Reed Arena · at Texas A&M · Conference game
Closing line
TA&M -7.5✓ MIZ covered by 8.5
TA&M -7.5✓ MIZ covered by 8.5Closing total160.5Over by 10.5
 MIZ | This season | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| 16-7 | Record | 17-6 |
| 9-14 | ATS | 15-8 |
| 9-14 | O/U | 14-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MIZ 78–84 TA&M · ✗ TA&M (71%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ | 41 | 45 | 86 |
| TA&M | 46 | 39 | 85 |
1st half: MIZ 41, TA&M 46 (TA&M by 5). The model had TA&M by 3.6 and a total of 75.9 (actual 87).
Team stats
| MIZ | TA&M | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-65 54% | Field goals | 29-58 50% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 15-33 45% |
| 9-15 60% | Free throws | 12-15 80% |
| 39 16 off | Rebounds | 26 8 off |
| 21 | Assists | 20 |
| 5 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 56 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 38 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| T.O. Barrett F | 33 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 8-13 | 1-3 |
| Trent Pierce G | 33 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 10-15 | 3-6 |
| Jayden Stone G | 29 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-7 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. C | 20 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Robinson II G | 25 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Jacob Crews G | 22 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
Did not play: Trent Burns, Sebastian Mack, Luke Northweather, Jevon Porter, Nicholas Randall, Aaron Rowe, Annor Boateng
| TA&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylan Griffen G | 31 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 5-14 | 4-9 |
| Rashaun Agee F | 30 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Hill G | 29 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Jacari Lane G | 25 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Ruben Dominguez G | 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-7 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zach Clemence F | 23 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 8-10 | 3-4 |
| Pop Isaacs G | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Ali Dibba G | 13 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Josh Holloway G | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jamie Vinson F | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Federiko Federiko F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chris McDermott, Noah Shelby, Mackenzie Mgbako, Jeremiah Green
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTA&M -7.5
ModelTA&M -6.3
Model edgeMIZ +1.2
W MIZ covered
Total
Market160.5
Model162.4
Model edgeOver 1.9
W Over
Projected score
MIZ 78 · TA&M 84.4
MIZ 86 · TA&M 85
Win probability
TA&M 71%
1st half
Spread
TA&M -3.6
TA&M -5.0
Total
75.9
87 points
Projected score
MIZ 36.1 · TA&M 39.8
MIZ 41 · TA&M 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTA&M -6.5
1 → TA&M
CloseTA&M -7.5
1 pt toward TA&M
Total
Open157.5
▲ 3
Close160.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MIZ +245 · TA&M -305
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TA&M -6.5 · closed TA&M -7.5 · moved 1 toward TA&Mmodel TA&M -6.5
model TA&M -6.5
Opened 157.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 3 upmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| TA&M | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
MIZ 1–6 TA&MTA&M leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · TA&M has won the last 5 meetings · MIZ 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | TA&M 67 @ MIZ 64 | MIZ -4.5 | TA&M W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | TA&M 79 @ MIZ 60 | MIZ +5.5 | TA&M W |
| Jan 23, 2023-24 | MIZ 57 @ TA&M 63 | TA&M -10.5 | MIZ W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | TA&M 69 @ MIZ 60 | MIZ -5.5 | TA&M W |
| Jan 11, 2022-23 | MIZ 64 @ TA&M 82 | TA&M -4.5 | TA&M W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Missouri
23 games played
Straight up
16-7
70% wins
Against the spread
9-14
39% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-14
39% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HOW | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | vs SEMO | W 89-84 | -25.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 9 | vs VMI | W 106-68 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MINN | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 17 | vs PV | W 91-73 | -35.5 | L −17.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs SDAK | W 102-68 | -24.5 | W +9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs SCST | W 98-66 | -34.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLE | W 86-59 | -31.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | @ ND | L 71-76 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs KU | L 60-80 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 11 | vs ALST | W 85-77 | -26.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | vs BCU | W 82-60 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs ILL | L 48-91 | +8.5 | L −34.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | vs FLA | W 76-74 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 7 | @ UK | W 73-68 | +12.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @ MISS | L 69-76 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs AUB | W 84-74 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | @ LSU | L 70-78 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 20 | vs UGA | L 72-74 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 163.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 24 | vs OU | W 88-87 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 27 | @ ALA | L 64-90 | +10.5 | L −15.5 | 167.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 31 | vs MSST | W 84-79 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 7 | @ SC | W 78-59 | -3.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
−20.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+14.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
+15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−17.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
+9.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
−2.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−4.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
−6.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−14.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
−18.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
+1.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−34.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
+9.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
+17.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
−5.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+11.5
17
@LSU
LSUL 70-78
−6.5
20
vsUGA
UGAL 72-74
−3.5
24
vsOU
OUW 88-87
−3.5
27
@ALA
ALAL 64-90
−15.5
31
vsMSST
MSSTW 84-79
−1.5
7
@SC
SCW 78-59
+15.5
covered 9didn’t cover 14avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
+15.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+12.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
−15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−2.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
−1.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
+3.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−25.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
+0.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−10.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
+6.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
−4.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−14.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
−4.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
−9.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
+1.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+4.5
17
@LSU
LSUL 70-78
−0.5
20
vsUGA
UGAL 72-74
−17.5
24
vsOU
OUW 88-87
+23.5
27
@ALA
ALAL 64-90
−13.5
31
vsMSST
MSSTW 84-79
+16.5
7
@SC
SCW 78-59
−10.5
over 9under 14avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas A&M
23 games played
Straight up
17-6
74% wins
Against the spread
15-8
65% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-9
61% overs · avg +4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NWST | W 98-68 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 6 | vs TXSO | W 104-70 | -29.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 9 | @ OKST | L 63-87 | -2.5 | L −26.5 | 174.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs UCF | L 74-86 | -10.5 | L −22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 18 | vs MONT | W 86-81 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs MAN | W 109-68 | -23.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 25 | vs MVSU | W 120-84 | -42.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 28 | vs FSU | W 95-59 | +1.5 | W +37.5 | 174.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 2 | @ PITT | W 81-73 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs SMU | L 80-93 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 14 | vs JAX | W 112-75 | -26.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 21 | vs ETAM | W 118-77 | -28.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 29 | vsPV | W 111-82 | -29.5 | L −0.5 | 177.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 3 | vsLSU | W 75-72 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 168.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 6 | @AUB | W 90-88 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vsOU | W 83-76 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 13 | @ TENN | L 82-87 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | @ TEX | W 74-70 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | vsMSST | W 88-68 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 24 | vsSC | W 92-69 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 31 | @UGA | W 92-77 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 173.5 | U 169 |
| Feb 4 | @ALA | L 97-100 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 180.5 | O 197 |
| Feb 7 | vsFLA | L 67-86 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 167.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNWST
NWSTW 98-68
+8.5
6
vsTXSO
TXSOW 104-70
+4.5
9
@OKST
OKSTL 63-87
−26.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 74-86
−22.5
18
vsMONT
MONTW 86-81
−12.5
21
vsMAN
MANW 109-68
+17.5
25
vsMVSU
MVSUW 120-84
−6.5
28
vsFSU
FSUW 95-59
+37.5
2
@PITT
PITTW 81-73
+4.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 80-93
−14.5
14
vsJAX
JAXW 112-75
+10.5
21
vsETAM
ETAMW 118-77
+12.5
29
vsPV
PVW 111-82
−0.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 75-72
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBW 90-88
+8.5
10
vsOU
OUW 83-76
+2.5
13
@TENN
TENNL 82-87
+6.5
17
@TEX
TEXW 74-70
+8.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 88-68
+11.5
24
vsSC
SCW 92-69
+12.5
31
@UGA
UGAW 92-77
+19.5
4
@ALA
ALAL 97-100
+5.5
7
vsFLA
FLAL 67-86
−13.5
covered 15didn’t cover 8avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNWST
NWSTW 98-68
+12.5
6
vsTXSO
TXSOW 104-70
+12.5
9
@OKST
OKSTL 63-87
−24.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 74-86
−12.5
18
vsMONT
MONTW 86-81
+2.5
21
vsMAN
MANW 109-68
+14.5
25
vsMVSU
MVSUW 120-84
+49.5
28
vsFSU
FSUW 95-59
−20.5
2
@PITT
PITTW 81-73
+1.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 80-93
+8.5
14
vsJAX
JAXW 112-75
+39.5
21
vsETAM
ETAMW 118-77
+28.5
29
vsPV
PVW 111-82
+15.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 75-72
−21.5
6
@AUB
AUBW 90-88
+9.5
10
vsOU
OUW 83-76
−6.5
13
@TENN
TENNL 82-87
+9.5
17
@TEX
TEXW 74-70
−22.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 88-68
−7.5
24
vsSC
SCW 92-69
+5.5
31
@UGA
UGAW 92-77
−4.5
4
@ALA
ALAL 97-100
+16.5
7
vsFLA
FLAL 67-86
−14.5
over 14under 9avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Missouri
16-7 overall · 6-4 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ South Carolina78–59
- Wvs Mississippi St84–79
- L@ Alabama64–90
- Wvs Oklahoma88–87
- Lvs Georgia72–74
4 days since their last game.
Texas A&M
17-6 overall · 7-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Florida67–86
- L@ Alabama97–100
- W@ Georgia92–77
- Wvs South Carolina92–69
- Wvs Mississippi St88–68
4 days since their last game.