1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 29
  3. CAN @ UIC
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 29

Canisius Golden Griffins at UIC Flames

Credit Union 1 Arena · at UIC
#359CANCanisius
@
#110UICUIC
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CANThis seasonUIC
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UIC 83–59 · win probability UIC 98%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 141.8
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
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No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UIC has more of the edges

CAN 1, UIC 8 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UICBig
CAN offense vs UIC defense
Offense 358th of 366 against a defense 106th, on the model’s ratings
UICBig
UIC offense vs CAN defense
Offense 117th of 366 against a defense 321st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
CAN has played the 337th-hardest schedule, UIC the 161st. A record against a soft schedule means less
UICBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CAN 19.6%, UIC 17.6%. Forced: CAN 16.0%, UIC 19.7%
UICSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CAN 1%, UIC 60%. Transfers in: CAN 6, UIC 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
UICSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: CAN 46.3 and allows 52.2; UIC 49.8 and allows 50.5
UICSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: CAN 31.4, UIC 36.2. Allowed: CAN 35.2, UIC 33.9
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: CAN plays 64.6 a game (353rd fastest), UIC 68.1 (227th). Faster games mean more points
CANSmall
Three-pointers
CAN hits 33.3% and allows 33.0%; UIC hits 31.6% and allows 33.4%. Threes are 39.5% and 32.8% of their shots
UICSmall
Home court
UIC at home. This season: UIC 0-0 at home, CAN 0-0 away
UICSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CAN 29.3%, UIC 36.3%. Defensive: CAN 70.2%, UIC 68.0%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UIC -24.3—
Total—141.8—
Projected score—CAN 58.8 · UIC 83.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUIC -14.3—
1H total66.4—
1H projected scoreCAN 26 · UIC 40.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

UIC has the better starters

Position by position: Canisius 0, UIC 4, even 1
CanisiusBetterUIC
G V. Sigona TR7.5 pts · 1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 22
UICBig
G B. Gealer TR10.9 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.7 ast Score 79
G M. Wilson TR4.9 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 18
UICBig
G A. Johnson11 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.6 ast Score 55
G D. Winters TR1.6 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
No call
G A. Thomas TR11.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.8 ast Score 69
F P. Ryan TR6.8 pts · 4 reb · 1.1 ast Score 7
UICBig
G M. Lowery7.8 pts · 5.6 reb · 2 ast Score 59
F C. Efinda TR4.2 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 8
UICBig
G R. Washington8.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.6 ast Score 77
CanisiusBetterUIC
CAN offense358th of 366 · -14.0
UICBig
UIC defense106th of 366 · -1.0
CAN defense321st of 366 · -8.3
UICBig
UIC offense117th of 366 · -2.6
Backcourt-3.5 · 3 players
UICBig
Backcourt+2.1 · 5 players
Frontcourt-4.4 · 2 players
No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
Bench-0.4 · 2 players
Even
Bench+0.5 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestCAN betterUIC betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Canisius
Guards
V. Sigona20 min · TRM. Wilson13 min · TRD. Winters6 min · TRT. Augustine2 minC. FrancisNewW. FowlerNew
Forwards
P. Ryan23 min · TRC. Efinda15 min · TRN. Deer3 min · TRN. FoutsNewW. TaylorNewA. RiakNew
UIC
Guards
B. Gealer30 min · TRA. Johnson29 minA. Thomas28 min · TRM. Lowery26 minR. Washington23 minA. Henderson21 min
Forwards
J. Nathaniel20 minL. Scroggins17 min · TRN. BarrantesNewD. HudsonNewD. ShawNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CANUIC
Scoring
62.2 #361Points per game73.9 #196
0.96 #349Points per possession1.09 #171
64.6 #353Pace (possessions)68.1 #227
Shooting
46.3 #348Effective FG%49.8 #245
33.3 #2133-point %31.6 #300
39.5 #1823-point attempt rate32.8 #319
31.4 #271Free throw rate36.2 #145
Possessions
19.6 #341Turnover rate17.6 #247
29.3 #226Offensive rebound rate36.3 #22
11.9 #293Assists per game14.1 #143
Defense
71.4 #87Points allowed71.2 #81
1.10 #228Points allowed per possession1.05 #83
52.2 #225Opponent effective FG%50.5 #125
33.0 #124Opponent 3-point %33.4 #147
16.0 #222Turnovers forced19.7 #30
70.2 #151Defensive rebound rate68.0 #255
4.8 #342Steals per game7.6 #70
2.6 #292Blocks per game3.6 #126
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Canisius

9-21 in 2025-26 overall · 5-15 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Quinnipiac63–67
  • Wvs Merrimack67–62
  • L@ Mount St Marys47–68
  • W@ Rider72–66
  • Lvs Manhattan65–69

A week or more of rest.

UIC

17-16 in 2025-26 overall · 14-9 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ California73–91
  • Lvs Northern Iowa69–84
  • Wvs Drake72–51
  • Wvs Murray St92–79
  • L@ Indiana St63–79

A week or more of rest.