1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 13
  3. UTC @ ELON
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 13

Chattanooga Mocs at Elon Phoenix

Schar Center · at Elon
#226UTCChattanooga
@
#231ELONElon
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UTCThis seasonELON
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ELON 78–73 · win probability ELON 65%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 151.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: ELON has more of the edges

UTC 2, ELON 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
ELONBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: UTC 29.7, ELON 33.5. Allowed: UTC 42.6, ELON 34.6
Context
Schedule so far
UTC has played the 306th-hardest schedule, ELON the 186th. A record against a soft schedule means less
UTCSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: UTC 54.2 and allows 51.7; ELON 52.2 and allows 54.0
ELONSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UTC 21.8%, ELON 32.3%. Defensive: UTC 68.3%, ELON 66.5%
UTCSmall
Three-pointers
UTC hits 35.0% and allows 34.2%; ELON hits 34.3% and allows 36.5%. Threes are 49.2% and 43.2% of their shots
ELONSmall
Home court
ELON at home. This season: ELON 0-0 at home, UTC 0-0 away
ELONSmall
ELON offense vs UTC defense
Offense 225th of 366 against a defense 270th, on the model’s ratings
Even
UTC offense vs ELON defense
Offense 193rd of 366 against a defense 235th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: UTC plays 67.6 a game (249th fastest), ELON 69.0 (178th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UTC 14.5%, ELON 16.0%. Forced: UTC 13.1%, ELON 16.4%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UTC 32%, ELON 30%. Transfers in: UTC 2, ELON 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—ELON -4.5—
Total—151.1—
Projected score—UTC 73.3 · ELON 77.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadELON -2.6—
1H total70.7—
1H projected scoreUTC 34 · ELON 36.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Chattanooga 2, Elon 2, even 1
ChattanoogaBetterElon
G T. Darner9.8 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.8 ast Score 49
UTCSmall
G R. Pettus11 pts · 3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 28
G S. Cusano2.5 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
No call
G B. Cokley12.4 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 60
F T. Houser TR14.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.8 ast Score 68
UTCBig
G I. Mbeng TR4.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.6 ast Score 12
F Y. Levy TR5 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.7 ast Score 18
ELONSmall
G C. Thrower TR5.9 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.2 ast Score 33
F J. Bowman3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 22
ELONSmall
F J. Dalton TR3.4 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.5 ast Score 38
ChattanoogaBetterElon
UTC offense193rd of 366 · -5.9
Even
ELON defense235th of 366 · -6.2
UTC defense270th of 366 · -6.8
Even
ELON offense225th of 366 · -6.9
Backcourt-1.6 · 2 players
UTCBig
Backcourt-5.7 · 4 players
Frontcourt-1.6 · 3 players
ELONSmall
Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player
Bench-1.1 · 1 player
Even
Bench-0.7 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestUTC betterELON betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Chattanooga
Guards
T. Darner29 minS. Cusano13 minH. Holland11 minL. VittersNewM. HamptonNewT. PowellNew
Forwards
T. Houser33 min · TRY. Levy21 min · TRJ. Bowman12 minA. SwiftNewC. HardawayNew
Centers
J. FleemanNew
Elon
Guards
R. Pettus28 minB. Cokley27 minI. Mbeng23 min · TRC. Thrower17 min · TRR. Villar12 min · TRK. DixonNew
Forwards
J. Dalton13 min · TRI. Garmendia3 minA. Olander1 minM. ŠarenacNewB. SehlhorstNewC. ZhuNew
Centers
H. Harding7 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UTCELON
Scoring
74.1 #192Points per game76.8 #123
1.10 #132Points per possession1.12 #111
67.6 #249Pace (possessions)69.0 #178
Shooting
54.2 #60Effective FG%52.2 #137
35.0 #1163-point %34.3 #154
49.2 #183-point attempt rate43.2 #107
29.7 #319Free throw rate33.5 #222
Possessions
14.5 #40Turnover rate16.0 #136
21.8 #358Offensive rebound rate32.3 #116
14.3 #127Assists per game14.6 #108
Defense
78.1 #269Points allowed79.3 #307
1.15 #325Points allowed per possession1.14 #316
51.7 #195Opponent effective FG%54.0 #300
34.2 #195Opponent 3-point %36.5 #328
13.1 #351Turnovers forced16.4 #196
68.3 #240Defensive rebound rate66.5 #307
5.0 #336Steals per game6.6 #157
2.5 #305Blocks per game3.0 #231
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Chattanooga

10-19 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs The Citadel85–88
  • Wvs VMI86–79
  • Lvs UNC Greensboro80–85
  • W@ The Citadel93–72
  • W@ Mercer94–90

A week or more of rest.

Elon

12-18 in 2025-26 overall · 6-13 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs William & Mary62–72
  • Lvs UNC Wilmington57–76
  • L@ Monmouth57–73
  • L@ Towson56–58
  • Lvs NC A&T82–102

A week or more of rest.