1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 6
  3. APSU @ KENN
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 6

Austin Peay Governors at Kennesaw State Owls

VyStar Arena · at Kennesaw St
#210APSUAustin Peay
@
#148KENNKennesaw St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
APSUThis seasonKENN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects KENN 80–73 · win probability KENN 71%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 153.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: APSU has more of the edges

APSU 3, KENN 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
APSU has played the 318th-hardest schedule, KENN the 156th. A record against a soft schedule means less
KENNBig
KENN offense vs APSU defense
Offense 126th of 366 against a defense 240th, on the model’s ratings
APSUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: APSU 15.4%, KENN 16.8%. Forced: APSU 17.9%, KENN 16.0%
APSUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: APSU 37.6, KENN 45.1. Allowed: APSU 32.8, KENN 47.1
APSUSmall
Three-pointers
APSU hits 35.3% and allows 33.2%; KENN hits 33.4% and allows 33.5%. Threes are 38.0% and 42.5% of their shots
KENNSmall
Home court
KENN at home. This season: KENN 0-0 at home, APSU 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: APSU plays 70.1 a game (114th fastest), KENN 72.4 (27th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: APSU 53.0 and allows 52.2; KENN 50.4 and allows 48.3
Even
APSU offense vs KENN defense
Offense 174th of 366 against a defense 193rd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: APSU 29.7%, KENN 35.2%. Defensive: APSU 71.1%, KENN 68.4%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: APSU 30%, KENN 32%. Transfers in: APSU 2, KENN 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—KENN -6.3—
Total—153.1—
Projected score—APSU 73.4 · KENN 79.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadKENN -3.6—
1H total71.6—
1H projected scoreAPSU 34 · KENN 37.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Austin Peay has the better starters

Position by position: Austin Peay 2, Kennesaw St 0, even 3
Austin PeayBetterKennesaw St
G Z. Collins13.7 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.2 ast Score 60
Even
G J. Hill TR10.1 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.6 ast Score 53
G C. Love TR7.2 pts · 2.6 reb · 1 ast Score 44
APSUSmall
G K. Rickard5.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 21
G S. Hugie TR4.4 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.5 ast Score 32
Even
F T. Simpson8 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.6 ast Score 38
G C. Ryans NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F A. Thomas TR8.3 pts · 6.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 61
F R. Marshall16.3 pts · 7 reb · 1.2 ast Score 92
APSUBig
F A. Enoh TR4.9 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 19
Austin PeayBetterKennesaw St
APSU offense174th of 366 · -5.4
Even
KENN defense193rd of 366 · -4.6
APSU defense240th of 366 · -6.3
KENNSmall
KENN offense126th of 366 · -3.4
Backcourt-1.7 · 4 players
Even
Backcourt-2.3 · 2 players
Frontcourt+3.8 · 1 player
APSUBig
Frontcourt-2.5 · 3 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.4 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestAPSU betterKENN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Austin Peay
Guards
Z. Collins30 minC. Love25 min · TRS. Hugie12 min · TRC. RyansNewP. SingletonNewT. ToddNew
Forwards
R. Marshall30 minD. BoldenNewA. DavisNew
Kennesaw St
Guards
J. Hill31 min · TRK. Rickard20 minC. Beaumont9 min · TRK. Parker6 min · TRB. TousignautNewA. DanielsNew
Forwards
T. Simpson26 minA. Thomas25 min · TRA. Enoh23 min · TRA. Taylor17 minD. Onyirimba2 minK. BerryNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
APSUKENN
Scoring
79.0 #79Points per game80.0 #66
1.13 #91Points per possession1.11 #122
70.1 #114Pace (possessions)72.4 #27
Shooting
53.0 #105Effective FG%50.4 #224
35.3 #993-point %33.4 #203
38.0 #2153-point attempt rate42.5 #127
37.6 #110Free throw rate45.1 #5
Possessions
15.4 #94Turnover rate16.8 #183
29.7 #214Offensive rebound rate35.2 #44
15.3 #76Assists per game13.3 #189
Defense
74.6 #179Points allowed78.3 #272
1.06 #119Points allowed per possession1.08 #159
52.2 #227Opponent effective FG%48.3 #43
33.2 #137Opponent 3-point %33.5 #154
17.9 #103Turnovers forced16.0 #223
71.1 #100Defensive rebound rate68.4 #234
8.4 #22Steals per game6.8 #146
2.2 #329Blocks per game5.3 #10
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Austin Peay

20-9 in 2025-26 overall · 16-4 in conference · United Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Queens University Royals83–90
  • Wvs Stetson69–60
  • L@ Bellarmine97–111
  • Lvs C Arkansas88–93
  • W@ Jacksonville65–61

A week or more of rest.

Kennesaw St

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 13-10 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Gonzaga64–73
  • Wvs Louisiana Tech71–60
  • Wvs Sam Houston79–73
  • Wvs Western KY96–87
  • L@ New Mexico St76–79

A week or more of rest.