When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
18 games · 2025 · Los Angeles Chargers · pick one to list those games
39% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 14% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 17% of games.
All 18 games
2025 · Los Angeles Chargers · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
NE -3.5 | 45.5 | 091219 | U | NE Q3 | 3–16 |
2025 · Week 18 |
DEN -15.5 | 37.5 | 10131622 | U | DEN Q4 Late cover flip |
3–19 |
2025 · Week 17 |
LAC -1.5 | 40.5 | 14172736 | U | HOU Q1 | 20–16 |
2025 · Week 16 |
DAL -1.5 | 50.5 | 14384151 | Q4 | LAC Q1 Late over |
34–17 |
2025 · Week 15 |
KC -5.5 | 41.5 | 10232929 | U | LAC Q1 | 16–13 |
2025 · Week 14 |
PHI -1.5 | 41.5 | 1016223841 | U | LAC Q1 | 19–22 |
2025 · Week 13 |
LAC -9.5 | 40.5 | 7142845 | Q4 | LAC Q3 Late over |
14–31 |
2025 · Week 11 |
LAC -2.5 | 42.5 | 10202741 | U | JAX Q1 | 6–35 |
2025 · Week 10 |
LAC -3.5 | 45.5 | 5151835 | U | LAC Q2 | 10–25 |
2025 · Week 9 |
LAC -9.5 | 44.5 | 21373747 | Q4 | TEN Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
27–20 |
2025 · Week 8 |
LAC -3.5 | 44.5 | 7243447 | Q4 | LAC Q1 Late over |
10–37 |
2025 · Week 7 |
LAC -2.5 | 48.5 | 9265562 | Q3 | IND Q1 | 38–24 |
2025 · Week 6 |
LAC -3.5 | 45.5 | 13223656 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late cover flip |
29–27 |
2025 · Week 5 |
LAC -3.5 | 48.5 | 10203037 | U | WSH Q2 | 27–10 |
2025 · Week 4 |
LAC -5.5 | 43.5 | 7233939 | U | NYG Q1 | 18–21 |
2025 · Week 3 |
LAC -2.5 | 45.5 | 3173043 | U | LAC Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
20–23 |
2025 · Week 2 |
LAC -3.5 | 46.5 | 13232629 | U | LAC Q1 | 20–9 |
2025 · Week 1 |
KC -3.5 | 47.5 | 7193248 | Q4 | LAC Q1 Late over |
21–27 |
LAC
NE
DEN
HOU
DAL
KC
PHI
LV
JAX
PIT
TEN
MIN
IND
MIA
WSH
NYGWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 61% 11
Q2 11% 2
Q3 11% 2
Q4 17% 3
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 88% and covered 88% of 16 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 94% and covered 83% of 18 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 8–10 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 11–14 | 4 | 50% 2 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.