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NCAAB · Sat, Nov 21

Brown @ Vermont

Patrick Gymnasium · at Vermont
#156BRWNBrown
@
#186UVMVermont
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
BRWNThis seasonUVM
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UVM 70–69 · win probability UVM 53%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 138.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UVM has more of the edges

BRWN 2, UVM 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
BRWN has played the 176th-hardest schedule, UVM the 325th. A record against a soft schedule means less
BRWNBig
UVM offense vs BRWN defense
Offense 264th of 366 against a defense 124th, on the model’s ratings
UVMBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: BRWN 48.6 and allows 51.3; UVM 53.1 and allows 50.4
BRWNBig
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BRWN 100%, UVM 31%. Transfers in: BRWN 0, UVM 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
UVMSmall
BRWN offense vs UVM defense
Offense 220th of 366 against a defense 135th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: BRWN plays 68.0 a game (229th fastest), UVM 65.2 (342nd). Faster games mean more points
UVMSmall
Home court
UVM at home. This season: UVM 0-0 at home, BRWN 0-0 away
UVMSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: BRWN 28.1, UVM 31.1. Allowed: BRWN 37.6, UVM 36.4
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BRWN 29.0%, UVM 26.2%. Defensive: BRWN 70.0%, UVM 77.0%
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: BRWN 19.4%, UVM 14.3%. Forced: BRWN 18.8%, UVM 14.8%
Even
Three-pointers
BRWN hits 30.3% and allows 33.5%; UVM hits 33.3% and allows 35.3%. Threes are 36.3% and 44.6% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market vs model

The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelUVM -0.8
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model138.7
Model edge—
Projected score
BRWN 69 · UVM 69.7
Win probability
UVM 53%
1st half
Spread
UVM -0.3
Total
65.0
Projected score
BRWN 32.3 · UVM 32.6
Model edge = where the model differs from the market, in points: a reason to look, not a trend. The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with. Model record › · 1st-half slate ›

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Brown has the better starters

Position by position: Brown 2, Vermont 1, even 2
BrownBetterVermont
G J. Jenkins8.4 pts · 3.8 reb · 5.3 ast Score 47
BRWNSmall
G D. Yepdo TR10.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.3 ast Score 24
G A. Uchidiuno9.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.1 ast Score 20
Even
G J. Broom TR2 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.4 ast Score 14
G M. Wrisby-Jefferson4.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.6 ast Score 25
Even
G M. Nkugwa2.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.6 ast Score 31
G D. Rochester5.6 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.7 ast Score 27
UVMBig
F G. Yalden16.1 pts · 5.8 reb · 2.1 ast Score 96
F N. Dabo7.1 pts · 5.7 reb · 1 ast Score 72
BRWNSmall
F N. Barnett5.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast Score 41
BrownBetterVermont
BRWN offense220th of 366 · -6.7
UVMSmall
UVM defense135th of 366 · -2.5
BRWN defense124th of 366 · -2.2
BRWNBig
UVM offense264th of 366 · -8.1
Backcourt-6.6 · 4 players
UVMSmall
Backcourt-5.2 · 3 players
Frontcourt+1.0 · 1 player
UVMSmall
Frontcourt+3.3 · 2 players
Bench-2.4 · 5 players
UVMSmall
Bench-1.4 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestBRWN betterUVM betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Brown
Guards
J. Jenkins31 minA. Uchidiuno26 minM. Wrisby-Jefferson23 minD. Rochester22 minI. Langham21 minB. Loughlin18 min
Forwards
N. Dabo24 minC. O'Sullivan11 minW. DeGraaf8 minE. JamgbadiNewL. JonesNew
Vermont
Guards
D. Yepdo32 min · TRJ. Broom15 min · TRM. Nkugwa13 minD. Glazkov13 min · TRK. Badru10 min · TRS. Clemons2 min
Forwards
G. Yalden26 minN. Barnett22 minM. BrunettoNewM. MasicNewS. GbiegbaNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
BRWNUVM
Scoring
67.2 #330Points per game72.1 #237
0.98 #338Points per possession1.11 #124
68.0 #229Pace (possessions)65.2 #342
Shooting
48.6 #299Effective FG%53.1 #95
30.3 #3383-point %33.3 #208
36.3 #2443-point attempt rate44.6 #77
28.1 #342Free throw rate31.1 #279
Possessions
19.4 #334Turnover rate14.3 #34
29.0 #236Offensive rebound rate26.2 #318
14.8 #99Assists per game12.3 #266
Defense
72.4 #115Points allowed68.8 #44
1.07 #134Points allowed per possession1.05 #96
51.3 #176Opponent effective FG%50.4 #121
33.5 #157Opponent 3-point %35.3 #267
18.8 #57Turnovers forced14.8 #307
70.0 #164Defensive rebound rate77.0 #2
7.5 #82Steals per game4.5 #354
3.8 #104Blocks per game2.7 #279
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Brown

7-18 in 2025-26 overall · 3-11 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Penn61–82
  • L@ Cornell80–86
  • L@ Columbia62–80
  • Wvs Princeton80–71
  • W@ Dartmouth79–76

A week or more of rest.

Vermont

20-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-5 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ UMBC59–74
  • Wvs NJIT63–54
  • Wvs Bryant77–57
  • Wvs UAlbany69–56
  • Wvs UMass Lowell66–64

A week or more of rest.