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NCAAB · Wed, Dec 2

Saint Peter's @ Manhattan

Draddy Gymnasium · at Manhattan · Conference game
#269SPUSaint Peter's
@
#330MANManhattan
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
SPUThis seasonMAN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SPU 73–71 · win probability SPU 55%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 143.8
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SPU has more of the edges

SPU 4, MAN 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MANBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: SPU 35.5, MAN 34.0. Allowed: SPU 46.4, MAN 25.7
SPUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SPU 37.0%, MAN 28.6%. Defensive: SPU 65.3%, MAN 63.0%
SPUBig
MAN offense vs SPU defense
Offense 301st of 366 against a defense 182nd, on the model’s ratings
SPUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: SPU 46.4 and allows 48.1; MAN 47.9 and allows 53.9
SPUBig
Three-pointers
SPU hits 31.0% and allows 32.1%; MAN hits 32.0% and allows 36.6%. Threes are 38.8% and 37.1% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: SPU plays 66.1 a game (308th fastest), MAN 69.0 (182nd). Faster games mean more points
MANSmall
Home court
MAN at home. This season: MAN 0-0 at home, SPU 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SPU 32%, MAN 10%. Transfers in: SPU 5, MAN 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
SPU offense vs MAN defense
Offense 335th of 366 against a defense 346th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: SPU 17.7%, MAN 15.6%. Forced: SPU 20.0%, MAN 16.6%
Context
Schedule so far
SPU has played the 334th-hardest schedule, MAN the 336th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SPU -1.4—
Total—143.8—
Projected score—SPU 72.6 · MAN 71.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSPU -0.9—
1H total67.3—
1H projected scoreSPU 34.1 · MAN 33.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Saint Peter's 0, Manhattan 0, even 5
Saint Peter'sBetterManhattan
G B. Wilson TR9.7 pts · 4.3 reb · 1 ast Score 29
Even
G B. Tweedy TR9 pts · 3 reb · 2.5 ast Score 29
G B. Eaton11.2 pts · 3 reb · 3.9 ast Score 56
Even
G J. Sabino TR7.1 pts · 4.6 reb · 0.9 ast Score 53
G E. Perkins4 pts · 3 reb · 1.8 ast Score 9
Even
G Q. Elliott3.6 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 17
G S. Simpson3.1 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Delaney0.4 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
F T. Patterson TR1.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
F O. Stankovic TR1.7 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
Saint Peter'sBetterManhattan
SPU offense335th of 366 · -11.0
Even
MAN defense346th of 366 · -9.3
SPU defense182nd of 366 · -4.1
SPUSmall
MAN offense301st of 366 · -9.4
Backcourt-6.2 · 4 players
MANSmall
Backcourt-4.3 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.6 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player
Bench-1.1 · 3 players
Even
Bench-0.5 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestSPU betterMAN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Saint Peter's
Guards
B. Wilson28 min · TRB. Eaton28 minE. Perkins26 minS. Simpson11 minP. Glassnor6 min · TRK. WalkerNew
Forwards
T. Patterson8 min · TRB. Tshilobo2 min · TRA. WatsonNewX. ThomasNewJ. MathewsNew
Centers
J. Noudjihidi7 min · TR
Manhattan
Guards
B. Tweedy30 min · TRJ. Sabino21 min · TRQ. Elliott12 minJ. Delaney5 minA. Miguel4 minB. PearceNew
Forwards
O. Stankovic6 min · TRK. Kearney4 min · TRL. McChesney3 min · TRI. JohnsonNewD. EricNewN. ManojlovicNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
SPUMAN
Scoring
69.2 #296Points per game72.4 #232
1.05 #252Points per possession1.05 #247
66.1 #308Pace (possessions)69.0 #182
Shooting
46.4 #347Effective FG%47.9 #315
31.0 #3213-point %32.0 #280
38.8 #1973-point attempt rate37.1 #228
35.5 #163Free throw rate34.0 #208
Possessions
17.7 #251Turnover rate15.6 #112
37.0 #16Offensive rebound rate28.6 #247
12.5 #253Assists per game12.3 #268
Defense
69.1 #48Points allowed79.6 #309
1.04 #78Points allowed per possession1.15 #330
48.1 #39Opponent effective FG%53.9 #297
32.1 #68Opponent 3-point %36.6 #332
20.0 #23Turnovers forced16.6 #175
65.3 #330Defensive rebound rate63.0 #358
8.8 #13Steals per game7.8 #54
3.9 #92Blocks per game2.3 #325
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Saint Peter's

16-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-7 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Fairfield55–74
  • W@ Marist63–56
  • Wvs Manhattan75–65
  • L@ Siena63–72
  • L@ Iona64–72

A week or more of rest.

Manhattan

11-20 in 2025-26 overall · 8-13 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Fairfield60–71
  • Lvs Iona65–69
  • L@ Saint Peter's65–75
  • Lvs Marist70–84
  • W@ Canisius69–65

A week or more of rest.