1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 30
  3. WSU @ MUR
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 30

Washington State Cougars at Murray State Racers

CFSB Center · at Murray St
#139WSUWashington St
@
#132MURMurray St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
WSUThis seasonMUR
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects MUR 80–76 · win probability MUR 64%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 156.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: MUR has more of the edges

WSU 2, MUR 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MURBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: WSU 30.2, MUR 38.6. Allowed: WSU 33.0, MUR 32.2
MURBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WSU 18.5%, MUR 16.4%. Forced: WSU 14.5%, MUR 15.7%
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: WSU plays 68.9 a game (183rd fastest), MUR 72.3 (30th). Faster games mean more points
WSUSmall
WSU offense vs MUR defense
Offense 130th of 366 against a defense 197th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
WSU has played the 100th-hardest schedule, MUR the 165th. A record against a soft schedule means less
WSUSmall
Three-pointers
WSU hits 36.5% and allows 35.4%; MUR hits 35.0% and allows 36.2%. Threes are 44.8% and 44.8% of their shots
MURSmall
MUR offense vs WSU defense
Offense 110th of 366 against a defense 166th, on the model’s ratings
MURSmall
Home court
MUR at home. This season: MUR 0-0 at home, WSU 0-0 away
MURSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WSU 1%, MUR 28%. Transfers in: WSU 8, MUR 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WSU 29.5%, MUR 32.6%. Defensive: WSU 71.8%, MUR 68.7%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: WSU 54.7 and allows 52.6; MUR 53.8 and allows 52.4
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—MUR -4.2—
Total—156.2—
Projected score—WSU 76 · MUR 80.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadMUR -2.4—
1H total73.0—
1H projected scoreWSU 35.3 · MUR 37.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Murray St has the better starters

Position by position: Washington St 1, Murray St 2, even 2
Washington StBetterMurray St
G S. Akins TR5.3 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 57
Even
G C. Jones TR10 pts · 3 reb · 3.1 ast Score 61
F F. Roxburgh TR10.9 pts · 5.7 reb · 1.1 ast Score 21
MURBig
G R. Domon14.2 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.6 ast Score 95
F R. Harrison TR14.2 pts · 6.2 reb · 1.8 ast Score 67
WSUBig
G M. Courbon4.6 pts · 2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 31
F L. Dembele TR5.2 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.4 ast Not ranked
No call
F S. Tupuola TR6.3 pts · 5.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 55
F T. Kropp TR3.1 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.3 ast Score 48
MURSmall
F B. Rogers TR6.7 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.7 ast Score 67
Washington StBetterMurray St
WSU offense130th of 366 · -3.5
WSUSmall
MUR defense197th of 366 · -4.8
WSU defense166th of 366 · -3.7
MURSmall
MUR offense110th of 366 · -1.8
Backcourt-0.2 · 1 player
MURSmall
Backcourt+2.2 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.6 · 4 players
MURBig
Frontcourt+0.4 · 2 players
Bench-0.5 · 4 players
Even
Bench-1.0 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestWSU betterMUR betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Washington St
Guards
S. Akins15 min · TRJ. Phillips11 min · TRJ. Harrell9 min · TRR. Jones7 min · TRD. Blakely1 minC. JonesNew
Forwards
F. Roxburgh31 min · TRR. Harrison31 min · TRL. Dembele20 min · TRT. Kropp12 min · TRM. SankheNewB. KymanNew
Murray St
Guards
C. Jones26 min · TRR. Domon25 minM. Courbon16 minB. Shorter15 minK. Magwood11 min · TRB. ShtolzbergNew
Forwards
S. Tupuola25 min · TRB. Rogers18 min · TRP. NikolicNewJ. BoulefaaNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WSUMUR
Scoring
75.7 #152Points per game83.1 #26
1.10 #136Points per possession1.15 #56
68.9 #183Pace (possessions)72.3 #30
Shooting
54.7 #48Effective FG%53.8 #70
36.5 #403-point %35.0 #120
44.8 #733-point attempt rate44.8 #72
30.2 #305Free throw rate38.6 #86
Possessions
18.5 #295Turnover rate16.4 #160
29.5 #221Offensive rebound rate32.6 #100
13.8 #163Assists per game13.7 #165
Defense
77.3 #245Points allowed80.2 #323
1.12 #266Points allowed per possession1.11 #233
52.6 #248Opponent effective FG%52.4 #236
35.4 #273Opponent 3-point %36.2 #310
14.5 #322Turnovers forced15.7 #234
71.8 #71Defensive rebound rate68.7 #214
5.5 #299Steals per game5.9 #248
2.9 #242Blocks per game4.1 #69
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Washington St

11-20 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Pac-12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Portland68–74
  • L@ Pepperdine79–88
  • L@ LMU66–67
  • Lvs Saint Mary's67–83
  • Wvs Pacific87–70

A week or more of rest.

Murray St

20-13 in 2025-26 overall · 12-9 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Nevada75–89
  • Lvs UIC79–92
  • L@ Bradley78–87
  • Wvs Evansville88–75
  • L@ Illinois St61–78

A week or more of rest.