Mizzou Arena · at Missouri · Conference game
Closing line
MIZ -2.5✓ TEX covered by 19.5
MIZ -2.5✓ TEX covered by 19.5Closing total150.5Over by 2.5
 TEX | This season | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 14-9 | Record | 17-7 |
| 14-9 | ATS | 10-14 |
| 14-9 | O/U | 10-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TEX 79–78 MIZ · ✓ TEX (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 33 | 52 | 85 |
| MIZ | 31 | 37 | 68 |
1st half: TEX 33, MIZ 31 (TEX by 2). The model had TEX by 0.5 and a total of 73.1 (actual 64).
Team stats
| TEX | MIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-61 48% | Field goals | 19-45 42% |
| 6-17 35% | 3-pointers | 4-10 40% |
| 21-23 91% | Free throws | 26-38 68% |
| 36 14 off | Rebounds | 26 8 off |
| 8 | Assists | 7 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 22 | Fouls | 19 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| TEX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailyn Swain G | 37 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 9-16 | 3-6 |
| Camden Heide F | 36 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-3 |
| Tramon Mark G | 30 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Matas Vokietaitis C | 25 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Pope G | 25 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5-13 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Simeon Wilcher G | 21 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Nic Codie F | 15 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Chendall Weaver G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lewis Obiorah, Cole Bott, Declan Duru Jr., Anthon McDermott, Brandon Taylor, John Clark, Lassina Traore
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 39 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Stone G | 34 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Trent Pierce G | 32 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| T.O. Barrett F | 31 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2-9 | 0-0 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. C | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Robinson II G | 21 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Jacob Crews G | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Nicholas Randall F | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Trent Burns C | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Annor Boateng, Luke Northweather, Jevon Porter, Sebastian Mack, Aaron Rowe
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIZ -1.5
1 → MIZ
CloseMIZ -2.5
1 pt toward MIZ
Total
Open153.5
▼ 3
Close150.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
TEX +120 · MIZ -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIZ -1.5 · closed MIZ -2.5 · moved 1 toward MIZmodel TEX -0.5
model TEX -0.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 3 downmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MIZ -2.5 | TEX -0.6 | TEX +3.1 | W TEX covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 156.3 | Over 5.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | TEX 78.5 · MIZ 77.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TEX -0.5 | TEX -2.0 |
| 1H total | 73.1 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | TEX 36.8 · MIZ 36.3 | TEX 33 · MIZ 31 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| MIZ | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TEX 1–0 MIZTEX leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · TEX 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | MIZ 53 @ TEX 61 | TEX -2.5 | TEX W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas
23 games played
Straight up
14-9
61% wins
Against the spread
14-9
61% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-9
61% overs · avg +2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs DUKE | L 60-75 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs LAF | W 97-60 | -25.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs FDU | W 93-58 | -31.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs KC | W 71-55 | -31.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | vs RID | W 99-65 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs ASU | L 86-87 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 26 | vs NCSU | W 102-97 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVA | L 69-88 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 8 | vs SOU | W 95-69 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 12 | @ CONN | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs LEM | W 95-53 | -29.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 22 | vs UMES | W 94-71 | -33.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs MSST | L 98-101 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 199 |
| Jan 6 | @ TENN | L 71-85 | +12.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ ALA | W 92-88 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 14 | vs VAN | W 80-64 | +3.5 | W +19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs TA&M | L 70-74 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 166.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | @ UK | L 80-85 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vs UGA | W 87-67 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 28 | @ AUB | L 82-88 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @ OU | W 79-69 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 3 | vs SC | W 84-75 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 7 | vs MISS | W 79-68 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−4.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+11.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
+3.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−15.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+3.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
−7.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+6.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
−22.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+3.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
+3.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
+12.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
−10.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
−12.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
−1.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+15.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
+19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−8.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+2.5
24
vsUGA
UGAW 87-67
+16.5
28
@AUB
AUBL 82-88
+0.5
31
@OU
OUW 79-69
+8.5
3
vsSC
SCW 84-75
−4.5
7
vsMISS
MISSW 79-68
+1.5
covered 14didn’t cover 9avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−18.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+3.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
−7.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−33.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+20.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
+19.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+37.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
+2.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+5.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
−11.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
−4.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
+26.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
+41.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
+2.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+2.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
−19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−22.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+12.5
24
vsUGA
UGAW 87-67
−14.5
28
@AUB
AUBL 82-88
+15.5
31
@OU
OUW 79-69
−7.5
3
vsSC
SCW 84-75
+9.5
7
vsMISS
MISSW 79-68
+1.5
over 14under 9avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri
24 games played
Straight up
17-7
71% wins
Against the spread
10-14
42% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-14
42% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HOW | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | vs SEMO | W 89-84 | -25.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 9 | vs VMI | W 106-68 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MINN | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 17 | vs PV | W 91-73 | -35.5 | L −17.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs SDAK | W 102-68 | -24.5 | W +9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs SCST | W 98-66 | -34.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLE | W 86-59 | -31.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | @ ND | L 71-76 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs KU | L 60-80 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 11 | vs ALST | W 85-77 | -26.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | vs BCU | W 82-60 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs ILL | L 48-91 | +8.5 | L −34.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | vs FLA | W 76-74 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 7 | @UK | W 73-68 | +12.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @MISS | L 69-76 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | vsAUB | W 84-74 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | @ LSU | L 70-78 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 20 | vsUGA | L 72-74 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 163.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 24 | vsOU | W 88-87 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 27 | @ALA | L 64-90 | +10.5 | L −15.5 | 167.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 31 | vsMSST | W 84-79 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 7 | @SC | W 78-59 | -3.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 11 | @TA&M | W 86-85 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
−20.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+14.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
+15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−17.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
+9.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
−2.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−4.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
−6.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−14.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
−18.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
+1.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−34.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
+9.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
+17.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
−5.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+11.5
17
@LSU
LSUL 70-78
−6.5
20
vsUGA
UGAL 72-74
−3.5
24
vsOU
OUW 88-87
−3.5
27
@ALA
ALAL 64-90
−15.5
31
vsMSST
MSSTW 84-79
−1.5
7
@SC
SCW 78-59
+15.5
11
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-85
+8.5
covered 10didn’t cover 14avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
+15.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+12.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
−15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−2.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
−1.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
+3.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−25.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
+0.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−10.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
+6.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
−4.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−14.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
−4.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
−9.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
+1.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+4.5
17
@LSU
LSUL 70-78
−0.5
20
vsUGA
UGAL 72-74
−17.5
24
vsOU
OUW 88-87
+23.5
27
@ALA
ALAL 64-90
−13.5
31
vsMSST
MSSTW 84-79
+16.5
7
@SC
SCW 78-59
−10.5
11
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-85
+10.5
over 10under 14avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas
14-9 overall · 6-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ole Miss79–68
- Wvs South Carolina84–75
- W@ Oklahoma79–69
- L@ Auburn82–88
- Wvs Georgia87–67
A week or more of rest.
Missouri
17-7 overall · 7-4 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Texas A&M86–85
- W@ South Carolina78–59
- Wvs Mississippi St84–79
- L@ Alabama64–90
- Wvs Oklahoma88–87
3 days since their last game.