1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 2
  3. LAS @ HOU
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 2

La Salle Explorers at Houston Cougars

Fertitta Center · at Houston
#124LASLa Salle
@
#2HOUHouston AP #10
LineHOU -29.5moved 2 toward HOU
Total137.5down 3 from 140.5
LASThis seasonHOU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HOU 87–55 · win probability HOU 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
HOU -29.5
moved 2 toward HOU
Total
137.5
model 141.7 · Over by 4
Model edge
HOU by 2.5
model vs market
Public on the spread
95% LAS
82% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HOU has more of the edges

LAS 2, HOU 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
HOUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: LAS 45.4 and allows 55.0; HOU 51.9 and allows 46.2
HOUBig
Three-pointers
LAS hits 30.0% and allows 36.5%; HOU hits 34.7% and allows 31.6%. Threes are 31.5% and 40.7% of their shots
LASBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: LAS 37.5, HOU 26.3. Allowed: LAS 31.5, HOU 38.7
HOUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: LAS 18.2%, HOU 12.8%. Forced: LAS 17.2%, HOU 20.7%
HOUBig
LAS offense vs HOU defense
Offense 157th of 366 against a defense 1st, on the model’s ratings
HOUSmall
HOU offense vs LAS defense
Offense 10th of 366 against a defense 111th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
LAS has played the 92nd-hardest schedule, HOU the 17th. A record against a soft schedule means less
HOUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LAS 33.7%, HOU 35.7%. Defensive: LAS 67.7%, HOU 69.7%
LASSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LAS 56%, HOU 26%. Transfers in: LAS 5, HOU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
HOUSmall
Home court
HOU at home. This season: HOU 0-0 at home, LAS 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: LAS plays 66.4 a game (300th fastest), HOU 65.0 (346th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

How games like this went

Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
SituationGamesFavorite wonFavorite coveredWent over
Home favorites of 20 or more116599%50%52%
Non-conference games at this spread109099%50%52%
Lines that moved 1+ toward the favorite676375%50%51%
Games with a total of 135 to 139.5260771%49%50%
A bet at standard prices needs 52.4% to break even, and most situations sit near 50%. Past rates, not a prediction.

Market

Open → current
Spread
2 pts toward HOU
Total
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
LAS +5000 · HOU -100000
Line movement
Median of 8 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened HOU -27.5 · now HOU -29.5 · moved 2 toward HOUmodel HOU -32
Opened 140.5 · now 137.5 · moved 3 downmodel 141.5
Openline modelNow

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
LAS +29.5SpreadHOU -29.5
Bets
Money
Money is 13 pts ahead of bets on HOU -29.5
Over 137.5TotalUnder 137.5
Bets
Money
Money is 18 pts ahead of bets on Under 137.5
Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read . ⓘ

Books

8 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
LASHOUOverUnderLASHOU
BetMGMMGM-29.5-105+29.5-115137.5-115137.5-105+3300-10000
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag-29.5-110+29.5-110137-110137-110——
BetRiversBetRivers-29.5-112+29.5-112138.5-112138.5-112——
BetUSBetUS-29.5-110+29.5-110137-110137-110——
BovadaBovada-30-115+30-105137.5-120137.5+100——
DraftKingsDK-29.5-105+29.5-115137.5-112137.5-108+5000-100000
FanDuelFD-28.5-104+28.5-118138.5-110138.5-110+6500-100000
LowVig.agLowVig.ag-29.5-106+29.5-106137-108137-108——
Prices from The Odds API, updated 5:30 AM ET. Green = best price in the column.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
SpreadHOU -29.5HOU -32.1HOU +2.6
Total137.5141.7Over 4.2
Projected score—LAS 54.8 · HOU 86.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadHOU -18.9—
1H total66.3—
1H projected scoreLAS 23.7 · HOU 42.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Houston has the better starters

Position by position: La Salle 0, Houston 4, even 1
La SalleBetterHouston
G J. Johnson6.3 pts · 2.4 reb · 4.1 ast Score 29
HOUBig
G C. Hadnot TR20.6 pts · 3.7 reb · 3.6 ast Score 95
G R. Dockery12.5 pts · 6.2 reb · 2.3 ast Score 91
Even
G D. Thomas TR15.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 6.5 ast Score 99
F J. Brewer11.3 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 75
HOUSmall
F D. Gillespie TR17.9 pts · 11.4 reb · 1.8 ast Score 94
F V. Zanki TR8.1 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 46
HOUBig
F B. East TR12.8 pts · 9.3 reb · 0.7 ast Score 92
F A. Finkley TR5.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.7 ast Score 19
HOUBig
F J. Tugler8.4 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 96
La SalleBetterHouston
LAS offense157th of 366 · -4.7
HOUBig
HOU defense1st of 366 · +13.2
LAS defense111th of 366 · -1.3
HOUSmall
HOU offense10th of 366 · +10.1
Backcourt+0.4 · 2 players
HOUBig
Backcourt+10.0 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.6 · 3 players
HOUBig
Frontcourt+11.5 · 3 players
Bench-3.6 · 5 players
HOUBig
Bench+3.6 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestLAS betterHOU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
La Salle
Guards
J. Johnson30 minR. Dockery27 minK. Burton19 min · TRD. Booker8 min · TRA. Masharaliyev1 minT. MossNew
Forwards
J. Brewer27 minV. Zanki21 min · TRA. Finkley19 min · TRN. Collier14 minE. Rink12 min · TRB. Beatty10 min
Houston
Guards
C. Hadnot35 min · TRD. Thomas29 min · TRC. Weaver21 min · TRM. Miller12 minK. Jefferson4 minB. JacksonNew
Forwards
D. Gillespie33 min · TRB. East24 min · TRJ. Tugler24 minC. McCarty12 min
Centers
A. DianeNewD. SilimanaNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
LASHOU
Scoring
66.8 #336Points per game76.9 #119
1.00 #322Points per possession1.18 #36
66.4 #300Pace (possessions)65.0 #346
Shooting
45.4 #357Effective FG%51.9 #150
30.0 #3423-point %34.7 #134
31.5 #3333-point attempt rate40.7 #153
37.5 #113Free throw rate26.3 #355
Possessions
18.2 #281Turnover rate12.8 #3
33.7 #75Offensive rebound rate35.7 #32
12.9 #221Assists per game14.6 #111
Defense
75.0 #186Points allowed62.3 #1
1.13 #293Points allowed per possession0.96 #5
55.0 #329Opponent effective FG%46.2 #12
36.5 #324Opponent 3-point %31.6 #49
17.2 #136Turnovers forced20.7 #14
67.7 #274Defensive rebound rate69.7 #173
6.7 #155Steals per game7.5 #75
2.6 #295Blocks per game3.8 #96
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

La Salle

8-23 in 2025-26 overall · 5-14 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs St Bonaventure80–99
  • L@ Saint Joseph's76–88
  • Wvs Fordham87–84
  • L@ Davidson64–71
  • Lvs G Washington77–104

A week or more of rest.

Houston

30-7 in 2025-26 overall · 16-5 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Illinois55–65
  • Wvs Texas A&M88–57
  • Wvs Idaho78–47
  • Lvs Arizona74–79
  • Wvs Kansas69–47

A week or more of rest.