Atlantic Coast ConferencePower #1424-11 SU16-19 ATS14-21 O/U
Louisville went 24-11 straight up, 16-19 against the spread (46% covers, average cover margin +0.2 points), 14-21 on over/unders in 2025-26, including 15-15 ATS as a favorite and 1-4 ATS as an underdog.
Last 5 (result · ATS · O/U):WWO·WLU·LLU·WWO·LLU
Cover margin by gameTotal margin by game
Points by which LOU beat (up) or missed (down) its closing linePoints the final score landed over (up) or under (down) the closing total
+23.5
SCST−2.5
JKST+2.5
UK−6.5
OHIO+1.5
CIN+7.5
EMU+12.5
NJIT−10.5
@ARK+5.5
IU+9.5
MEM−16.5
@TENN+9.5
MONT+12.5
@CAL−11.5
@STAN−9.5
DUKE−8.5
BC−13.5
UVA+33.5
@PITT−0.5
VT−22.5@DUKE+4.5
SMU−8.5
ND−1.5
@WAKE+34.5
NCSU+3.5
BAY−14.5@SMU−6.5
GT−6.5
@UNC−7.5
@CLEM+0.5
SYR+4.5
@MIA−3.5SMU−6.5MIA+0.5
USF−2.5
MSU
SCST−2.5JKST+2.5UK−6.5OHIO+1.5CIN+7.5EMU+12.5NJIT−10.5@ARK+5.5IU+9.5MEM−16.5@TENN+9.5MONT+12.5@CAL−11.5@STAN−9.5DUKE−8.5BC−13.5UVA+33.5@PITT−0.5VT−22.5@DUKE+4.5SMU−8.5ND−1.5@WAKE+34.5NCSU+3.5BAY−14.5@SMU−6.5GT−6.5@UNC−7.5@CLEM+0.5SYR+4.5@MIA−3.5SMU−6.5MIA+0.5USF−2.5MSUcovered 16didn’t cover 19avg +0.2 ptstaller = bigger margin
−10.5SCST+10.5JKST+10.5UK+12.5OHIO−25.5CIN−29.5EMU−7.5NJIT+2.5@ARK+2.5IU+9.5MEM−11.5@TENN−18.5MONT+0.5@CAL−1.5@STAN−4.5DUKE−13.5BC−5.5UVA+6.5@PITT−4.5VT−22.5@DUKE−1.5SMU−14.5ND+5.5@WAKE+33.5NCSU−9.5BAY+11.5@SMU−10.5GT−11.5@UNC+8.5@CLEM−20.5SYR+25.5@MIA−44.5SMU−2.5MIA+1.5USF−5.5MSU
SCST+10.5JKST+10.5UK+12.5OHIO−25.5CIN−29.5EMU−7.5NJIT+2.5@ARK+2.5IU+9.5MEM−11.5@TENN−18.5MONT+0.5@CAL−1.5@STAN−4.5DUKE−13.5BC−5.5UVA+6.5@PITT−4.5VT−22.5@DUKE−1.5SMU−14.5ND+5.5@WAKE+33.5NCSU−9.5BAY+11.5@SMU−10.5GT−11.5@UNC+8.5@CLEM−20.5SYR+25.5@MIA−44.5SMU−2.5MIA+1.5USF−5.5MSUover 14under 21avg −3.8 ptstaller = bigger margin
Straight up
24-11
69% wins
Against the spread
16-19
46% covers
Avg cover margin
+0.2
points vs the line
Over / Under
14-21
40% overs
Points for / against
84.3 / 72.5
per game
Louisville 2025-26 team stats
35 games · rank among 365 teams · a longer bar is a better rank
Scoring
Points per game84.2 #18
Points per possession1.18 #29
Pace (possessions)71.0 #77
Shooting
Effective FG%56.5 #14
3-point %36.0 #58
3-point attempt rate52.9 #4
Free throw rate33.1 #236
Possessions
Turnover rate16.8 #184
Offensive rebound rate32.8 #93
Assists per game17.1 #23
Defense
Points allowed72.5 #119
Points allowed per possession1.02 #49
Opponent effective FG%48.7 #54
Opponent 3-point %32.3 #76
Turnovers forced16.7 #172
Defensive rebound rate72.5 #50
Steals per game6.8 #148
Blocks per game3.3 #179
Louisville 2025-26 schedule, lines & results
35 played · 0 to go
| Date | Opponent | Line | Total | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | SC State non-conf | -35.5 | 159.5 | W 104-45 | W +23.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 6 | Jackson St non-conf | -38.5 | 165.5 | W 106-70 | L -2.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 11 | #9Kentucky non-conf | -5.5 | 173.5 | W 96-88 | W +2.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 15 | Ohio non-conf | -31.5 | 174.5 | W 106-81 | L -6.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 21 | Cincinnati non-conf (N) | -8.5 | 163.5 | W 74-64 | W +1.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | E Michigan non-conf | -33.5 | 162.5 | W 87-46 | W +7.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | NJIT non-conf | -44.5 | 158.5 | W 104-47 | W +12.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | @ #25Arkansas non-conf | -1.5 | 166.5 | L 80-89 | L -10.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | #22Indiana non-conf (N) | -3.5 | 162.5 | W 87-78 | W +5.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | Memphis non-conf | -16.5 | 162.5 | W 99-73 | W +9.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 16 | @ #20Tennessee non-conf | +4.5 | 156.5 | L 62-83 | L -16.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | Montana non-conf | -30.5 | 166.5 | W 94-54 | W +9.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 30 | @ California | -7.5 | 159.5 | W 90-70 | W +12.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 2 | @ Stanford | -7.5 | 157.5 | L 76-80 | L -11.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | #6Duke | +1.5 | 161.5 | L 73-84 | L -9.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 10 | Boston College | -21.5 | 150.5 | W 75-62 | L -8.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 13 | #16Virginia | -4.5 | 154.5 | L 70-79 | L -13.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | @ Pitt | -7.5 | 152.5 | W 100-59 | W +33.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | Virginia Tech | -14.5 | 160.5 | W 85-71 | L -0.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 26 | @ #4Duke | +8.5 | 157.5 | L 52-83 | L -22.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | SMU | -9.5 | 163.5 | W 88-74 | W +4.5 | U 162 |
| Feb 4 | Notre Dame | -19.5 | 155.5 | W 76-65 | L -8.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 7 | @ Wake Forest | -9.5 | 162.5 | W 88-80 | L -1.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 9 | NC State | -6.5 | 161.5 | W 118-77 | W +34.5 | O 195 |
| Feb 14 | Baylor non-conf (N) | -7.5 | 162.5 | W 82-71 | W +3.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 17 | @ SMU | -4.5 | 168.5 | L 85-95 | L -14.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 21 | Georgia Tech | -23.5 | 167.5 | W 87-70 | L -6.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 23 | @ #18North Carolina | -3.5 | 162.5 | L 74-77 | L -6.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 28 | @ Clemson | -2.5 | 146.5 | L 75-80 | L -7.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 3 | Syracuse | -14.5 | 159.5 | W 77-62 | W +0.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 7 | @ #22Miami | +1.5 | 155.5 | W 92-89 | W +4.5 | O 181 |
| Mar 11 | SMU (N) | -7.5 | 164.5 | W 62-58 | L -3.5 | U 120 |
| Mar 12 | Miami (N) | -1.5 | 153.5 | L 73-78 | L -6.5 | U 151 |
| Mar 19 | #11South Florida non-conf (N) | -3.5 | 160.5 | W 83-79 | W +0.5 | O 162 |
| Mar 21 | #3Michigan St non-conf (N) | +5.5 | 151.5 | L 69-77 | L -2.5 | U 146 |
Louisville 2025-26 ATS and over/under splits
Home, away, favorite, underdog and conference
| Situation | SU | ATS | Cover % | Avg margin | O/U | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 24-11 | 16-19 | 46% | +0.2 | 14-21 | 84.3 | 72.5 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-8 | 53% | +2.9 | 5-12 | 90.9 | 67.5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 | 27% | -3.7 | 7-4 | 79.5 | 80.5 |
| Neutral site | 5-2 | 4-3 | 57% | -0.2 | 2-5 | 75.7 | 72.1 |
| As favorite | 23-7 | 15-15 | 50% | +1.8 | 13-17 | 86.7 | 70.7 |
| As underdog | 1-4 | 1-4 | 20% | -9.3 | 1-4 | 69.6 | 83.2 |
| In conference | 12-8 | 6-14 | 30% | -1.6 | 7-13 | 80.8 | 74.7 |
| Non-conference | 12-3 | 10-5 | 67% | +2.5 | 7-8 | 88.9 | 69.7 |
How Louisville’s games played out
By the score at halftime
Led at halftime21 games · won 19 · covered 13
Trailed at halftime12 games · won 3 · covered 2
Tied at halftime2 games · won 2 · covered 1