Reilly Center · at St Bonaventure
Line
SBU -10.5moved 1 toward SBU
Total153.5up 2 from 151.5
| This season | SBU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects SBU 78–68 · win probability SBU 81%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
SBU -10.5
moved 1 toward SBU
Total
153.5
model 146.3 · Under by 7
Model edge
Even
matches the market
Public on the spread
73% YSU
62% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: SBU has more of the edges
YSU 1, SBU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
YSU has played the 304th-hardest schedule, SBU the 109th. A record against a soft schedule means less
YSU offense vs SBU defense
Offense 267th of 366 against a defense 131st, on the model’s ratings
SBU offense vs YSU defense
Offense 169th of 366 against a defense 264th, on the model’s ratings
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: YSU 30.4%, SBU 34.5%. Defensive: YSU 69.3%, SBU 70.2%
Three-pointers
YSU hits 33.8% and allows 35.5%; SBU hits 37.4% and allows 36.0%. Threes are 49.4% and 31.3% of their shots
Shooting
Effective FG%: YSU 53.6 and allows 52.3; SBU 52.4 and allows 53.3
Home court
SBU at home. This season: SBU 0-0 at home, YSU 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: YSU 18.8%, SBU 16.8%. Forced: YSU 17.8%, SBU 17.1%
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: YSU plays 68.9 a game (188th fastest), SBU 68.0 (228th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: YSU 8%, SBU 18%. Transfers in: YSU 6, SBU 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: YSU 31.4, SBU 30.0. Allowed: YSU 36.0, SBU 33.9
How games like this went
Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
| Situation | Games | Favorite won | Favorite covered | Went over |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home favorites of 10 to 14.5 | 1928 | 88% | 48% | 52% |
| Non-conference games at this spread | 988 | 88% | 50% | 51% |
| Lines that moved 1+ toward the favorite | 6763 | 75% | 50% | 51% |
| Games with a total of 150 to 154.5 | 2755 | 75% | 51% | 50% |
Market
Open → current
Spread
OpenSBU -9.5
1 → SBU
NowSBU -10.5
1 pt toward SBU
Total
Open151.5
▲ 2
Now153.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
YSU +425 · SBU -600
Line movement
Median of 8 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened SBU -9.5 · now SBU -10.5 · moved 1 toward SBUmodel SBU -10
model SBU -10
Opened 151.5 · now 153.5 · moved 2 upmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelNow
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Public betting
Share of bets and of money
Bets
Money
Money is 11 pts ahead of bets on SBU -10.5
Over 153.5TotalUnder 153.5
Bets
Money
Bets
Money
Books
8 sportsbooks · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YSU | SBU | Over | Under | YSU | SBU | |
| BetMGMMGM | -10.5-110 | +10.5-110 | 153.5-110 | 153.5-110 | +425 | -600 |
| BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag | -10-105 | +10-115 | 153.5-110 | 153.5-110 | — | — |
| BetRiversBetRivers | -10.5-120 | +10.5-107 | 153.5-112 | 153.5-114 | +375 | -560 |
| BetUSBetUS | -10-105 | +10-115 | 153.5-110 | 153.5-110 | — | — |
| BovadaBovada | -10.5-115 | +10.5-105 | 153.5-110 | 153.5-110 | +400 | -575 |
| DraftKingsDK | -10.5-112 | +10.5-108 | 153.5-115 | 153.5-105 | +455 | -625 |
| FanDuelFD | -10.5-110 | +10.5-110 | 153.5-112 | 153.5-108 | +440 | -610 |
| LowVig.agLowVig.ag | -10-101 | +10-111 | 153.5-108 | 153.5-108 | — | — |
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SBU -10.5 | SBU -10.1 | YSU +0.4 |
| Total | 153.5 | 146.3 | Under 7.2 |
| Projected score | — | YSU 68.1 · SBU 78.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SBU -5.8 | — |
| 1H total | 68.4 | — |
| 1H projected score | YSU 31.3 · SBU 37.1 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | |
| 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
YSU 0–1 SBUSBU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · YSU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025-26 | YSU 80 @ SBU 84 | SBU -9.5 | YSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Youngstown St
29 games played
Straight up
12-17
41% wins
Against the spread
10-19
34% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-14
52% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 59-74 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | @ | W 90-81 | +15.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ | L 80-84 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ | L 75-92 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 62-68 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 67-61 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 87-64 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 69-68 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 78-55 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 74-65 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs | L 68-73 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 1 | vs | L 83-85 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 79-94 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 7 | vs | L 69-71 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 15 | @ | L 83-93 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 78-80 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 22 | vs | W 88-81 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 64-65 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 30 | vs | W 85-76 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 4 | @ | W 90-61 | +2.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | vs | L 66-72 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 12 | @ | W 86-82 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 15 | @ | L 70-76 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 18 | vs | W 106-82 | -11.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 22 | vs | W 64-58 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 25 | @ | L 65-78 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 63-85 | +1.5 | L −20.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Mar 4 | @ | L 53-68 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
PITT
L 59-74
−0.5
7
@
GCU
W 90-81
+24.5
15
@
SBU
L 80-84
+5.5
19
@
TOL
L 75-92
−15.5
23
vs
UNCG
L 62-68
−11.5
24
vs
GASO
W 67-61
+4.5
28
vs
CHST
W 87-64
+8.5
3
vs
WRST
W 69-68
−2.5
6
@
IUIN
W 78-55
+16.5
17
@
RMU
L 77-80
−0.5
20
vs
UPST
W 74-65
+2.5
29
vs
DETM
L 68-73
−14.5
1
vs
OAK
L 83-85
−3.5
4
@
NKU
L 79-94
−10.5
7
vs
PFW
L 69-71
−6.5
15
@
WRST
L 83-93
−5.5
17
@
CLE
L 78-80
−10.5
22
vs
GB
W 88-81
−0.5
24
vs
MILW
L 64-65
−7.5
30
vs
IUIN
W 85-76
−1.5
4
@
PFW
W 90-61
+31.5
7
vs
RMU
L 66-72
−9.5
12
@
OAK
W 86-82
+7.5
15
@
DETM
L 70-76
−10.5
18
vs
CLE
W 106-82
+12.5
22
vs
NKU
W 64-58
+3.5
25
@
MILW
L 65-78
−14.5
28
@
GB
L 63-85
−20.5
4
@
RMU
L 53-68
−11.5
covered 10didn’t cover 19avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
PITT
L 59-74
−12.5
7
@
GCU
W 90-81
+18.5
15
@
SBU
L 80-84
+17.5
19
@
TOL
L 75-92
+6.5
23
vs
UNCG
L 62-68
−22.5
24
vs
GASO
W 67-61
−35.5
28
vs
CHST
W 87-64
+4.5
3
vs
WRST
W 69-68
−7.5
6
@
IUIN
W 78-55
−38.5
17
@
RMU
L 77-80
+16.5
20
vs
UPST
W 74-65
−2.5
29
vs
DETM
L 68-73
−5.5
1
vs
OAK
L 83-85
+10.5
4
@
NKU
L 79-94
+26.5
7
vs
PFW
L 69-71
−5.5
15
@
WRST
L 83-93
+34.5
17
@
CLE
L 78-80
+5.5
22
vs
GB
W 88-81
+29.5
24
vs
MILW
L 64-65
−22.5
30
vs
IUIN
W 85-76
+7.5
4
@
PFW
W 90-61
+3.5
7
vs
RMU
L 66-72
−5.5
12
@
OAK
W 86-82
+12.5
15
@
DETM
L 70-76
−5.5
18
vs
CLE
W 106-82
+30.5
22
vs
NKU
W 64-58
−30.5
25
@
MILW
L 65-78
−4.5
28
@
GB
L 63-85
+6.5
4
@
RMU
L 53-68
−22.5
over 15under 14avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
St Bonaventure
33 games played
Straight up
16-17
48% wins
Against the spread
13-20
39% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-14
58% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 69-63 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 89-70 | -21.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 75-66 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 84-80 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 75-61 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 70-85 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 27 | vs | W 67-58 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 30 | @ | W 70-65 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 77-69 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 10 | vs | W 85-77 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 83-88 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 92-81 | -21.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 31 | @ | L 82-89 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | vs | L 80-89 | -6.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 77-81 | -8.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 64-68 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 74-78 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 20 | vs | W 84-70 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 23 | vs | L 62-97 | +8.5 | L −26.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 28 | @ | W 87-79 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 73-77 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 3 | @ | L 70-72 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 7 | @ | W 70-67 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 14 | vs | L 73-78 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 18 | vs | L 65-71 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 94-99 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 26 | vs | W 94-76 | -2.5 | W +15.5 | 144.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 58-71 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Mar 4 | @ | L 82-91 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Mar 7 | vs | L 63-68 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Mar 11 | vs | W 99-80 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Mar 12 | vs | W 63-57 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 120 |
| Mar 13 | vs | L 63-68 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BRAD
W 69-63
+4.5
8
vs
CAN
W 89-70
−2.5
12
vs
SIE
W 75-66
−0.5
15
vs
YSU
W 84-80
−5.5
20
vs
RMU
W 75-61
+2.5
25
vs
UNC
L 70-85
−4.5
27
vs
ECU
W 67-58
−1.5
30
@
FAU
W 70-65
+6.5
6
@
BUF
W 77-69
+2.5
10
vs
COLG
W 85-77
−1.5
13
vs
OHIO
L 83-88
−11.5
20
vs
LEM
W 92-81
−10.5
31
@
VCU
L 82-89
+2.5
7
vs
RICH
L 80-89
−15.5
10
vs
FOR
L 77-81
−12.5
14
@
JOES
L 64-68
−5.5
17
@
LAS
L 74-78
−9.5
20
vs
LUC
W 84-70
+3.5
23
vs
SLU
L 62-97
−26.5
28
@
DUQ
W 87-79
+11.5
31
vs
GMU
L 73-77
−2.5
3
@
DAY
L 70-72
+5.5
7
@
FOR
W 70-67
+1.5
14
vs
DUQ
L 73-78
−6.5
18
vs
JOES
L 65-71
−11.5
21
@
RICH
L 94-99
−3.5
26
vs
URI
W 94-76
+15.5
28
@
GMU
L 58-71
−9.5
4
@
GW
L 82-91
−1.5
7
vs
DAV
L 63-68
−9.5
11
vs
LAS
W 99-80
+11.5
12
vs
GMU
W 63-57
+8.5
13
vs
DAY
L 63-68
+0.5
covered 13didn’t cover 20avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
BRAD
W 69-63
−7.5
8
vs
CAN
W 89-70
+22.5
12
vs
SIE
W 75-66
+0.5
15
vs
YSU
W 84-80
+17.5
20
vs
RMU
W 75-61
−10.5
25
vs
UNC
L 70-85
+2.5
27
vs
ECU
W 67-58
−19.5
30
@
FAU
W 70-65
−11.5
6
@
BUF
W 77-69
+1.5
10
vs
COLG
W 85-77
+19.5
13
vs
OHIO
L 83-88
+20.5
20
vs
LEM
W 92-81
+21.5
31
@
VCU
L 82-89
+13.5
7
vs
RICH
L 80-89
+15.5
10
vs
FOR
L 77-81
+15.5
14
@
JOES
L 64-68
−15.5
17
@
LAS
L 74-78
+10.5
20
vs
LUC
W 84-70
+6.5
23
vs
SLU
L 62-97
−0.5
28
@
DUQ
W 87-79
+15.5
31
vs
GMU
L 73-77
+7.5
3
@
DAY
L 70-72
−2.5
7
@
FOR
W 70-67
−4.5
14
vs
DUQ
L 73-78
−1.5
18
vs
JOES
L 65-71
−11.5
21
@
RICH
L 94-99
+45.5
26
vs
URI
W 94-76
+25.5
28
@
GMU
L 58-71
−17.5
4
@
GW
L 82-91
+15.5
7
vs
DAV
L 63-68
−10.5
11
vs
LAS
W 99-80
+32.5
12
vs
GMU
W 63-57
−23.5
13
vs
DAY
L 63-68
−10.5
over 19under 14avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
St Bonaventure has the better starters
Position by position: Youngstown St 0, St Bonaventure 3, even 2
Youngstown StBetterSt Bonaventure
G L. Holmstrom TR10.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 30
→SBUSmall
G A. Fulton TR10.7 pts · 6.3 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 62
G J. Haynes3.9 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.4 ast
Score 16
=No call
G I. Ermakov2.6 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.9 ast
Not ranked
G J. Tyler TR4.3 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.4 ast
Score 18
→SBUSmall
F R. Kalambay TR4.4 pts · 5.6 reb · 0.6 ast
Score 40
G J. Nwankwo TR3 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.7 ast
Score 28
=Even
F J. Grahovac4.2 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.8 ast
Score 33
F J. Coleman TR3.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.5 ast
Score 5
→SBUSmall
F M. Blackwood TR2.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.2 ast
Score 22
Youngstown StBetterSt Bonaventure
YSU offense267th of 366 · -8.1
→SBUBig
SBU defense131st of 366 · -2.4
YSU defense264th of 366 · -6.8
→SBUSmall
SBU offense169th of 366 · -5.2
Backcourt-5.5 · 4 players
→SBUBig
Backcourt-0.4 · 2 players
Frontcourt-1.8 · 1 player
=Even
Frontcourt-2.4 · 3 players
Bench-2.0 · 2 players
→SBUSmall
Bench-0.6 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestYSU betterSBU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
L. Holmstrom27 min · TRJ. Haynes15 minJ. Tyler13 min · TRJ. Nwankwo12 min · TRD. Aekins7 min · TRJ. LivingstonNew
Forwards
J. Coleman13 min · TRJ. Moupadele12 min · TRL. LokhmanchukNewE. Summers-LivingstonNew
Centers
K. AmoakoNew
Guards
A. Fulton29 min · TRI. Ermakov10 minA. Lonati8 minJ. DeRose1 minR. HeathNewZ. PhilipkoskiNew
Forwards
R. Kalambay21 min · TRJ. Grahovac18 minM. Blackwood12 min · TRJ. IkpotokinNewC. BlankenbergNew
Centers
B. BillNewC. DialloNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 75.1 #162 | Points per game | 76.2 #138 |
| 1.09 #160 | Points per possession | 1.12 #104 |
| 68.9 #188 | Pace (possessions) | 68.0 #228 |
| Shooting | ||
| 53.6 #76 | Effective FG% | 52.4 #129 |
| 33.8 #184 | 3-point % | 37.4 #22 |
| 49.4 #17 | 3-point attempt rate | 31.3 #335 |
| 31.4 #272 | Free throw rate | 30.0 #310 |
| Possessions | ||
| 18.8 #314 | Turnover rate | 16.8 #189 |
| 30.4 #182 | Offensive rebound rate | 34.5 #60 |
| 14.0 #144 | Assists per game | 15.4 #73 |
| Defense | ||
| 74.9 #185 | Points allowed | 75.4 #201 |
| 1.09 #190 | Points allowed per possession | 1.11 #245 |
| 52.3 #228 | Opponent effective FG% | 53.3 #278 |
| 35.5 #280 | Opponent 3-point % | 36.0 #299 |
| 17.8 #106 | Turnovers forced | 17.1 #144 |
| 69.3 #191 | Defensive rebound rate | 70.2 #150 |
| 6.7 #151 | Steals per game | 7.5 #80 |
| 3.5 #146 | Blocks per game | 4.4 #41 |
Youngstown St
12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-13 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Robert Morris53–68
- L@ Green Bay63–85
- L@ Milwaukee65–78
- Wvs N Kentucky64–58
- Wvs Cleveland St106–82
A week or more of rest.
St Bonaventure
16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 6-15 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Dayton63–68
- Wvs George Mason63–57
- Wvs La Salle99–80
- Lvs Davidson63–68
- L@ G Washington82–91
A week or more of rest.