Coleman Coliseum · at Alabama · Conference game
Closing line
ALA -3.5✓ ARK covered by 1.5
ALA -3.5✓ ARK covered by 1.5Closing total181.5Over by 50.5
 ARK | This season | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| 19-6 | Record | 18-7 |
| 17-8 | ATS | 11-14 |
| 12-13 | O/U | 14-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARK 89–92 ALA · ✓ ALA (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | 2OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARK | 57 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 115 |
| ALA | 47 | 48 | 10 | 12 | 117 |
1st half: ARK 57, ALA 47 (ARK by 10). The model had ALA by 1.9 and a total of 84.2 (actual 104).
Team stats
| ARK | ALA | |
|---|---|---|
| 43-87 49% | Field goals | 40-71 56% |
| 13-26 50% | 3-pointers | 10-29 34% |
| 16-19 84% | Free throws | 27-34 79% |
| 36 15 off | Rebounds | 43 12 off |
| 15 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 6 | Blocks | 1 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 26 | Fouls | 17 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 58 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| ARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 50 | 49 | 5 | 5 | 16-27 | 6-10 |
| Trevon Brazile F | 47 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 5-13 | 0-4 |
| Meleek Thomas G | 37 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 8-13 | 6-8 |
| Billy Richmond III G | 34 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 10-19 | 0-0 |
| Nick Pringle F | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DJ Wagner G | 35 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Malique Ewin F | 20 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Karuletwa G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Elmir Dzafic C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Amere Brown, Isaiah Sealy, Ayden Kelley, Paulo Semedo, Karim Rtail, Karter Knox
| ALA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari Allen G | 45 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6-14 | 2-8 |
| Labaron Philon Jr. G | 41 | 35 | 2 | 7 | 11-21 | 3-8 |
| Aiden Sherrell F | 39 | 26 | 13 | 1 | 10-13 | 0-0 |
| Aden Holloway G | 25 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 5-5 | 1-1 |
| London Jemison F | 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. G | 40 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Houston Mallette G | 29 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Taylor Bol Bowen F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Noah Williamson C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jalil Bethea G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Davion Hannah, Preston Murphy Jr., Keitenn Bristow, Collins Onyejiaka, Jacob Martin, Klark James, Jack Fagan
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketALA -3.5
ModelALA -3.4
Model edgeARK +0.1
W ARK covered
Total
Market181.5
Model180.5
Model edgeUnder 1.0
L Over
Projected score
ARK 88.5 · ALA 92
ARK 115 · ALA 117
Win probability
ALA 62%
1st half
Spread
ALA -1.9
ARK -10.0
Total
84.2
104 points
Projected score
ARK 41.2 · ALA 43.1
ARK 57 · ALA 47
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenALA -3.5
no move
CloseALA -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open183.5
▼ 2
Close181.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
ARK +160 · ALA -192
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ALA -3.5 · unchangedmodel ALA -3.5 matches the line
model ALA -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 183.5 · closed 181.5 · moved 2 downmodel 180.5
model 180.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARK | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| ALA | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ARK 0–5 ALAALA leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · ALA has won the last 5 meetings · ARK 4-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | ALA 85 @ ARK 81 | ARK +5.5 | ARK W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | ARK 88 @ ALA 92 | ALA -15.5 | ARK W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | ARK 83 @ ALA 86 | ALA -7.5 | ARK W |
| Jan 11, 2022-23 | ALA 84 @ ARK 69 | ARK -1.5 | ALA W |
| Feb 12, 2021-22 | ARK 67 @ ALA 68 | ALA -5.5 | ARK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arkansas
25 games played
Straight up
19-6
76% wins
Against the spread
17-8
68% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-13
48% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SOU | W 109-77 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 8 | @ MSU | L 66-69 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vs CARK | W 93-56 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAM | W 79-75 | -24.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs WIN | W 84-83 | -23.5 | L −22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs JKST | W 115-61 | -29.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | vs DUKE | L 71-80 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs LOU | W 89-80 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs FRES | W 82-58 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs TTU | W 93-86 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs QUC | W 108-80 | -23.5 | W +4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOU | L 85-94 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs JMU | W 103-74 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | vs TENN | W 86-75 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 7 | @ MISS | W 94-87 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | @ AUB | L 73-95 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | vs SC | W 108-74 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @ UGA | L 76-90 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 20 | vs VAN | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | vs LSU | W 85-81 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 27 | @ OU | W 83-79 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 31 | vs UK | L 77-85 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 7 | @ MSST | W 88-68 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 10 | @LSU | W 91-62 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 14 | vsAUB | W 88-75 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+5.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−0.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
+1.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−20.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−22.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+24.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
+3.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+10.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
+4.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+9.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+4.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
−3.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+5.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+12.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+3.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−19.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+21.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−11.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
+23.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
−6.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
+0.5
31
vsUK
UKL 77-85
−14.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 88-68
+14.5
10
@LSU
LSUW 91-62
+24.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 88-75
+5.5
covered 17didn’t cover 8avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+35.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−20.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
−9.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−4.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−1.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+16.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
−8.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+2.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
−21.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+23.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+18.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
+32.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+17.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+2.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+27.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−1.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+26.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−15.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
−12.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
+2.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
−5.5
31
vsUK
UKL 77-85
+2.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 88-68
−7.5
10
@LSU
LSUW 91-62
−6.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 88-75
−2.5
over 12under 13avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alabama
25 games played
Straight up
18-7
72% wins
Against the spread
11-14
44% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-11
56% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UND | W 91-62 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ SJU | W 103-96 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 13 | vs PUR | L 80-87 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 19 | vs ILL | W 90-86 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 24 | vs GONZ | L 85-95 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 178.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNLV | W 115-76 | -13.5 | W +25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 26 | vs MD | W 105-72 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLEM | W 90-84 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 7 | vs UTSA | W 97-55 | -33.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 13 | vs ARIZ | L 75-96 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 17 | vs USF | W 104-93 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs KENN | W 92-81 | -20.5 | L −9.5 | 182.5 | U 173 |
| Dec 29 | vs YALE | W 102-78 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vsUK | W 89-74 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 7 | @VAN | L 90-96 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vs TEX | L 88-92 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 13 | @MSST | W 97-82 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 171.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 17 | @OU | W 83-81 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 177.5 | U 164 |
| Jan 24 | vsTENN | L 73-79 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 167.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 27 | vs MIZ | W 90-64 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 167.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 1 | @ FLA | L 77-100 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 176.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 4 | vs TA&M | W 100-97 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 180.5 | O 197 |
| Feb 7 | @AUB | W 96-92 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 175.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 11 | @MISS | W 93-74 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 14 | vsSC | W 89-75 | -17.5 | L −3.5 | 170.5 | U 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−7.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+11.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−10.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
+6.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
−5.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+25.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+18.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
−2.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
+8.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−18.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
−3.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
+9.5
7
@VAN
VANL 90-96
−2.5
10
vsTEX
TEXL 88-92
−15.5
13
@MSST
MSSTW 97-82
+10.5
17
@OU
OUW 83-81
−3.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 73-79
−10.5
27
vsMIZ
MIZW 90-64
+15.5
1
@FLA
FLAL 77-100
−13.5
4
vsTA&M
TA&MW 100-97
−5.5
7
@AUB
AUBW 96-92
+6.5
11
@MISS
MISSW 93-74
+12.5
14
vsSC
SCW 89-75
−3.5
covered 11didn’t cover 14avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−17.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+26.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−5.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
−4.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
+1.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+9.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+10.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
+8.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
−19.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−7.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
+18.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
−10.5
7
@VAN
VANL 90-96
+9.5
10
vsTEX
TEXL 88-92
+2.5
13
@MSST
MSSTW 97-82
+7.5
17
@OU
OUW 83-81
−13.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 73-79
−15.5
27
vsMIZ
MIZW 90-64
−13.5
1
@FLA
FLAL 77-100
+0.5
4
vsTA&M
TA&MW 100-97
+16.5
7
@AUB
AUBW 96-92
+12.5
11
@MISS
MISSW 93-74
+2.5
14
vsSC
SCW 89-75
−6.5
over 14under 11avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arkansas
19-6 overall · 9-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Auburn88–75
- W@ LSU91–62
- W@ Mississippi St88–68
- Lvs Kentucky77–85
- W@ Oklahoma83–79
4 days since their last game.
Alabama
18-7 overall · 8-4 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs South Carolina89–75
- W@ Ole Miss93–74
- W@ Auburn96–92
- Wvs Texas A&M100–97
- L@ Florida77–100
4 days since their last game.