1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 10
  3. PV @ SMU
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 10

Prairie View A&M Panthers at SMU Mustangs

Moody Coliseum (Dallas) · at SMU
#343PVPrairie View
@
#55SMUSMU
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
PVThis seasonSMU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SMU 92–63 · win probability SMU 99%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 154.9
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SMU has more of the edges

PV 1, SMU 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SMUBig
SMU offense vs PV defense
Offense 45th of 366 against a defense 359th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
PV has played the 331st-hardest schedule, SMU the 70th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SMUBig
PV offense vs SMU defense
Offense 310th of 366 against a defense 69th, on the model’s ratings
SMUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PV 26.7%, SMU 35.4%. Defensive: PV 64.6%, SMU 68.4%
SMUBig
Three-pointers
PV hits 32.9% and allows 35.0%; SMU hits 37.1% and allows 34.1%. Threes are 30.6% and 35.9% of their shots
SMUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: PV 47.4 and allows 50.9; SMU 55.6 and allows 51.6
PVSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: PV 15.8%, SMU 15.8%. Forced: PV 19.0%, SMU 16.8%
SMUSmall
Home court
SMU at home. This season: SMU 0-0 at home, PV 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PV 6%, SMU 20%. Transfers in: PV 5, SMU 7. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 72 possessions: PV plays 72.7 a game (20th fastest), SMU 71.1 (68th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: PV 41.6, SMU 30.4. Allowed: PV 42.6, SMU 32.1
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SMU -28.8—
Total—154.9—
Projected score—PV 63.1 · SMU 91.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSMU -17.0—
1H total72.4—
1H projected scorePV 27.7 · SMU 44.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

SMU has the better starters

Position by position: Prairie View 0, SMU 3, even 2
Prairie ViewBetterSMU
G D. Williams TR7.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 14
SMUBig
G R. Brumbaugh TR19.1 pts · 4.8 reb · 3.5 ast Score 95
G M. Eley TR13 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 98
Even
G D. Terrell TR13.6 pts · 3.8 reb · 4.9 ast Score 89
G S. Tidor TR4.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.3 ast Score 21
SMUBig
G O. Sellers TR10.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.6 ast Score 78
G E. Mitchell2.4 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.4 ast Score 7
SMUBig
G J. Patrick TR7.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.5 ast Score 59
F J. Wharton TR1.8 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F J. Munch TR7.9 pts · 5.1 reb · 1 ast Score 69
Prairie ViewBetterSMU
PV offense310th of 366 · -9.7
SMUBig
SMU defense69th of 366 · +0.8
PV defense359th of 366 · -10.4
SMUBig
SMU offense45th of 366 · +4.2
Backcourt-2.4 · 4 players
SMUBig
Backcourt+8.2 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player
SMUSmall
Frontcourt+0.7 · 1 player
Bench+0.0 · 1 player
Even
Bench+0.3 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestPV betterSMU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Prairie View
Guards
D. Williams26 min · TRM. Eley19 min · TRS. Tidor12 min · TRE. Mitchell12 minJ. LeeNewM. BellNew
Forwards
J. Wharton7 min · TRJ. Fazande1 min · TRE. PageNewD. BynumNewB. AjieroNew
SMU
Guards
R. Brumbaugh36 min · TRD. Terrell33 min · TRO. Sellers29 min · TRJ. Patrick20 min · TRN. Kalischer-Stork1 minG. NormandNew
Forwards
J. Munch21 min · TRJ. Toombs20 minJ. Stewart16 min · TRN. Codie16 min · TRJ. O'Neal15 minN. Walls3 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
PVSMU
Scoring
74.8 #170Points per game84.1 #19
1.03 #286Points per possession1.19 #26
72.7 #20Pace (possessions)71.1 #68
Shooting
47.4 #330Effective FG%55.6 #27
32.9 #2373-point %37.1 #27
30.6 #3483-point attempt rate35.9 #252
41.6 #35Free throw rate30.4 #301
Possessions
15.8 #122Turnover rate15.8 #119
26.7 #305Offensive rebound rate35.4 #37
10.8 #341Assists per game16.9 #27
Defense
78.9 #295Points allowed77.9 #265
1.08 #182Points allowed per possession1.09 #199
50.9 #149Opponent effective FG%51.6 #189
35.0 #247Opponent 3-point %34.1 #188
19.0 #49Turnovers forced16.8 #171
64.6 #344Defensive rebound rate68.4 #237
7.0 #127Steals per game7.0 #129
4.9 #19Blocks per game3.6 #132
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Prairie View

15-18 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Florida55–114
  • Wvs Lehigh67–55
  • Wvs Southern72–66
  • Wvs Alabama A&M74–55
  • Wvs Bethune71–67

A week or more of rest.

SMU

20-14 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Miami OH79–89
  • Lvs Louisville58–62
  • Wvs Syracuse86–69
  • L@ Florida St78–91
  • Lvs Miami69–77

A week or more of rest.