1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 22
  3. M-OH vs UIC
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 22

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs UIC Flames

The Reef · Neutral site
#125M-OHMiami OH
vs
#110UICUIC
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
M-OHThis seasonUIC
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UIC 78–76 · win probability UIC 57%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 154.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: M-OH has more of the edges

M-OH 4, UIC 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
M-OHBig
Three-pointers
M-OH hits 37.1% and allows 33.1%; UIC hits 31.6% and allows 33.4%. Threes are 45.6% and 32.8% of their shots
M-OHSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: M-OH 58.6 and allows 51.2; UIC 49.8 and allows 50.5
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: M-OH plays 72.1 a game (33rd fastest), UIC 68.1 (227th). Faster games mean more points
UICSmall
UIC offense vs M-OH defense
Offense 117th of 366 against a defense 207th, on the model’s ratings
M-OHSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: M-OH 39.6, UIC 36.2. Allowed: M-OH 30.2, UIC 33.9
UICSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: M-OH 25.5%, UIC 36.3%. Defensive: M-OH 71.3%, UIC 68.0%
M-OHSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: M-OH 14.3%, UIC 17.6%. Forced: M-OH 17.4%, UIC 19.7%
Context
Schedule so far
M-OH has played the 207th-hardest schedule, UIC the 161st. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: M-OH 65%, UIC 60%. Transfers in: M-OH 3, UIC 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
M-OH offense vs UIC defense
Offense 100th of 366 against a defense 106th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UIC -1.9—
Total—154.8—
Projected score—M-OH 76.4 · UIC 78.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUIC -1.0—
1H total72.3—
1H projected scoreM-OH 35.7 · UIC 36.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Miami OH 0, UIC 0, even 5
Miami OHBetterUIC
G E. Ipsaro14.4 pts · 2.4 reb · 3.6 ast Score 85
Even
G B. Gealer TR10.9 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.7 ast Score 79
G L. Skaljac10.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 4.6 ast Score 61
Even
G A. Johnson11 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.6 ast Score 55
G S. Elam TR10.5 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.8 ast Score 64
Even
G A. Thomas TR11.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.8 ast Score 69
F R. Rolf TR8.9 pts · 4.4 reb · 2.1 ast Score 51
Even
G M. Lowery7.8 pts · 5.6 reb · 2 ast Score 59
F A. Woolfolk10 pts · 5.5 reb · 1.5 ast Score 76
Even
G R. Washington8.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.6 ast Score 77
Miami OHBetterUIC
M-OH offense100th of 366 · -0.9
Even
UIC defense106th of 366 · -1.0
M-OH defense207th of 366 · -5.2
UICSmall
UIC offense117th of 366 · -2.6
Backcourt+2.2 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt+2.1 · 5 players
Frontcourt+0.9 · 2 players
No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
Bench-2.4 · 5 players
UICSmall
Bench+0.5 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestM-OH betterUIC betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Miami OH
Guards
E. Ipsaro30 minL. Skaljac29 minS. Elam26 min · TRJ. Kirby17 minB. AndersonNewL. StowersNew
Forwards
R. Rolf27 min · TRA. Woolfolk24 minP. Copeland19 min · TRA. Atlason19 minK. Waltz5 minT. Robbins5 min
UIC
Guards
B. Gealer30 min · TRA. Johnson29 minA. Thomas28 min · TRM. Lowery26 minR. Washington23 minA. Henderson21 min
Forwards
J. Nathaniel20 minL. Scroggins17 min · TRN. BarrantesNewD. HudsonNewD. ShawNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
M-OHUIC
Scoring
86.3 #10Points per game73.9 #196
1.20 #15Points per possession1.09 #171
72.1 #33Pace (possessions)68.1 #227
Shooting
58.6 #6Effective FG%49.8 #245
37.1 #253-point %31.6 #300
45.6 #553-point attempt rate32.8 #319
39.6 #64Free throw rate36.2 #145
Possessions
14.3 #36Turnover rate17.6 #247
25.5 #332Offensive rebound rate36.3 #22
15.1 #80Assists per game14.1 #143
Defense
76.5 #229Points allowed71.2 #81
1.06 #102Points allowed per possession1.05 #83
51.2 #167Opponent effective FG%50.5 #125
33.1 #131Opponent 3-point %33.4 #147
17.4 #128Turnovers forced19.7 #30
71.3 #92Defensive rebound rate68.0 #255
7.0 #124Steals per game7.6 #70
3.1 #202Blocks per game3.6 #126
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Miami OH

29-2 in 2025-26 overall · 18-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Tennessee56–78
  • Wvs SMU89–79
  • Lvs UMass83–87
  • W@ Ohio110–108
  • Wvs Toledo74–72

A week or more of rest.

UIC

17-16 in 2025-26 overall · 14-9 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ California73–91
  • Lvs Northern Iowa69–84
  • Wvs Drake72–51
  • Wvs Murray St92–79
  • L@ Indiana St63–79

A week or more of rest.