1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 11
  3. PEPP @ SHSU
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 11

Pepperdine Waves at Sam Houston Bearkats

Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum · at Sam Houston
#172PEPPPepperdine
@
#189SHSUSam Houston
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
PEPPThis seasonSHSU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SHSU 79–76 · win probability SHSU 59%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 154.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SHSU has more of the edges

PEPP 2, SHSU 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SHSUBig
Three-pointers
PEPP hits 31.4% and allows 35.5%; SHSU hits 37.2% and allows 32.5%. Threes are 39.2% and 35.8% of their shots
SHSUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PEPP 29.1%, SHSU 35.9%. Defensive: PEPP 66.0%, SHSU 69.9%
SHSUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: PEPP 47.6 and allows 54.2; SHSU 52.5 and allows 51.4
PEPPSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: PEPP 33.9, SHSU 34.4. Allowed: PEPP 28.5, SHSU 36.7
PEPPSmall
PEPP offense vs SHSU defense
Offense 139th of 366 against a defense 228th, on the model’s ratings
SHSUSmall
SHSU offense vs PEPP defense
Offense 154th of 366 against a defense 216th, on the model’s ratings
SHSUSmall
Home court
SHSU at home. This season: SHSU 0-0 at home, PEPP 0-0 away
SHSUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PEPP 5%, SHSU 29%. Transfers in: PEPP 7, SHSU 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: PEPP 18.3%, SHSU 16.8%. Forced: PEPP 16.5%, SHSU 16.1%
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: PEPP plays 70.0 a game (117th fastest), SHSU 70.7 (88th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
PEPP has played the 128th-hardest schedule, SHSU the 138th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SHSU -2.7—
Total—154.7—
Projected score—PEPP 76 · SHSU 78.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSHSU -1.5—
1H total72.3—
1H projected scorePEPP 35.4 · SHSU 36.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Pepperdine has the better starters

Position by position: Pepperdine 1, Sam Houston 0, even 4
PepperdineBetterSam Houston
G J. Williamson TR10.4 pts · 2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 58
PEPPBig
G J. Begg10 pts · 2.6 reb · 3.5 ast Score 17
G W. McClendon TR13.7 pts · 3 reb · 1.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Coleman8.3 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.3 ast Score 41
F P. Majstorovic TR14.4 pts · 6.3 reb · 1.8 ast Score 78
Even
F E. St. Bernard TR5.6 pts · 5.3 reb · 0.9 ast Score 78
F Y. Fritz TR9.8 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.5 ast Score 58
Even
F M. Dann2.8 pts · 2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 58
F E. Meuser TR6.1 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.3 ast Score 39
No call
F R. Greppi TR0 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
PepperdineBetterSam Houston
PEPP offense139th of 366 · -4.2
PEPPSmall
SHSU defense228th of 366 · -6.1
PEPP defense216th of 366 · -5.6
SHSUSmall
SHSU offense154th of 366 · -4.7
Backcourt+1.6 · 2 players
PEPPBig
Backcourt-3.6 · 2 players
Frontcourt+1.2 · 3 players
Even
Frontcourt+1.0 · 3 players
Bench-1.6 · 3 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestPEPP betterSHSU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Pepperdine
Guards
J. Williamson26 min · TRW. McClendon25 min · TRE. Haywood19 min · TRD. Mager10 minA. BalianNewC. ChouNew
Forwards
P. Majstorovic32 min · TRY. Fritz26 min · TRE. Meuser21 min · TRA. Robinson10 min · TRA. ConstanzaNewF. BiberovicNew
Sam Houston
Guards
J. Begg27 minJ. Coleman22 minZ. PipkinNewA. McDowellNewN. NguyenNewK. PartainNew
Forwards
E. St. Bernard18 min · TRM. Dann9 minR. Greppi1 min · TRC. Sadibou NdiayeNewY. OkeNewA. LoustauNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
PEPPSHSU
Scoring
70.4 #277Points per game80.0 #67
1.00 #320Points per possession1.13 #78
70.0 #117Pace (possessions)70.7 #88
Shooting
47.6 #323Effective FG%52.5 #128
31.4 #3103-point %37.2 #24
39.2 #1873-point attempt rate35.8 #253
33.9 #216Free throw rate34.4 #199
Possessions
18.3 #288Turnover rate16.8 #186
29.1 #234Offensive rebound rate35.9 #25
13.6 #176Assists per game14.9 #95
Defense
79.7 #311Points allowed76.9 #237
1.14 #303Points allowed per possession1.09 #191
54.2 #306Opponent effective FG%51.4 #180
35.5 #276Opponent 3-point %32.5 #89
16.5 #184Turnovers forced16.1 #220
66.0 #318Defensive rebound rate69.9 #168
5.9 #246Steals per game7.0 #128
2.8 #269Blocks per game2.6 #288
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Pepperdine

7-23 in 2025-26 overall · 4-15 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Portland68–77
  • Wvs Washington St88–79
  • Lvs Seattle U80–87
  • L@ Oregon St73–83
  • W@ Portland95–87

A week or more of rest.

Sam Houston

19-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-8 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ New Mexico83–107
  • Lvs Kennesaw St73–79
  • Wvs New Mexico St69–61
  • L@ Liberty72–79
  • L@ Delaware80–83

A week or more of rest.