1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 2
  3. ELON @ COLU
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 2

Elon Phoenix at Columbia Lions

Levien Gymnasium · at Columbia
#231ELONElon
@
#170COLUColumbia
LineCOLU -3.5moved 1 toward COLU
Total151.5no move
ELONThis seasonCOLU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects COLU 77–72 · win probability COLU 68%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
COLU -3.5
moved 1 toward COLU
Total
151.5
model 149.5 · Under by 2
Model edge
COLU by 2
model vs market
Public on the spread
52% ELON
49% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: COLU has more of the edges

ELON 1, COLU 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
COLUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: ELON 32.3%, COLU 36.0%. Defensive: ELON 66.5%, COLU 72.8%
ELONBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: ELON 16.0%, COLU 19.3%. Forced: ELON 16.4%, COLU 15.1%
COLUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: ELON 52.2 and allows 54.0; COLU 53.5 and allows 51.2
COLUSmall
Three-pointers
ELON hits 34.3% and allows 36.5%; COLU hits 35.9% and allows 35.2%. Threes are 43.2% and 37.5% of their shots
COLUSmall
COLU offense vs ELON defense
Offense 163rd of 366 against a defense 235th, on the model’s ratings
COLUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: ELON 30%, COLU 61%. Transfers in: ELON 5, COLU 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
COLUSmall
Home court
COLU at home. This season: COLU 0-0 at home, ELON 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: ELON 33.5, COLU 28.6. Allowed: ELON 34.6, COLU 33.5
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: ELON plays 69.0 a game (178th fastest), COLU 67.8 (237th). Faster games mean more points
Even
ELON offense vs COLU defense
Offense 225th of 366 against a defense 198th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
ELON has played the 186th-hardest schedule, COLU the 169th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

How games like this went

Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
SituationGamesFavorite wonFavorite coveredWent over
Home favorites of 3 to 6.5317166%50%50%
Non-conference games at this spread173667%50%49%
Lines that moved 1+ toward the favorite676375%50%51%
Games with a total of 150 to 154.5275575%51%50%
A bet at standard prices needs 52.4% to break even, and most situations sit near 50%. Past rates, not a prediction.

Market

Open → current
Spread
1 pt toward COLU
Total
No change since the open
Moneyline
ELON +140 · COLU -170
Line movement
Median of 8 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened COLU -2.5 · now COLU -3.5 · moved 1 toward COLUmodel COLU -5.5
Opened 151.5 · now 151.5 · moved 0.5 downmodel 149.5
Openline modelNow

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
ELON +3.5SpreadCOLU -3.5
Bets
Money
Money leans COLU -3.5 · 3 pts more of the money than of the bets
Over 151.5TotalUnder 151.5
Bets
Money
ELONWinnerCOLU
Bets
Money
Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read . ⓘ

Books

8 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
ELONCOLUOverUnderELONCOLU
BetMGMMGM-3.5-110+3.5-110151.5-110151.5-110+140-170
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag-3.5-110+3.5-110151-115151-105——
BetRiversBetRivers-2.5-103+2.5-124151.5-106151.5-121+135-175
BetUSBetUS-3.5-110+3.5-110151-115151-105——
BovadaBovada-3.5-110+3.5-110151-110151-110+140-165
DraftKingsDK-3.5-110+3.5-110151.5-108151.5-112+145-175
FanDuelFD-3.5-110+3.5-110152.5-105152.5-115+138-166
LowVig.agLowVig.ag-3.5-106+3.5-106151-113151-103——
Prices from The Odds API, updated 2:00 AM ET. Green = best price in the column.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
SpreadCOLU -3.5COLU -5.3COLU +1.8
Total151.5149.5Under 2.0
Projected score—ELON 72.1 · COLU 77.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCOLU -3.0—
1H total69.9—
1H projected scoreELON 33.4 · COLU 36.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Columbia has the better starters

Position by position: Elon 1, Columbia 3, even 1
ElonBetterColumbia
G R. Pettus11 pts · 3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 28
COLUSmall
G M. Franklin9.4 pts · 4.1 reb · 1 ast Score 48
G B. Cokley12.4 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 60
ELONSmall
G G. O'Keefe7.9 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.9 ast Score 45
G I. Mbeng TR4.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.6 ast Score 12
COLUSmall
G H. Sanders4.2 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 38
G C. Thrower TR5.9 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.2 ast Score 33
Even
F M. Ritter6.9 pts · 5 reb · 1.7 ast Score 21
F J. Dalton TR3.4 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.5 ast Score 38
COLUSmall
F C. Igoe8.2 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.8 ast Score 72
ElonBetterColumbia
ELON offense225th of 366 · -6.9
Even
COLU defense198th of 366 · -4.8
ELON defense235th of 366 · -6.2
COLUSmall
COLU offense163rd of 366 · -4.9
Backcourt-5.7 · 4 players
COLUBig
Backcourt-2.1 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-1.1 · 2 players
Bench-0.7 · 4 players
ELONSmall
Bench-1.9 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestELON betterCOLU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Elon
Guards
R. Pettus28 minB. Cokley27 minI. Mbeng23 min · TRC. Thrower17 min · TRR. Villar12 min · TRK. DixonNew
Forwards
J. Dalton13 min · TRI. Garmendia3 minA. Olander1 minM. ŠarenacNewB. SehlhorstNewC. ZhuNew
Centers
H. Harding7 min · TR
Columbia
Guards
M. Franklin24 minG. O'Keefe21 minH. Sanders15 minJ. Cunningham4 minD. VesseyNewN. RomanelliNew
Forwards
M. Ritter25 minC. Igoe20 minD. Langford11 min · TRR. Nweke8 minL. Coleman4 minN. ClarksonNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
ELONCOLU
Scoring
76.8 #123Points per game74.9 #167
1.12 #111Points per possession1.10 #130
69.0 #178Pace (possessions)67.8 #237
Shooting
52.2 #137Effective FG%53.5 #83
34.3 #1543-point %35.9 #61
43.2 #1073-point attempt rate37.5 #221
33.5 #222Free throw rate28.6 #337
Possessions
16.0 #136Turnover rate19.3 #332
32.3 #116Offensive rebound rate36.0 #23
14.6 #108Assists per game15.0 #90
Defense
79.3 #307Points allowed73.5 #145
1.14 #316Points allowed per possession1.09 #188
54.0 #300Opponent effective FG%51.2 #168
36.5 #328Opponent 3-point %35.2 #258
16.4 #196Turnovers forced15.1 #282
66.5 #307Defensive rebound rate72.8 #42
6.6 #157Steals per game5.7 #270
3.0 #231Blocks per game3.0 #235
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Elon

12-18 in 2025-26 overall · 6-13 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs William & Mary62–72
  • Lvs UNC Wilmington57–76
  • L@ Monmouth57–73
  • L@ Towson56–58
  • Lvs NC A&T82–102

A week or more of rest.

Columbia

14-12 in 2025-26 overall · 5-9 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Harvard71–81
  • Lvs Yale54–60
  • Wvs Brown80–62
  • Lvs Dartmouth63–64
  • W@ Princeton75–65

A week or more of rest.