When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
18 games · 2025 · Pittsburgh Steelers · pick one to list those games
50% went over. Of the 9 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 11% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 11% of games.
All 18 games
2025 · Pittsburgh Steelers · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
HOU -3 | 38.5 | 3131336 | U | HOU Q4 | 30–6 |
2025 · Week 18 |
BAL -4.5 | 41.5 | 7132350 | Q4 | PIT Q3 Late over Lead lost |
24–26 |
2025 · Week 17 |
PIT -3.5 | 34.5 | 10161619 | U | CLE Q1 | 6–13 |
2025 · Week 16 |
DET -7.5 | 52.5 | 3202253 | Q4 | PIT Q1 Late over |
29–24 |
2025 · Week 15 |
PIT -3 | 43.5 | 0102443 | U | PIT Q2 | 15–28 |
2025 · Week 14 |
BAL -5.5 | 43.5 | 10264349 | Q4 | PIT Q1 | 27–22 |
2025 · Week 13 |
BUF -3 | 44.5 | 0102333 | U | BUF Q3 | 26–7 |
2025 · Week 12 |
CHI -2.5 | 47.5 | 14384559 | Q4 | CHI Q3 | 28–31 |
2025 · Week 11 |
PIT -5.5 | 47.5 | 13162946 | U | PIT Q3 | 12–34 |
2025 · Week 10 |
LAC -3.5 | 45.5 | 5151835 | U | LAC Q2 | 10–25 |
2025 · Week 9 |
IND -3.5 | 51.5 | 7242447 | U | PIT Q2 | 20–27 |
2025 · Week 8 |
GB -2.5 | 45.5 | 10233360 | Q4 | GB Q4 | 35–25 |
2025 · Week 7 |
PIT -5.5 | 44.5 | 7273764 | Q4 | CIN Q2 | 31–33 |
2025 · Week 6 |
PIT -6.5 | 37.5 | 3122232 | U | PIT Q3 | 9–23 |
2025 · Week 4 |
MIN -2.5 | 41.5 | 10202745 | Q4 | PIT Q1 Late over |
21–24 |
2025 · Week 3 |
PIT -1.5 | 44.5 | 7212135 | U | PIT Q1 Late cover flip |
21–14 |
2025 · Week 2 |
PIT -3.5 | 40.5 | 13212848 | Q4 | SEA Q3 | 31–17 |
2025 · Week 1 |
PIT -2.5 | 38.5 | 16364366 | Q3 | NYJ Q1 Lead lost |
34–32 |
HOU
PIT
BAL
CLE
DET
MIA
BUF
CHI
CIN
LAC
IND
GB
MIN
NE
SEA
NYJWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 33% 6
Q2 22% 4
Q3 33% 6
Q4 11% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 65% and covered 71% of 17 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 94% of 17 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 1–3 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 18–21 | 4 | 25% 1 |
| 22+ | 6 | 17% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.