5.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+12.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
+4.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−8.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
+2.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
+7.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
−5.5
7
@TEX
TEXL 68-79
−1.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 74-93
−12.5
14
vsMSST
MSSTL 78-90
−15.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 77-80
+6.5
21
vsFLA
FLAL 75-94
−5.5
25
vsLSU
LSUL 99-106
−9.5
28
@AUB
AUBW 85-79
+16.5
covered 10didn’t cover 19avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
+2.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
+4.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
−30.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−0.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
+10.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−10.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
−26.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
+9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
+27.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+1.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+33.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
−12.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−7.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
−10.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
−10.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
+10.5
7
@TEX
TEXL 68-79
+1.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 74-93
+2.5
14
vsMSST
MSSTL 78-90
+21.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 77-80
−0.5
21
vsFLA
FLAL 75-94
+16.5
25
vsLSU
LSUL 99-106
+57.5
28
@AUB
AUBW 85-79
+10.5
over 18under 11avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Vanderbilt
22-7 overall · 9-7 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kentucky77–91
- Wvs Georgia88–80
- Lvs Tennessee65–69
- L@ Missouri80–81
- Wvs Texas A&M82–69
3 days since their last game.
Ole Miss
12-17 overall · 4-12 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Auburn85–79
- Lvs LSU99–106
- Lvs Florida75–94
- L@ Texas A&M77–80
- Lvs Mississippi St78–90
3 days since their last game.