Atlantic Coast ConferencePower #4424-9 SU19-14 ATS16-17 O/U
North Carolina went 24-9 straight up, 19-14 against the spread (58% covers, average cover margin +0.7 points), 16-17 on over/unders in 2025-26, including 12-10 ATS as a favorite and 7-4 ATS as an underdog.
Last 5 (result · ATS · O/U):WLO·WWU·LWU·LWO·LLO
Cover margin by gameTotal margin by game
Points by which UNC beat (up) or missed (down) its closing linePoints the final score landed over (up) or under (down) the closing total
+8.5
CARK+10.5
KU−5.5
RAD+9.5
NCCU−14.5
NAVY+4.5
SBU−14.5
MSU+10.5
@UK+9.5
GTWN−11.5
UPST+1.5
ETSU−1.5
OSU+22.5
ECU+0.5
FSU−12.5
@SMU−7.5
WAKE−9.5
@STAN−13.5
@CAL+8.5
ND+11.5
@UVA+6.5
@GT−1.5
SYR+9.5
DUKE−7.5
@MIA+2.5
PITT−15.5
@NCSU+15.5@SYR+6.5
LOU−0.5
VT+1.5
CLEM+3.5@DUKE+1.5CLEM−6.5
VCU
CARK+10.5KU−5.5RAD+9.5NCCU−14.5NAVY+4.5SBU−14.5MSU+10.5@UK+9.5GTWN−11.5UPST+1.5ETSU−1.5OSU+22.5ECU+0.5FSU−12.5@SMU−7.5WAKE−9.5@STAN−13.5@CAL+8.5ND+11.5@UVA+6.5@GT−1.5SYR+9.5DUKE−7.5@MIA+2.5PITT−15.5@NCSU+15.5@SYR+6.5LOU−0.5VT+1.5CLEM+3.5@DUKE+1.5CLEM−6.5VCUcovered 19didn’t cover 14avg +0.7 ptstaller = bigger margin
−9.5CARK+1.5KU+0.5RAD−9.5NCCU−26.5NAVY+2.5SBU−20.5MSU−32.5@UK−7.5GTWN−9.5UPST−15.5ETSU−16.5OSU+5.5ECU−21.5FSU+24.5@SMU+16.5WAKE+37.5@STAN+10.5@CAL+10.5ND+12.5@UVA+5.5@GT+5.5SYR−13.5DUKE−15.5@MIA+1.5PITT−16.5@NCSU−13.5@SYR−11.5LOU+21.5VT−11.5CLEM−10.5@DUKE+18.5CLEM+9.5VCU
CARK+1.5KU+0.5RAD−9.5NCCU−26.5NAVY+2.5SBU−20.5MSU−32.5@UK−7.5GTWN−9.5UPST−15.5ETSU−16.5OSU+5.5ECU−21.5FSU+24.5@SMU+16.5WAKE+37.5@STAN+10.5@CAL+10.5ND+12.5@UVA+5.5@GT+5.5SYR−13.5DUKE−15.5@MIA+1.5PITT−16.5@NCSU−13.5@SYR−11.5LOU+21.5VT−11.5CLEM−10.5@DUKE+18.5CLEM+9.5VCUover 16under 17avg −2.3 ptstaller = bigger margin
Straight up
24-9
73% wins
Against the spread
19-14
58% covers
Avg cover margin
+0.7
points vs the line
Over / Under
16-17
48% overs
Points for / against
79.7 / 71.6
per game
North Carolina 2025-26 team stats
33 games · rank among 365 teams · a longer bar is a better rank
Scoring
Points per game79.7 #73
Points per possession1.16 #50
Pace (possessions)69.0 #180
Shooting
Effective FG%54.3 #57
3-point %34.2 #159
3-point attempt rate42.2 #132
Free throw rate37.1 #127
Possessions
Turnover rate13.9 #20
Offensive rebound rate31.2 #159
Assists per game16.0 #47
Defense
Points allowed71.6 #97
Points allowed per possession1.04 #65
Opponent effective FG%48.4 #44
Opponent 3-point %34.7 #234
Turnovers forced13.6 #344
Defensive rebound rate72.2 #59
Steals per game5.4 #308
Blocks per game3.4 #167
North Carolina 2025-26 schedule, lines & results
33 played · 0 to go
| Date | Opponent | Line | Total | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | C Arkansas non-conf | -31.5 | 157.5 | W 94-54 | W +8.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | #19Kansas non-conf | -2.5 | 159.5 | W 87-74 | W +10.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | Radford non-conf | -20.5 | 162.5 | W 89-74 | L -5.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 14 | NC Central non-conf | -34.5 | 159.5 | W 97-53 | W +9.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | Navy non-conf | -26.5 | 160.5 | W 73-61 | L -14.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 25 | St Bonaventure non-conf (N) | -10.5 | 152.5 | W 85-70 | W +4.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 27 | #11Michigan St non-conf (N) | +1.5 | 152.5 | L 58-74 | L -14.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | @ #18Kentucky non-conf | +7.5 | 163.5 | W 67-64 | W +10.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 7 | Georgetown non-conf | -10.5 | 149.5 | W 81-61 | W +9.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | SC Upstate non-conf | -29.5 | 151.5 | W 80-62 | L -11.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 16 | ETSU non-conf | -17.5 | 150.5 | W 77-58 | W +1.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | Ohio State non-conf (N) | -2.5 | 157.5 | W 71-70 | L -1.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 22 | East Carolina non-conf | -25.5 | 144.5 | W 99-51 | W +22.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 30 | Florida St | -12.5 | 166.5 | W 79-66 | W +0.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | @ SMU | +1.5 | 155.5 | L 83-97 | L -12.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | Wake Forest | -10.5 | 154.5 | W 87-84 | L -7.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | @ Stanford | -4.5 | 147.5 | L 90-95 | L -9.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 17 | @ California | -7.5 | 151.5 | L 78-84 | L -13.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 21 | Notre Dame | -13.5 | 149.5 | W 91-69 | W +8.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | @ #14Virginia | +6.5 | 152.5 | W 85-80 | W +11.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | @ Georgia Tech | -9.5 | 160.5 | W 91-75 | W +6.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 2 | Syracuse | -11.5 | 158.5 | W 87-77 | L -1.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | #4Duke | +6.5 | 152.5 | W 71-68 | W +9.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 10 | @ Miami | +1.5 | 156.5 | L 66-75 | L -7.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 14 | Pitt | -11.5 | 142.5 | W 79-65 | W +2.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 17 | @ NC State | +8.5 | 156.5 | L 58-82 | L -15.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 21 | @ Syracuse | +2.5 | 154.5 | W 77-64 | W +15.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 23 | #24Louisville | +3.5 | 162.5 | W 77-74 | W +6.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 28 | Virginia Tech | -7.5 | 149.5 | W 89-82 | L -0.5 | O 171 |
| Mar 3 | Clemson | -2.5 | 141.5 | W 67-63 | W +1.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 7 | @ #1Duke | +18.5 | 147.5 | L 61-76 | W +3.5 | U 137 |
| Mar 12 | Clemson (N) | +2.5 | 140.5 | L 79-80 | W +1.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 19 | #11VCU non-conf (N) | -2.5 | 150.5 | L 78-82 | L -6.5 | O 160 |
North Carolina 2025-26 ATS and over/under splits
Home, away, favorite, underdog and conference
| Situation | SU | ATS | Cover % | Avg margin | O/U | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 24-9 | 19-14 | 58% | +0.7 | 16-17 | 79.7 | 71.6 |
| Home | 18-0 | 12-6 | 67% | +2.8 | 8-10 | 83.6 | 66.4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-5 | 50% | -1.1 | 5-5 | 75.6 | 79.2 |
| Neutral site | 2-3 | 2-3 | 40% | -3.3 | 3-2 | 74.2 | 75.2 |
| As favorite | 19-3 | 12-10 | 55% | +0.6 | 13-9 | 84.0 | 69.5 |
| As underdog | 5-6 | 7-4 | 64% | +0.8 | 3-8 | 71.1 | 75.8 |
| In conference | 12-7 | 11-8 | 58% | -0.0 | 11-8 | 78.7 | 76.6 |
| Non-conference | 12-2 | 8-6 | 57% | +1.6 | 5-9 | 81.1 | 64.9 |
How North Carolina’s games played out
By the score at halftime
Led at halftime20 games · won 18 · covered 12
Trailed at halftime10 games · won 4 · covered 6
Tied at halftime3 games · won 2 · covered 1