SECPower #565-8 SU7-5 ATS7-6 O/U
Mississippi State went 5-8 straight up, 7-5 against the spread (58% covers, average cover margin -2.1 points), 7-6 on over/unders in 2025, including 2-1 ATS as a favorite and 5-4 ATS as an underdog.
Last 5 (result · ATS · O/U):WWO·LLO·LLO·LLU·LLO
Season at a glance5-8 SU · 7-5 ATS
Straight up
5-8
38% wins
Power rating
+3.6 #56
SOS +5.0
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers
Avg cover margin
-2.1
points vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs
Points for / against
30.4 / 30.2
per game
Mississippi State 2025 schedule, lines & results
13 played · 0 to go
| Week | Date | Opponent | Line | Total | Result | ATS | O/U | Game details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 |  @ Southern Miss non-conf |
-15.5 | 59.5 | W 34-17 | W +1.5 | U | |
| 2 | Sep 6 |  Arizona State non-conf |
+5.5 | 58.5 | W 24-20 | W +9.5 | U | |
| 3 | Sep 13 |  Alcorn State non-conf |
— | 54.5 | W 63-0 | — | O Q4 | |
| 4 | Sep 20 |  Northern Illinois non-conf |
-24.5 | 48.5 | W 38-10 | W +3.5 | U | |
| 5 | Sep 27 |  Tennessee |
+7.5 | 63.5 | L 34-41 | W +0.5 | O Q4 | |
| 6 | Oct 4 |  @ Texas A&M |
+17.5 | 57.5 | L 9-31 | L -4.5 | U | |
| 8 | Oct 18 |  @ Florida |
+9.5 | 51.5 | L 21-23 | W +7.5 | U | |
| 9 | Oct 25 |  Texas |
+8.5 | 49.5 | L 38-45 | W +1.5 | O Q4 | |
| 10 | Nov 1 |  @ Arkansas |
+5.5 | 66.5 | W 38-35 | W +8.5 | O Q4 | |
| 11 | Nov 8 |  Georgia |
+9.5 | 56.5 | L 21-41 | L -10.5 | O Q4 | |
| 12 | Nov 15 |  @ Missouri |
+7.5 | 50.5 | L 27-49 | L -14.5 | O Q3 | |
| 14 | Nov 28 |  Ole Miss |
+7.5 | 62.5 | L 19-38 | L -11.5 | U | |
| Post | Jan 2 |  vs Wake Forest (N) non-conf |
-3 | 52.5 | L 29-43 | L -17 | O Q4 |
Mississippi State 2025 ATS and over/under splits
Home, away, favorite, underdog and conference
| Situation | SU | ATS | Cover % | Avg margin | O/U | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 5-8 | 7-5 | 58% | -2.1 | 7-6 | 30.4 | 30.2 |
| Home | 3-4 | 4-2 | 67% | -1.2 | 4-3 | 33.9 | 27.9 |
| Away | 2-3 | 3-2 | 60% | -0.3 | 2-3 | 25.8 | 31.0 |
| Neutral site | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0% | -17.0 | 1-0 | 29.0 | 43.0 |
| As favorite | 2-1 | 2-1 | 67% | -4.0 | 1-2 | 33.7 | 23.3 |
| As underdog | 2-7 | 5-4 | 56% | -1.5 | 5-4 | 25.7 | 35.9 |
| Conference games | 1-7 | 4-4 | 50% | -2.9 | 5-3 | 25.9 | 37.9 |
| Non-conference games | 4-1 | 3-1 | 75% | -0.6 | 2-3 | 37.6 | 18.0 |
How Mississippi State’s 2025 games played out
Quarter the total was passed, when covers were settled, halftime leads
6 of 12 games went over · quarter the total was passed
Q3 8% 1
Q4 42% 5
Stayed under 50% 6
7 covers: 2 settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime
Led at halftime 4: won 3, covered 4
Trailed at halftime 7: won 1, covered 2
Research Mississippi State games by quarter ›